QUOTE AND NEWS
Wall Street Journal  11 hrs ago  Comment 
In a speech to hundreds of employees, AT&T Inc. Chief Executive Randall Stephenson talked about how racial tensions are ripping apart \communities and urged employees to begin a conversation to find common ground.
Benzinga  Sep 29  Comment 
Barclays examined the possibility of a tie-up between Time Warner Inc (NYSE: TWX) and AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) following the reports of a potential merger between CBS Corporation (NYSE: CBS) and Viacom, Inc. (NYSE: VIAB). Aside from that, Walt Disney...
Benzinga  Sep 28  Comment 
  Wedbush lowered the price target for Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) from $70 to $65. Starbucks shares closed at $54.19 on Tuesday. Morgan Stanley raised the price target for Shopify Inc (NYSE: SHOP) from $37 to $47. Shopify...
Benzinga  Sep 28  Comment 
Earnings growth at AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) is likely to be lower than earlier expected, with intensifying competition in wireless, UBS’s John C. Hodulik said in a report. He downgraded the rating on the company from Buy to Neutral, while reducing...
Benzinga  Sep 28  Comment 
Benzinga  Sep 26  Comment 
Starz (NASDAQ: STRZA) has agreed to multi-year extensions of its affiliation with both DIRECTV (NASDAQ: DTV) and AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T). In case Starz had been operating under the new agreement in the first half of 2016, revenue would be less than...




 

AT&T Inc. (NYSE:T) is a U.S. telecommunications services provider, and the second largest U.S. wireless carrier in the United States, with 92.8 million wireless customers as of 3Q10 [1]. AT&T operates across four segments: Wireless, Wireline, Advertising Solutions, and Other. Its Wireless segment provides both wireless voice and data communications services across the U.S. as well as abroad through roaming agreements. Wireline has historically been AT&T's core business, although given the secular trend away from landlines the company has invested heavily in AT&T "U-Verse", which offers high-speed internet, phone, and television services in one package using one protocol. Advertising Solutions accrues directory and Internet-based advertising through the publication of its White and Yellow Pages directories. Through Other, it provides results from Sterling Commerce.

Within its Wireless segment, AT&T has invested heavily in mobile devices, entering the smartphone industry through a lucrative partnership with Apple in 2007. As of September 2009, 50 million iPhone have been sold and over 20 billion application have been downloaded, granting AT&T a substantial recurring revenue stream, and according to comScore, 43% of all U.S. smartphone customers as of early 2010[2][3]. The success of the iPhone sales through its distribution channels has also given AT&T the opportunity to enter the high margin data services business, which includes Web surfing and email use[4].

In March 2010, it was announced that Apple's next iPhone, to be released in the summer of 2010, was being programmed to work with CDMA, a wireless network that make the iPhone compatible with other wireless carriers, instead of GSM, AT&T and most other carriers' network of choice[2]. As a result, many believe its exclusive contract with the iPhone is set to expire in 2010. Other indications include AT&T's released plans to launch a slew of smartphones from Dell and Motorola running on Google's Android-operating system to cushion the potential migration of iPhone users to other networks. In 2010, AT&T will look to drive data revenue by investing heavily in mobile application development for Android and increasing the core fiber optic capacity of its network[5][6].

Company Overview

AT&T traces its roots to the beginning of the telephone era in 1876. From its founding through the 1970s, it dominated the telephone industry as a monopoly. In 1974, however, the Federal Government filed an anti-trust suit and in 1984 the company was forced to break into smaller pieces. Those seven pieces were termed Regional Bell Operating Companies (RBOCs), and they conducted business autonomously for about a decade.

In the 1990s, SBC began buying former AT&T subsidiaries and in 2005 it purchased what remained of AT&T Corp. The resulting company was rebranded AT&T Inc. Finally, in December of 2006, AT&T Inc. purchased BellSouth, creating the corporation that exists today. At this point, 5 of the 8 spin offs of the original AT&T have been reunited under the new AT&T Inc brand, though competition from other companies and technologies has calmed fears of a re-emergence of the original monopoly.

