QUOTE AND NEWS
Forex News  Apr 17  Comment 
The EUR/USD currency pair rallied higher today given the weaker US dollar as tracked by the US Dollar Index and the stronger euro. The currency pair rallied higher as the US NAHB housing market index and the Empire State manufacturing...
SeekingAlpha  Apr 11  Comment 
Forex News  Apr 10  Comment 
The EUR/USD currency pair began the day trading under intense pressure, which did not change even with the release of the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence index. The weekend release of a poll conducted by Kantar Sofres on the French...
Forex News  Apr 7  Comment 
The EUR/USD currency pair declined significantly as the euro weakened against the US dollar despite lower-than-expected US non-farm payroll report. The positive German trade balance figures did little to boost the weak euro...
Forex News  Apr 6  Comment 
The EUR/USD currency pair has been on a major decline during today’s session following dovish comments from Mario Draghi and the positive US jobless claims data. The release of the minutes of the European Central Bank‘s March meeting...
Forex News  Apr 5  Comment 
The EUR/USD currency pair declined today following the uncertainty surrounding the French presidential election after the second election debate where Marine Le Pen gained against Emmanuel Macron. The pair also traded much lower after...
Forex News  Mar 30  Comment 
The EUR/USD currency pair today declined after the release of disappointing German CPI data by the Federal Statistical Office amid dovish comments from the European Central Bank. The currency pair’s decline was also triggered...
Forex News  Mar 24  Comment 
The EUR/USD currency pair today rallied higher to hit a 2-day high during the North American session boosted by positive GDP and Markit PMI data from the Eurozone. The currency pair was also affected by the uncertainty surrounding...




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The EUR/USD currency pair specifies how many U.S. Dollars are needed to purchase 1 Euro. In other words, the value of this currency pair is quoted as 1 Euro per x U.S. Dollars.

Trading the EUR/USD currency pair is also known as trading the "euro".

February 2010

Those who actively trade forex know that both the Euro and the U.S. Dollar have come under pressure lately for various reasons. In the case of the Euro, its weakness arises from sovereign debt concerns centered on Greece which have benefited the Dollar.

Nevertheless, the Greenback has suffered because of record budget deficits, two wars, massive unemployment and a sub-prime mortgage real estate disaster. The European Union also faces a considerable amount of economic pressure, having achieved almost no growth during 2009 and also suffering from very high unemployment levels beyond 10%. The current tug-of-war between the Euro and the Greenback seems to fluctuate depending on whether forex traders are more concerned with some of the Eurozone member nations having sovereign debt problems, or with the precarious economic recovery in the United States. As of this writing, the Greenback seems to be winning, especially after a recent surprise move by the Federal Reserve to tighten the Discount rate by 25 bps to 0.75%.

Also, the United States economic numbers have been slowly improving, with consumer spending showing improvement in January, rising by 0.5% from the previous month with November and December’s figures also adjusted upwards. In addition, U.S. GDP is now expected to surpass 3.5% this year, and Core Retail Sales rose by almost 6% annually for the last six months. The U.S. stock market has also maintained a surprisingly resilient level above 10,000, despite many corporations having difficulty turning a profit.

Nevertheless, although the United States is mired in debt with a budget deficit over a trillion dollars this year, and more than that foreseen for next year, the fact that the trade deficit rose to $40.2 billion in December, up from $36.4 billion in November, confirms that the economic expansion, although gradual, is now under way. The Federal Reserve is also expected to begin tightening interest rates further if economic numbers keep improving.

The European Union, on the other hand, has some extremely sensitive issues surrounding the debt of its member nations Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain, who all have now had their debt downgraded by S&P and other credit rating agencies. Despite numerous efforts from other Eurozone countries like France and Germany, who have both pledged to bail out Greece, a clear solution to the sovereign debt problems of these member states has still not been worked out.

The EUR/USD currency pair has also seen an impressive amount of volatility since the beginning of the year, with the Euro now down more than 2% against the Greenback on the year and still making new yearly lows within its recent decline. The rate appears to be stabilizing, however, as the Dollar begins to show signs of consolidation.

Furthermore, with commodities such as gold and oil trending higher, both currencies stand to fall under some pressure as net importers. Still, the U.S. Dollar seems to be benefiting from better-than-expected economic numbers, and despite China liquidating over $34.2 billion of their U.S. Government-backed securities in December, the Dollar seems to be weathering that particular storm rather well.

Which currency will end the year stronger is still anybody’s guess. Nevertheless, if the European Union’s sovereign debt problems fail to get resolved, the U.S. Dollar may appreciate more, especially given the Federal Reserve’s recent surprise move.

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