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TheStreet.com  Jul 1 
Marek Fuchs tells traders to ride today's trade winds to an AMD sale.
MarketWatch  Jun 29 
The tech sector trades mainly higher, playing off gains in shares of Advanced Micro Devices and Microsoft among others.
Motley Fool  Jun 23 
Supercomputers don't change all that much in design -- but Intel is stealing serious market share in the fastest and most expensive market segment out there.
newratings.com  Jun 19 
NEW YORK, June 19 (newratings.com) - Analysts at Friedman Billings reiterate their "market perform" rating on Advanced Micro Devices (ticker: AMD). The target price has been raised from $2.50 to $3.25. [more]
Business Wire  Jun 16 
AMD (NYSE: AMD): What:   AMD (NYSE: AMD) announces the availability of a beta plug-in for the Adobe® Premiere® Pro CS4 software that continues to enhance the performance of a range of complex video editing tasks.1 The plug-in is the result of an
Motley Fool  Jun 11 
Start spreading the news, AMD is leaving for New York. Frank Sinatra would be so proud.
MarketWatch  Jun 9 
Intel Corp. lost share in worldwide total microprocessor revenue in the first quarter of 2009, ending a year of sequential market gains, iSuppli Corp. says.
Business Wire  Jun 9 
AMD (NYSE: AMD) today expressed support for the formal commitment by GLOBALFOUNDRIES to the State of New York for the construction of the Fab 2 project at the Luther Forest Technology Campus (LFTC). Once completed, the project is expected to create
MarketWatch  Jun 8 
Intel Corp. Chief Executive Paul Otellini said Monday that the chip giant is confident of getting a fair shake from the Federal Trade Commission in the antitrust probe related to allegations that it abused its dominant market position against...
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BULLS: REASONS TO BUY

 
86% agree
 
AMD's Opteron processor has been well received and gained customers for AMD

 
0% agree
 
The European Union fined Intel a record $1.45 billion

 
50% agree
 
ATI will allow AMD to compete with Intel on platform technology

BEARS: REASONS TO SELL

 
60% agree
 
Intel has much deeper pockets than AMD

 
50% agree
 
Moody's downgrades AMD

 
50% agree
 
At current levels of operating expenses, profitability is impossible

 
AMD AT A GLANCE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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This article refers to the semiconductor manufacturer. For the Armenian dram, see Armenian Dram (AMD)

Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD) is a leading semiconductor producer that makes microprocessors for a variety of computing products, including personal desktop and notebook computers, servers, gaming consoles, and other consumer electronics. Along with market leader Intel, AMD dominates the semiconductor space.[1]

Intel has been in the industry longer than AMD and, with 76.7% market share and 79.7% of the revenue share for micoprocessors, maintains a significant lead over its smaller rival.[2] AMD announced a loss of $3.09 billion for FY 2008, while Intel's net income was $5.2 billion giving AMD a huge disadvantage when trying to allot money towards R&D ($5.722B by Intel compared to AMD's $1.84B).[3][4] Intel has strengthened its lead with the release of a new line of processing technology (45nm), known as the Core i7. Chips using this technology are faster and consume less power.[5] AMD rolled out its own 45nm release during the 4Q of 2008.[6]

On October 7, 2008 AMD closed a deal for a joint venture with Advanced Technology Investment Company (ATIC), a venture capital firm from Abu Dhabi. The new company assumes all manufacturing debt, operates AMD's two fabs, and will construct another fab in upstate New York. The joint venture gives AMD much needed cash and allows it to focus on chip design so it can most effectively compete with rival Intel.[7]

