QUOTE AND NEWS
Charts and Coffee Blog  Nov 20  Comment 
In my “Breaking Up the Banks Post” I mentioned: Regarding Goldman, there is a lot of chatter and outrage directed at the firm. I wonder if Goldman has been too smart and too cute for their own good. Perhaps laying low and not maximizing...
Charts and Coffee Blog  Sep 21  Comment 
Tonight's post will be text only. The trading plan remains unchanged. I'm following my three indicators which include the dollar (via UDN), the Ted spread (3 month LIBOR less three month T-Bills) and LQD (high quality bonds).Since March, we have...
Charts and Coffee Blog  Sep 21  Comment 
Tonight's post will be text only. The trading plan remains unchanged. I'm following my three indicators which include the dollar (via UDN), the Ted spread (3 month LIBOR less three month T-Bills) and LQD (high quality bonds). Since March, we have...
Charts and Coffee Blog  Sep 18  Comment 
Above is a weekly chart of the TED spread. It is still too early to tell whether it a trend change or not, but it looks like this might be one of the first big upticks in the TED spread since March. Keep in mind that the spread is still very low...
Bloomberg  Sep 14  Comment 
U.S. investors are on “an incredible risk-seeking mission” that belies a still-shaky economy and financial system, according to Gina Martin Adams, a strategist at Wells Fargo Securities LLC.
Bloomberg  Aug 3  Comment 
A gauge of financial-market stress dropped to the lowest level in more than two years amid evidence that financial institutions are emerging from the worst of the global credit seizure.
The Debts of a Nation  May 27  Comment 
Fate is not w/o a sense of irony. Events move in cyclical patterns. The answer to this spring's equity rally lies in last fall's TED spread. Or rather, 1 specific part of it, the Eurodollar futures. While a high TED spread was indicative of...
Contrarian Profits  May 20  Comment 
Rejoice! The credit crisis is over. Sort of… maybe. Most of the complicated lending spreads that define a crisis in credit have returned to normal levels. For starters today, the mighty “TED spread” Kind of a mouthful of a chart, eh?...
George Washington's Blog  May 20  Comment 
So says Agora Financial - one of the best-performing investment newsletters: Rejoice! The credit crisis is over. Sort of… maybe. Most of the complicated lending spreads that define a crisis in credit have returned to...
Bloomberg  May 15  Comment 
(Update1) The cost of borrowing in dollars between banks fell, capping its biggest weekly decline in four months, as government cash injections and interest-rate cuts by policy makers began to thaw credit markets.
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The chart at left shows the value of the TED Spread in basis points, calculated as the 3 Month LIBOR rate minus the 3 Month T Bill rate.

The TED spread is a gap between two interest rates, which is used as a marker of the financial strength of banks.

The TED, or Treasury Eurodollar, spread is calculated by subtracting the interest rate on treasury bills from the three-month dollar LIBOR.

The treasury bill rate is the interest rate paid by the U.S. treasury - often used to represent "risk-free" lending (on the assumption that U.S. government is always good for it), while the LIBOR is the rate at which banks lend to each other. Therefore, the difference in the two rates represents the "risk premium" of lending to a bank instead of to the U.S. government. At its lowest, the TED spread can be as low as 20 basis points, as it was in early 2007.[1] A TED spread this low occurs when banks are seen as strong and in good financial health; the risk of default or banktruptcy is low, and therefore other banks are willing to lend them money at nearly the risk-free interest rates paid by the U.S. government. By contrast, the Ted spread stood at 330 basis points in early October 2008, after a series of bankruptcies by banks and other financial insitutions that occured as part of the 2008 Financial Crisis. On October 10th, the TED spread hit a new record of 460 basis points, reflecting a breakdown in interbank lending.

Looking at TED Spread

on Reuters 3000 Xtra: TED

on Bloomberg Terminal : .TEDSP <INDEX> <GO>

on Bloomberg Website : [1] .TEDSP:IND

References

  1. The Economist - When Banks Find it Hard to Borrow, so do the Rest of us, Oct 2, 2008
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