Business and Financial Metrics

Annual Financial Data, in millions[7] FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009
Revenue$43,862.0 $63,055.0 $118,928.0 $124,028.0 $123,018.0
Gross Profit$24,672.0 $35,706.0 $72,873.0 $74,133.0 $72,613.0
Operating Income$6,168.0 $10,288.0 $20,404.0 $23,063.0 $21,492.0
Net Income$4,786.0 $7,356.0 $11,951.0 $12,867.0 $12,535.0

Consolidated operating revenues were $31.6 billion in 3Q10, up $847 million (2.8 percent) over the previous year’s quarter, marking the third consecutive quarter with YoY quarterly increases. Although operating expenses also rose, AT&T managed a YoY increase in operating income, with $5.5 billion up from $5.4 billion[1]. Its wireless segment also saw a 2.6 million increase in total wireless subscribers, reaching 92.8 million subscribers in service. AT&T witnessed its seventh consecutive quarter of a YoY increase in post-paid Average Revenue per User (ARPU) to $62.84. The third quarter also included a 1.32% total wireless churn, AT&T's best third-quarter result ever[1].

Business Segments

AT&T’s main business units are: wireline services (including DSL and internet service), wireless services (AT&T Wireless), and its directory business.

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Wireline Services (50% of revenues in 1Q10[8])

The wireline unit has three core sources of revenue: voice (includes local and long-distance), data, and other services. Other services include satellite video, network, server, data storage and other hosting services.

As of June 2009, AT&T provides broadband services to approximately 16 million customers, keeping its rank as the largest U.S. broadband provider[9]. Its U-verse TV service is an extension of the fiber-to-the-node (FTTN) model, an infrastructure to support FTTN has significantly higher long-term costs than the fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) model used by Verizon Communications. As of December 2009, U-Verse has 2 million subscribers, significantly less than Verizon's FiOS 3.4 million FiOS customers[10].

Wireless Services (45% of revenues in 1Q10[8])

AT&T provides local and long-distance wireless communication voice and data services. With over 90.1 million wireless subscribers as of the end of 2Q10, it is the second largest U.S. wireless carrier by subscribers, following Verizon[4]. The segment benefited substantially in 2Q10 from the release of the iPhone 4, which spurred the most quarterly iPhone activations ever[11].

Advertising Solutions (3% of revenues in 1Q10[8])

AT&T’s advertising & publishing business comprises all of its directory services, including traditional phone books and electronic and internet publishing. Its Yellow and White Pages continue to dominate the markets in which they operate and its internet outfits, especially YELLOWPAGES.COM, are also industry leaders.

Trends and Forces

Regulatory Environment Exposure

AT&T Inc.’s businesses are subject to many levels of complex regulation and any significant changes could have a major impact on the company as a whole. In the 1990s, the FCC began implementing policies that encouraged competition for local telephone service providers, epitomized by the Telecom Act of 1996. The new rules imposed on the industry during this period stifled growth and had a negative impact on earnings for AT&T. Increased regulation or a break-up of the industry like what happened to AT&T in the mid-1980s would be very harmful to all wireless carriers as it would reduce margins considerably.

In early July 2009, both the FCC and DOJ were asked by Senator Herb Kohl of Wisconsin to investigate anti-competitive practices in the cell phone industry, given its dominance by four companies: AT&T, Sprint, T-Mobile USA, and Verizon Wireless[12]. According to the FCC, industry concentration, as measured by the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index, has increased 32% since 2003 primarily as a result of consolidation in the space[13].

Additionally, AT&T and other broadband network providers have been under scrutiny by the FCC for what may be preferential treatment to their own subscribers. For example, AT&T could offer video services at high speeds to subscribers, and make those of its competitors unavailable or slower[14]. With strong support from the U.S. Congress, the FCC may regulate these networks to enforce net neutrality, a decision that could drive up consumer prices[15].

High-Speed Internet and Video Investments

AT&T has made significant investments in developing high-speed internet and video offerings to compete with cable companies such as Time Warner Cable and Cablevision Systems. At the core of this drive is Project Lightspeed, AT&T’s initiative to provide broadband to 19 million households. As mentioned above, AT&T has decided to pursue the FTTN model, allowing it to build its network quicker and less expensively than some of its competitors.

Furthermore, AT&T is betting heavily on being able to provide high-quality video services to its customers. AT&T was involved in a bundling agreement with Echostar Communications to provide broadband and telephone services along with Echostar's satellite television. The laying of their own fiber optic wires puts the future of this relationship at risk. AT&T’s U-verse competes with Verizon’s FiOS and Docsis 3.0 which is provided by cable companies.