[edit] Company Overview

[edit] Business Metrics

On January 22, 2009 AMD announced that it dialed back its net loss to $1.4 billion, or $2.34 per share, in the latest period. The loss was $1.8 billion, or $3.06 per share, in the fourth quarter of 2007. Excluding that and other one-time charges, AMD lost 69 cents per share, which was wider than the 54 cents per share predicted by analysts polled by Thomson Reuters. Sales fell 33 percent to $1.16 billion, short of the average analyst estimate for $1.2 billion. The company also expects sales to fall again in the first quarter.[8] AMD has had a negative income since 2006, and less revenue in 2008 compared to 2005, largely due to excessively high costs and write downs on the ATI acquisition (there was a $684M write down in the 4Q on it). AMD spends a large portion of its money on R&D ($1.85 billion, about 31% of revenue in 2007.) Still, this is far less than Intel's spending in the same area--the industry giant is very aggressive about innovation. The graph below shows the net income and the revenues generated by the firm over the last 3 financial cycles.

AMD Annual Report 2008
AMD Annual Report 2008[3]

[edit] Business Segments

AMD Annual Report 2008
AMD Annual Report 2008[9]


2008 2007 2006
Computing Solutions[9]
Net Revenue $4,559 $4,702 $5,367
Operating Income (Loss) $(461) $(712) $679
Graphics[9]
Net Revenue $1,165 $992 $189
Operating Income (loss) $12 $(39) $(6)
All Other[9]
Net Revenue $84 $164 $71
Operating Income (loss) $(1,506) $(1,559) $(690)
Total[9]
Net Revenue $5,808 $5,858 $5,627
Operating Income (loss) $(1,955) $(2,310) $(17)

[edit] Products

  • Computation Products
    • Microprocessors: Essentially the brain of a computer, these products are found in all personal computers. AMD produces both single- and dual-core processors, which run both 32- and 64-bit computing.[10]
    • Servers and Workstations: The single- and dual-core Opteron processors are AMD's server and workstation microprocessing units, similar to their standard microprocessor cousins but made for larger computing projects including business processing (supply chain management, for instance), engineering and web servers. In August 2007, AMD introduced their quad-core AMD Opteron processors.[11]
  • Embedded Products: These are processors that are designed for devices in non-PC/computer markets. These products are made to meet particular consumer needs that may be outside the scope of PC processor units, like significantly smaller size, higher mobility, or tolerance of harsh environments.[12]
  • Graphic & Chipset Products: These enhance a computer's graphics capabilities, and can be either stand-alone graphic cards or chipsets that are integrated into motherboards. These products are used in systems designed for gaming or high-level graphic display.[13]
  • Memory Products: Until its IPO in October 2006, Spansion was a subsidiary of AMD that produced and sold flash memory products. Since its sale, AMD has discontinued its production and sale of flash memory products.[14]
  • Consumer Electronics: This segment includes processors for gaming consoles, digital televisions and handheld devices. These processors are specialized to fit the needs of a given product line. AMD's processors can be found in Microsoft's Xbox 360, the Nintendo Wii and Nintendo GameCube gaming consoles. (Related: Game Consoles Wars: Xbox 360 vs. PS3 vs. Wii.)[15]
  • Computers: AMD has announced their first computer brand named AMD Business Class. The company would develop and design these machines in collaboration with partners like Dell. These desktops would be followed by a range of new laptop products likely to be sold by companies like Acer, Dell, Fujitsu-Siemens, Hewlett-Packard and Lenovo. They will be targeted at the small- and medium-size business market, but would also meet the demands of the biggest corporate clients as well.[16]

[edit] Customers

  • Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and Original Design Manufacturers (ODMs) are companies that produce computers, handheld devices, and telecommunications and network communications products, and who are among ADM's chief customers. The products that these manufacturers produce rely on the processors that AMD makes.[17]
  • Third Party Distributors:AMD also sells its products to companies that distribute to smaller OEMs and ODMs.[18]

[edit] Industry Metrics

[edit] Process Technology and Architecture

  • Process Technology: this is the technology used in creating microprocessors. AMD's 65nm process technology is considered to be superior to Intel's, but Intel went one step further than AMD when it announced its new 45nm process technology. These numbers (65nm, 45nm) refer to the thickness of the insulation on the transistors inside the microprocessors--with thinner insulation, the density of circuits on a processor can be increased, so processors can be made both smaller and more powerful. Intel's 45nm processor was introduced in early November, while AMD is introducing its own around six months after.
  • Architecture: architecture refers to the chip design--how many individual processors can be crammed into one single chip. How the chip functions depends on its architecture, and changes in architectural design usually stem from attempts to create more efficient or more powerful processors. Currently, AMD uses both single-core and multi-core architecture for its processors.

