QUOTE AND NEWS
Benzinga  Aug 4  Comment 
Automobile retailers saw a boost Monday after AutoNation (NYSE: AN) posted gains in July same-store sales. Total sales for the nation's largest car dealer gained eight percent from a year ago, to 27,484 new vehicles. AutoNation's premium...
Market Intelligence Center  Jul 30  Comment 
Option-trade picking algorithms patented by MarketIntelligenceCenter.com found a trading opportunity with AutoNation Inc (AN) that should provide a 2.26% return in just 80 days. Sell one Oct. '14 call at the $52.50 level for each 100 shares of...
Market Intelligence Center  Jul 21  Comment 
After Friday’s trading in AutoNation Inc (AN) MarketIntelligenceCenter.com's patented algorithms uncovered a trade that offers a 3.91% return or 7.93% on an annualized basis (for comparison purposes only), while providing 7.84% downside...
SeekingAlpha  Jul 18  Comment 
Start Time: 11:00 End Time: 12:05 AutoNation Inc. (NYSE:AN) Q2 2014 Earnings Conference Call July 17, 2014, 11:00 AM ET Executives Robert Quartaro - Senior Manager, IR Mike Jackson - Chairman and CEO Cheryl Scully - EVP and...
Motley Fool  Jul 17  Comment 
Tensions in Ukraine increased after a Malaysian airliner crashed, sending the stock market plunging. Find out why these stocks fared especially poorly.
TheStreet.com  Jul 17  Comment 
NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Shares of AutoNation Inc.  are down -6.36% to $56.98 after it reported second quarter net income from continuing operations of 83 cents per share, versus the average estimate of analysts surveyed by Reuters of 87 cents...
Wall Street Journal  Jul 17  Comment 
AutoNation's second-quarter net income rose 12%, and the nation's largest dealership chain said it is accelerating plans to build a new digital app that would allow customers to buy a car mostly online.
Benzinga  Jul 17  Comment 
Shares of AutoNation (NYSE: AN) tumbled more than 4.5% in pre-market trading after the company reported weaker-than-expected earnings for the second quarter. The Fort Lauderdale, Florida-based company posted a quarterly net profit of $101...
SeekingAlpha  Jul 15  Comment 
By eWhispers: The consensus earnings estimate for AutoNation (NYSE:AN) has edged higher by a penny since the start of the second quarter to $0.87 per share, with revenue estimated to be $4.79 billion, which represents 19.2% year-over-year...




 

AutoNation, Inc. (NYSE:AN) is the largest automotive retailer in the United States as of December 31, 2009.[1] The company sells new and used cars through its 246 franchises located primarily in U.S. metropolitan areas of the Sunbelt region (Southeast and Southwest United States). The company sells 33 different brands of new cars, including Toyota Motor (TM), Ford Motor Company (F), Honda Motor Company (HMC), General Motors (GMGMQ), Mercedes, BMW, and Nissan Motor (NSANY) made up 96% of its new cars sales.[1]

The company markets its stores under various local brand names, and due to its size relative to a fragmented competitor base (aside from competitor CARMAX (KMX)), AutoNation can leverage its size and scale to achieve cost efficiencies across its stores. However, the company operates in a mature industry and has experienced limited ability to grow via acquisitions, its primary method of growth. Furthermore, the company is negatively affected by rising oil prices as consumers drive less frequently and demand fewer new and used cars and fewer parts for their existing cars.

Company Overview

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Financials

For the year 2009, new vehicle sales accounted for 53% of its total revenues, while used vehicle sales accounted for 23%.[1] Autonation sold parts and services, which accounted for 20% of total revenue, while financing and insurance products accounted for the remaining 3%.

For 2009, AutoNation earned a total revenue of $10.76 billion, enabling it to earn a net income of $198 million. Compared to 2008, AutoNation's total revenues declined, due largely to the tougher economic climate in 2009. This is evidenced by the fact that in 2009, only 10.4 million new cars were sold in the entire United States compared to 13.2 million in 2008.[2]

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Company Specific Trends/Risks

Dependence on continued financial viability of Auto Makers

Vehicles made by General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor Company (F) constitute 33% of the AN's sales, and as American automakers struggle to remain competitive and financially viable, AutoNation is at risk of materially adverse after-effects.[3] Each of the "Big Three" (Ford, GM, and Daimler Chrysler) face substantial on and off-balance sheet liabilities, significant losses, and stiff competition from more cost-effective and successful competitors abroad, like Toyota Motor (TM) and Honda Motor Company (HMC). If any of these companies enter bankruptcy, raises prices, cut back production, or otherwise shift their business strategy, AN may experience store closings, drops in revenue at locations carrying GM and Ford brands, or otherwise strained margins or contracted business.

