QUOTE AND NEWS
Agrimoney.com  Jul 17  Comment 
The French group says a strong performance in construction offset agriculture weakness - which looks likely to get worse
Southeast Farm Press  Jul 15  Comment 
The annual Virginia Ag Expo, the largest agricultural field day in Old Dominion, is set for Thursday, Aug. 7 at Bleak House Farm in Lottsburg. read more
DailyFinance  Jul 14  Comment 
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA -- (Marketwired) -- 07/14/14 -- Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (NYSE: FSM) (TSX: FVI) (BVLAC: FVI) (FRANKFURT: F4S.F) is pleased to announce results for additional step-out drilling of the Trinidad North discovery located...
Southeast Farm Press  Jul 10  Comment 
The North Carolina Department of Revenue has released its official notice and application forms relating to the recent revisions to North Carolina’s agriculture sales tax exemptions that took effect July 1 read more
Agrimoney.com  Jul 10  Comment 
Malaysia's palm oil stocks fall by more than expected to a one-year low, thanks in part to firm exports, which have made a strong start to July too
SeekingAlpha  Jul 9  Comment 
By Matthew Smith: Coming off our call for beef prices to rise after the harsh winter and the underlying trends that took place in the market, we are turning our attention to the rest of the farm, specifically the grains. With some interesting...
Southeast Farm Press  Jul 9  Comment 
The Field to Market, the Alliance for Sustainable Agriculture unveiled an agricultural supply chain program, saying it will become a platform for measuring, promoting and reporting on continuous sustainability improvements for U.S....
SeekingAlpha  Jul 8  Comment 
By Jim Mullin: Overview AGCO (AGCO) is a leading manufacturer of agricultural equipment. The company sells its products through a network of dealers and distributors. In 2013, 60% of the company's revenue was generated from sales of a full...
Agrimoney.com  Jul 7  Comment 
Ag futures stay under a cloud, dropping in China. How will they perform when US markets reopen? US weather looks benign, but news is not all bearish
Agrimoney.com  Jul 4  Comment 
US markets are closed, but that is not stopping the likes of palm oil and rubber keeping the downward trend in ag prices alive. China cotton suffers




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AGCO (NYSE: AGCO) is the 3rd largest manufacturer of agricultural equipment world-wide. The company makes products such as tractors and combines, and distributes its products through a network of dealers and distributors to the farmers.[1] The company earned $6.6 billion in revenue and $136 million in net income in 2009.[2]

Since AG generates nearly all of its revenue from sales of agricultural equipment, much of its success hinges upon the health of the agriculture industry and crop prices. One current trend that may play to AG's advantage is the increased interest in corn-based ethanol. Ethanol-based energy research and development over the next several years could lead to continued growth in demand for corn and, of course, the tools needed to plant and harvest more of it. Increasing demand for food in developing countries could also positively impact AG's sales. As both populations and personal incomes grow in emerging markets, demand for both grains and grain intensive products such as meat should increase as well. With three-quarters of its revenue generated outside of the U.S., AG has greater exposure to developing countries than any of its competitors.

Company Overview

AGCO primarily makes tractors, combines, and other agricultural equipment:[3][4]

  • Tractors (66% of sales): the company sells its tractors under a variety of brand names including AGCO, Challenger and Massey Ferguson. Its sizes range from compact tractors (used on small farms), utility tractors (used on small and medium-sized farms), and high horsepower (used on larger farms and on cattle ranches).
  • Combines (5% of sales): are used to harvest various grain crops. AG's combines come with a variety of crop-harvesting heads for different kind of crops.
  • Application Equipment (4% of net sales): self-propelled 3 or 4 wheeled vehicles and equipment such as chemical sprayers which are used in the application of fertilizers and crop protection chemicals.
  • Other Products (10% of net sales): the company makes a wide range of other products such as mowers and tools used to cut hay.
  • Replacement Parts (14% of net sales): in addition to new equipment, AG sells replacement parts for their products. These parts keep farm equipment in use, including products no longer in production.

Business Growth

FY 2009 (ended December 31, 2009)[2]

  • Net sales decreased 21% to $6.6 billion. The company attributes the decline to net sales decreases in most of its geographical regions as well as unfavorable foreign currency translation impacts
  • Net income decreased 61% to $136 million.

Trends and Forces

Alternative Energy & Biofuels drive up Corn Prices

The USDA anticipates ethanol production to top 12 billion gallons annually by 2016, derived from over 4 billion bushels of corn. This would represent an increase of 168% from the estimated 1.6 billion bushels of corn used in ethanol production in 2005. This be accompanied by significantly higher corn prices, which would combine with the increased production to result in more revenue for farmers. Due to the increased demand for corn and higher prices, many farmers might use their increased income to make large investments such as purchasing new farm equipment like tractors and harvesters.

Emerging Markets Buy More Grain

AGCO is much more focused on emerging markets than peers such as Deere & Company (DE). The company generates over 75% of its revenue outside of the US, while Deere & Company (DE) generates only 30%. These countries are experiencing rapid economic development, which has fueled increased demand for food and energy. The interest in biofuels has extended beyond North America to emerging economies such as Brazil.

For example, AG's exposure to the Brazilian market (South America - mostly Brazil - accounts for around 15% of its revenues) could be a growth driver. Brazil makes ethanol from sugar cane, instead of corn. There are 47 new sugar cane mills being built in Brazil, and each one will require about 100 new tractors. AGCO has 60% market share in the Brazilian tractor market, and a dominant position in the sugarcane industry.

Competition

AG faces tough competition from a variety of competitors across the globe, but its two primary competitors are Deere & Company (DE) and CNH Global N.V. (CNH).

* Deere & Company (DE): is the world's leading manufacturer of agricultural and forestry equipment. The company currently generates 70% of its sales from the US and Canada.

* CNH Global N.V. (CNH): CNH is a leading player in the agricultural equipment market and the construction equipment industries, from the Netherlands.

References

  1. AGCO 2009 10-K "General" pg. 1
  2. 2.0 2.1 AGCO 2009 10-K "Selected Financial Data" pg. 18
  3. AGCO 2009 10-K "Products" pg. 1-2
  4. AGCO 2009 10-K "Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements" pg. 100
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