[edit] Performance Metrics

Microprocessors are typically rated on a number of characteristics that measure their performance. These measurements are the most important factors for determining the success of a specific line of products, and as such they are the focusing points for creators of these chips. Some lines of chips will focus more on one factor than another in an attempt to predict what the market prefers (i.e. faster chips vs. more energy efficient chips, etc.)

  • Clock Speed: Microprocessor speed is an important indicator of how powerful the product is. In this ultra-competitive industry, Intel and AMD compete to produce the faster processor, even if the difference is very minimal. While clock speed is not the only performance factor that determines how good a processor is, it certainly plays a significant role.
  • Power Usage: processors that can provide the same computing power while using less energy are more efficient and more valuable. Here too, AMD and Intel race to create the most power-desirable chips.
  • Performance Per Watt: This measures the computing power of a microprocessor per single watt of energy consumed. In 2005, this metric proved to be very important for server processors: AMD's performance-per-watt focused processor was more appealing to the server market than Intel's clock-speed-focused processor because of the significant difference in power usage. AMD's was much more energy-efficient, lowering energy bills for products using its chips. As a result, AMD saw an 18.5% jump in its share of the server market between 2005 and 2006.

[edit] Trends and Forces

[edit] Semiconductor Cyclicality

The semiconductor industry is deeply cyclical. Demand in up cycles is so high that chip manufacturers have trouble keeping up. Similarly, if electronic sales, particularly PC sales, are slow, demand for chips can plummet. The fact that the semiconductor industry is more subject to the whim of consumer demand more than corporate demand, also adds to the overall volatility. Semiconductor sales have shown about an 80% correlation with GDP growth trends, meaning a downturn in GDP growth could very likely be accompanied by a downturn in semiconductor sales.

[edit] Declining PC Sales Decrease Product Demand

The demand for products that use AMD's processors is a significant factor in the success of AMD. Demand for computers has been decreasing growth since the mid 1990s, and as a result, microprocessing companies have seen decreasing growth in profits. IDC expects PC sales to be down 5.3 pct in 2009 as consumers search for cheaper units in a bad economy.[19] However, notebook and cell phone sales as well as potential growth from netbooks are driving the growing demand for microprocessors as desktops drop off. Netbooks are a new type of portable computer, that are cheap, light weight, and easy to use. In Q3 2008, shipments of netbooks grew 160%, overtaking iPhone sales by 900,000 units.[20] [21]

[edit] New Platform Technology Business

With the acquisition of ATI Technologies in October 2006, AMD was able to begin supplying 3D graphics, video and multimedia products for all types of computers, as well as products for consumer electronics. Before this acquisition AMD was unable to compete with Intel in platform technologies. AMD has developed a notebook platform, called Puma. This platform is designed to be compatible with consumer, business, and high end notebooks, making it a very attractive platform for OEM's. The high end graphics provided by ATI gives AMD's platform a significant advantage over Intel's competing platforms.[22] However, this advantage comes partly from the fact that Intel has had problems with the graphics aspect of its platform, known as Montevina. If Intel can get this chip working then the competition for AMD would increase.

[edit] Competition

AMD competes directly with Intel (INTC). Intel has been in the microprocessor industry longer than AMD and has a significant lead in market share, but AMD has been able to gain some of this market share.

With the acquisition of ATI Technologies, AMD hoped to increase its ability to compete with Intel on all levels. However, with the loss of Spansion, AMD's flash memory subsidiary, there are even more areas in which Intel has the outright advantage.

