RECENT NEWS
New York Times  Jun 27  Comment 
A federal jury found that the bank had targeted minority homeowners with low credit scores, marketing subprime mortgages to them from 2005 to 2009.
Forbes  Jun 24  Comment 
Millions of U.S. Consumers Are Escaping Subprime
Benzinga  Jun 23  Comment 
A new wave of Americans with improved credit could help boost bank lending, according to a Fortune report. What Is Considered Supbrime Credit? Low credit scores are sometimes referred to as ‘subprime,’ and a subprime borrower is most...
guardian.co.uk  Jun 22  Comment 
Decade on from its less than prescient April 2006 report, Fund’s view remains unbalanced – this time with too many false alarms When I asked Google to find the text of the International Monetary Fund’s Global Financial Stability Report for...
Financial Times  Jun 17  Comment 
Bank agrees to pay $1.6bn to bring an end to the Household subprime lawsuit filed 14 years ago
Yahoo  Jun 17  Comment 
U.S. prosecutors have abandoned their case against Angelo Mozilo, a pioneer of the risky subprime mortgages that fueled the financial crisis, after a two-year quest to bring a civil suit against him.
Financial Times  Jun 13  Comment 
Issuers hope deal will reinvigorate the almost dormant market
MarketWatch  May 31  Comment 
Here’s yet another sign that China’s economy is teetering on the brink of a massive debt crisis.
Financial Times  Apr 27  Comment 
Santander Consumer USA sacrifices market share as rivals take on risk




 

What happened blaicasly was because of assuming that a trend was permanent. In the financial world, this is a form of mental disorder. Trends are why anyone could be a day-trader and make money, for a while. Their impermanence is why anyone that didn't get out of that in time lost their shirts. The subprime loans were designed to churn the loans. You had loans that were fixed for usually two years, then would become variable. The whole intent was for the borrower to refinance in two years, again generating all of the bank's new-loan fees. The trend for real estate to appreciate rapidly was counted on to continue to keep this attractive for the borrower. Borrow 100 with 5k in costs to pay off a loan of 95, wait two years, borrow 105k with 5k in costs to pay off a loan of 100, wait two years, borrow 110k with 5k in costs to pay off a loan of 105 but then the trend didn't cooperate by giving a home value of 110k, and the balloon broke. People still had the same house they did, but now a loan for more than they originally paid for it, and they can't get refinancing, and can't sell it for what they owe. Trends are temporary. People that think otherwise will eventually lose money. Now, how do you know when a trend is coming to an end? There's a story about the Crash of '29 about a broker who was getting a shoe shine, and the shoe shiner gave him a hot tip on a stock. He realized that when shoe shine boys were giving stock tips, the market was about to crash and he got out. During the day-trader era, there were stories about bus drivers and janitors making huge money in day-trading, just before that went south. How many times have YOU seen people offering to help people get loans in their answers right here on Yahoo, offers totally unconnected to the question being asked? It was a trend. Now it's not.

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