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Things to like about AFAM
- AFAM was recently added to the Russell 2000. It had a runup going into June 30, then pulled back. It now seems to be resuming its relative strength in a terrible overall market environment and should be a good stock to hold in a recessionary environment.
- The company reported great first quarter earnings:
- Service revenues up 23%, Visiting Nurse revenues up 30%.
- 17% organic revenue growth plus additional gains from rolling up acquisitions.
- Net income from continuing operations up 41%.
- Reasonable PE ratio (16 times) for a company growing so fast.
- Little analyst coverage (only two analysts).
- Return on equity= 28%
- Growing analyst estimates for 2009. In the last 90 days, the forecasted analyst 2009 earnings estimate was raised from 1.31 to 1.67.
- Low institutional ownership (only 17%). Lots of potential upside as more institutional investors purchase AFAM which is now on their radar screen as a member of the Russell 2000.
- Good Sponsorship: Owned by Fidelity Lo Price (Tillinghast) and Oberweis Micro Cap funds.
- Will benefit from aging of the baby boomers.
