QUOTE AND NEWS
Forex News  Nov 29  Comment 
The euro fell against the US dollar on Friday, extending its Thursday’s drop. The currency was stronger against its other major counterparts, rallying against the Great Britain pound and the Japanese yen.(...)Read the rest of EUR/USD Ends...
Forex News  Nov 15  Comment 
This week was rather good for the euro. The shared 18-nation currency managed to stall its decline versus the US dollar and even rallied against the Great Britain pound and the Japanese yen. It is still questionable, though, whether...
Forex News  Nov 8  Comment 
The euro demonstrated a third weekly decline in a row against the US dollar this week. Yet the currency’s performance was not as bad as one might have expected considering fundamentals. The shared 18-nation currency managed to gain...
SeekingAlpha  Sep 26  Comment 
By FX Analyst: We are now facing a secular decline in the EURUSD. Since May 2014, the EURUSD has dropped from 1.3938 to a low of 1.2730 as the point of writing. This represents a 8.67% decline of 1208 pips. (click to enlarge) ...
SeekingAlpha  Sep 14  Comment 
By Cliff Wachtel: FX Traders' weekly EURUSD fundamental & technical outlook, and what makes this week potentially decisive for weeks to come. Summary Technical Outlook: Near term neutral, longer term bearish Fundamental Outlook...




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The EUR/USD currency pair specifies how many U.S. Dollars are needed to purchase 1 Euro. In other words, the value of this currency pair is quoted as 1 Euro per x U.S. Dollars.

Trading the EUR/USD currency pair is also known as trading the "euro".

February 2010

Those who actively trade forex know that both the Euro and the U.S. Dollar have come under pressure lately for various reasons. In the case of the Euro, its weakness arises from sovereign debt concerns centered on Greece which have benefited the Dollar.

Nevertheless, the Greenback has suffered because of record budget deficits, two wars, massive unemployment and a sub-prime mortgage real estate disaster. The European Union also faces a considerable amount of economic pressure, having achieved almost no growth during 2009 and also suffering from very high unemployment levels beyond 10%. The current tug-of-war between the Euro and the Greenback seems to fluctuate depending on whether forex traders are more concerned with some of the Eurozone member nations having sovereign debt problems, or with the precarious economic recovery in the United States. As of this writing, the Greenback seems to be winning, especially after a recent surprise move by the Federal Reserve to tighten the Discount rate by 25 bps to 0.75%.

Also, the United States economic numbers have been slowly improving, with consumer spending showing improvement in January, rising by 0.5% from the previous month with November and December’s figures also adjusted upwards. In addition, U.S. GDP is now expected to surpass 3.5% this year, and Core Retail Sales rose by almost 6% annually for the last six months. The U.S. stock market has also maintained a surprisingly resilient level above 10,000, despite many corporations having difficulty turning a profit.

Nevertheless, although the United States is mired in debt with a budget deficit over a trillion dollars this year, and more than that foreseen for next year, the fact that the trade deficit rose to $40.2 billion in December, up from $36.4 billion in November, confirms that the economic expansion, although gradual, is now under way. The Federal Reserve is also expected to begin tightening interest rates further if economic numbers keep improving.

The European Union, on the other hand, has some extremely sensitive issues surrounding the debt of its member nations Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain, who all have now had their debt downgraded by S&P and other credit rating agencies. Despite numerous efforts from other Eurozone countries like France and Germany, who have both pledged to bail out Greece, a clear solution to the sovereign debt problems of these member states has still not been worked out.

The EUR/USD currency pair has also seen an impressive amount of volatility since the beginning of the year, with the Euro now down more than 2% against the Greenback on the year and still making new yearly lows within its recent decline. The rate appears to be stabilizing, however, as the Dollar begins to show signs of consolidation.

Furthermore, with commodities such as gold and oil trending higher, both currencies stand to fall under some pressure as net importers. Still, the U.S. Dollar seems to be benefiting from better-than-expected economic numbers, and despite China liquidating over $34.2 billion of their U.S. Government-backed securities in December, the Dollar seems to be weathering that particular storm rather well.

Which currency will end the year stronger is still anybody’s guess. Nevertheless, if the European Union’s sovereign debt problems fail to get resolved, the U.S. Dollar may appreciate more, especially given the Federal Reserve’s recent surprise move.

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