Intel has an enormous amount of power in the microprocessing industry and as a result is able to leverage its market share to gain more customers. This has been a difficult obstacle for AMD to overcome in the past. However, AMD does boast a reputation for better service, making it popular among certain groups of consumers. Lower price points also make certain AMD products preferable to Intel's equivalents. But these recent price wars between the two competing firms have proven to be costly for AMD. Because Intel is so much larger than AMD, it is able to cut costs more effectively and as a result the losses in profit margins (from price cuts) does not affect Intel as severely.

There is another market where AMD has yet to develop a processor. Greater demand for mobility drove the increase in notebook popularity, and now that trend has sparked the rise of netbooks (aka Mobile Internet Devices, or MID's). Intel has released its Atom processors for this market and NVIDIA has released a competing processor called the Tegra. AMD has yet to develop a processor for this up and coming market, and if netbook demand really starts to take off then AMD could be left trying to make up ground once again.

In the graphics chips world, the major competitors are Intel and Nvidia. AMD's Radeon line of graphics processors have turned out to be better than expected and are delivering stiff competition to Nvidia in the high end market. AMD executed a differentiating strategy for its high end graphics cards by developing mid range chips but then bundling those chips into its high end graphics cards.[23] Nvidia and Intel, on the other hand, generally develop a high end chip and then move that chip down the value chain over time. AMD's strategy poses possible execution problems over time because it requires advanced inter processor communications, but the design is able to dramatically decrease power consumption.[24] AMD released a dual processor graphics card, named the HD 4870 X2, in August 2008. The is aimed at gaming and is capable of 2.4 trillion operations per second. [25] This card marks an important step in gaining market share from leading graphics producer Nvidia. In 2Q 2008, Nvidia's market share for laptop graphics dropped 3% to 24% while AMD increased its market share 1% to 18%.[26]

For FY08 AMD[3] Intel[4] NVIDIA
Annual Revenue(in M)$5,808$37,586$3,429
Net Income (in M)$(3,098)$5,292$797.6
Number of Employees14,70083,9005,420

[edit] References

  1. AMD 2008 10-K pg. 2  
  2. AMD narrows market share gap with Intel, revenue gap grows (07-02-2008). Retrieved on 2009-06-03.
  3. 3.0 3.1 3.2 AMD 2008 10-K pg. 45  
  4. 4.0 4.1 INTC 2008 10-K pg. 26  
  5. Giz Explains: Why Intel's Core i7 Processor Is a Beautiful Monster (11-26-2008). Retrieved on 2009-06-03.
  6. AMD completes 45-nm processor, but quad-core Opterons still delayed (03-04-2008). Retrieved on 2009-06-03.
  7. AMD and Advanced Technology Investment Company of Abu Dhabi to create new leading-edge semiconductor manufacturing company (10-07-2008). Retrieved on 06-03-2009.
  8. Advanced Micro Devices trims 4Q loss but not as sharply as Wall Street hoped Jan 22, 2009
  9. 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.4 AMD 2008 10-K pg. 60  
  10. AMD Annual Report 2008 Part 1
  11. AMD Annual Report 2008 Part 1
  12. AMD Annual Report 2008 Part 1
  13. AMD Annual Report 2008 Part 1
  14. AMD Annual Report 2008 Part 1
  15. AMD Annual Report 2008 Part 1
  16. AMD Business Class desktop personal computers launched - April 28, 2008
  17. AMD Annual Report 2008 Part 1
  18. AMD Annual Report 2008 Part 1
  19. PC sales seen down 5.3 pct in 2009 – December 3, 2008
  20. Netbook Sales Overtake iPhone Sales December 10, 2008
  21. Acer leads netbook market while Apple loses market share - December, 2008
  22. AMD shakes PC Notebook Status Quo
  23. Nvidia: Intensifying Competition and Execution Challenges
  24. Nvidia: Intensifying Competition and Execution Challenges
  25. Informationweek.com, AMD Unveils Latest Dual-Chip Graphics Card
  26. Bloomberg.com, Nvidia has first loss in 6 years, Buyback lifts stock
 
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