Highly fragmented and very mature market

The automotive retail industry is highly competitive, very fragmented, and mature. Nonetheless, the market (and aftermarket) for cars, parts, and service has steadily, albeit modestly, increasing demand. In the U.S., increases in the number and age of vehicles, number of miles driven annually, licensed drivers, and total number of light trucks (which generally require greater upkeep) provide for a relatively steady and growing automotive market.[4] The American market, however, is mature and unlikely to experience significantly higher rates of growth. Also, increases in the quality of cars may offset the need for secondary purchases of repair equipment and parts, which constitute the majority of AN gross profits.

Economies of Scale and Competitive Advantages

That the automotive retail market is so fragmented is both a challenge and an opportunity for AutoNation. The fragmentation makes for intense price competition for all dealers. However, because of AutoNation's relatively large size, store network, ability to command volume discounts, and ability to market its local brands in unison, the company enjoys something of a cost advantage over competitors. Furthermore, though barriers to entry are small, AN's scale is not easily duplicated in the industry; therefore, competitors may have a difficult time competing with the company's prices.


Macro Trends Affecting AutoNation

Rising Oil Prices

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When oil prices increase, drivers limit their mileage and time on the road. In the long run, with sustained high oil prices, cars will assume less wear-and-tear and drivers will replace vehicles less frequently. Furthermore, less wear-and-tear on the road means less business for AN's parts and services segments (their most profitable business).

Travel & Hurricanes in the South

Increased travel and natural disasters like hurricanes can dramatically affect pricing for the company. When Americans travel more, rental companies like Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ) and Avis Budget Group (CAR) demand greater numbers of wholesale used-cars from AutoNation, and bidding intensifies. Similarly, hurricanes, such as those of the magnitude of Katrina and Rita, destroy large quantities of vehicles in the South/Sun Belt, a key market for the company. When replacements are sought in mass, demand drives car prices upward. Positive hurricane pricing is somewhat offset by the fact that the company operates a number of stores in storm-prone regions, placing them at risk of damage and necessitating pricey insurance coverage.

Subprime Delinquencies on Auto Loans

As many auto buyers finance their purchases with loans, there exists a risk of spillover from the subprime lending crisis into the auto-loan business. As homeowners/car buyers struggle to pay both their mortgages and auto-loans, the company may assume losses due to loan delinquencies as well as hampered demand for auto loans going forward.[5]

Competition and Market Share

The domestic industry for automotive new vehicle retail is fragmented and includes approximately 21,500 franchised dealerships and 17 million units sold annually. Similarly, the used vehicle retail industry includes some 45,000 independent used car dealerships and 45 million units sold annually.[6][7] Most are independently owned and operated, mom-and-pop type operations, as opposed to the AutoNation and CARMAX (KMX) roll-up, large-scale, parent company model. Hi Daniele,I was actually not cticiral of SenseLab's or Carlo's own work (which I find fascinating), I was rather wondering how this beauty can turn into something that makes people's lives better. As you suggest I'm happy to see that the lab is going onto get this done :) I'm actually in the process of coming back to reading academic stuff, and SenseLab's list of publications seems to be a good one to begin with.As for oysters well, I'm more than worried by a Big Brother scenario, and you are right when you say that the step from where+when to where+what is a short one. Somewhat I agree with the slow approach to this, and I'm not advocating any speed up in this process. Nonetheless, I think that you are actually pointing the real issue: the way data are used, not the data itself. I'm not against rules in this context, and I believe we should rather concentrate on how to detect, avoid, and punish unacceptable behaviours (e.g.: using data to create advertisement without the user's authorization, insurances discriminating users that work in Brixton, etc ). I'd be very interested in reading your paper about this!Yep, I'll keep on blogging, not at a very high frequency as usual, but when I have something I'd like to discuss I'll put it on here :)

, wow, that's really ugly. What I've potesd here is1. small2. low resolution so I can see how it would make someone's head hurt to look at it. On the other hand, I remember living in Europe pre-internet and trying to figure out the train schedules in the town where I was living. An extremely large version of something like this would have been helpful.

Footnotes

  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 AN 10-K 2009 Item 1 Pg. 1
  2. AN 10-K 2009 Item 7 Pg. 21
  3. A 2006 Annual Report, "Risk Factors," pg 7
  4. CSK Annual Report 2006, pg 9
  5. Associated Press article, "Subprime crisis could spread to auto loans," November 26, 2007
  6. Dealership statistics from National Automotive Dealers Association, Manheim Auctions, Report 2006
  7. Unit Statistics from CNW Marketing/Research, New vehicle volume, Automotive News 2005
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