Government Investments in Telehealth

In an effort to help lower costs and improve the quality of medical care, many telecommunication companies are partnering up with tech companies to spur their remote client monitoring businesses and take advantage of the $6 billion government spending in telehealth[16]. AT&T research scientists have embedded pressure sensors in the soles of "smart slippers" that detect if a patient's gait is unusual or offbeat, notifying a doctor via e-mail and potentially preventing injury or future costly medical care. Consultancy firm PriceWaterhouseCoopers expects significant growth in this sector, amounting to $1.8 billion by 2013 from $77 million in 1995, as well as significant cost-cutting potential, with potential savings of 20-40%[16].

Competitors

Operator Customer Base, as of latest quarterly filing (in millions)
Verizon Wireless 92.8
AT&T 87.0
Sprint Nextel 48.1
T-Mobile 33.7[17]
Unconsolidated Minorities and Unidentified Others8.1
MetroPCS 7.3[18]
U.S. Cellular 6.2
Leap Wireless 4.6
Centennial Communications 1.1


FY2009 Monthly ARPU Churn Rate Customers Total Revenue (in millions) Subscriber Market Share
Sprint Nextel
MetroPCS
Verizon Wireless
AT&T
T-Mobile
Leap Wireless
U.S. Cellular


AT&T competes primarily with other telecommunications services companies, including Verizon Wireless, Sprint Nextel, Leap Wireless, and MetroPCS.

  • Verizon Wireless: Verizon Wireless is a joint venture of Verizon Communications (VZ) and Vodafone Group (VOD), and has outpaced AT&T to become the leading wireless service provider in the U.S. with 92.8 million subscribers as of the end of their first fiscal quarter in 2010. AT&T benefited from the necessary divestitures when Verizon buyout of Alltel Corporation, in which it gained approximately 1.6 million subscribers primarily across rural properties[19].



References

  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 "Record Wireless Sales, Strong Revenue and Earnings Growth Highlight AT&T’s Third-Quarter Results," AT&T Investor Relations, 10/21/2010
  2. 2.0 2.1 "New iPhone Could End AT&T's U.S. Monopoly," Wall Street Journal, 03/30/10
  3. "Apple passes 2 billion app downloads" Reuters, 9/28/2009
  4. 4.0 4.1 "AT&T Quarterly Earnings Dip on Landline Loss" 10/22/09
  5. "AT&T Launches Android Attack," Red Herring, 01/06/2010
  6. "U.S. Telecom Providers to Purchase and Innovate More in 2010" Seeking Alpha, 1/12/10
  7. "AT&T," Morningstar Investment Research
  8. 8.0 8.1 8.2 "Wireless Broadband Growth, Further Advances in IP-Based Services, Strong Margins and Cash Flow Highlight AT&T's First-Quarter Results," AT&T Investor Relations, 04/21/2010
  9. Strong Wireless Gains, Sound Operational Execution Highlight AT&T's Third Quarter; Results Led by 2.4 Million iPhone 3G Activations, Rapid Wireless Data Growth, October 22,2008
  10. "Telecom Stocks: Verizon or AT&T? Seeking Alpha 01/17/10
  11. Fawn Johnson (July 8, 2009). AT&T Disputes Antitrust Allegations Against Cell Phone Cos. Dow Jones.
  12. "FCC Concerned by Domination of Wireless Industry by AT&T and Verizon," Trefis Investment Research, 06/11/2009
  13. "AT&T Takes on Google Over 'Terrifying' Internet Rules", Bloomberg, 10/21/09
  14. "AT&T Asks Employees to Deter Net Neutrality" The Consumerist, 10/20/2009
  15. 16.0 16.1 "AT&T Sets its Sights on the 'Telehealth' Industry" New Jersey Business News, 12/06/09
  16. "T-Mobile slumps in Q1, loses 77,000 subscribers," Fierce Wireless, 05/12/2010
  17. "MetroPCS Reports First Quarter 2010 Results," Yahoo! Finance
  18. ["Telecom Services: Revising Estimates for Alltel Divestiture," J.P.Morgan Investment Research, 06/25/2010]
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