QUOTE AND NEWS
MarketWatch  Apr 21 
Swedish car parts firm Autoliv said Tuesday that it swung to a loss of $63.4 million in the first quarter of 2009. Last year, the firm posted a profit of $81.5 million. Analysts had expected a net loss of $93 million, according to data compiled...
New York Times  Mar 25 
Autoliv, the world’s largest maker of air bags for cars, said it had cut 3,000 jobs in the first two months of the year, eliminating 2,600 permanent and 400 temporary positions.
market folly  Nov 13 
Yesterday, we saw that Goldman Sachs made a few changes to their Conviction Lists. Notably, they added Wyeth (WYE) to the buy list, giving the stock a breakup value of $50 a share. They currently have a price target of $46 on the shares. ...
Jutia Group  Dec 8 
Autoliv (NYSE:ALV) is the supplier of automotive occupant safety restraint systems with a range of product offerings, including modules and components for passenger and driver-side airbags, side-impact airbag protection systems, seatbelts,...
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ALV AT A GLANCE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Autoliv, Inc. (NYSE: ALV) manufactures protection systems for automobiles, with a product portfolio consisting primarily of safety airbags, seat belts, and steering wheels. Autoliv recorded total revenues of nearly $6.8 billion in 2007.[1] Autoliv sells its products to automobile manufacturers such as Ford Motor Company (F), Nissan Motor (NSANY), General Motors (GM), and Volkswagen (VLKAY).[2]

Autoliv is the largest airbag and seat belt producer with 33% of the world market. Despite Autoliv's large size, it is heavily exposed to a few customers as sales to the company's five largest customers comprised nearly 60% of Autoliv's 2007 revenues.[3] The company was also hurt by a nearly $100 per ton rise in the price of steel during 2007,[4] which increased the cost of raw materials from 25% of total manufacturing expenses in 2002 to 40% of total manufacturing expenses in 2007.[5] On the other hand, a weak dollar provided the company with a $323 million boost in 2007.[6] Likewise, a government mandate that all passenger cars must have side curtain airbags by 2012[7] led to a 9% increase in Autoliv's total revenues. Autoliv's two main competitors are TRW Automotive Holdings (TRW), which has 23% of the market, and Takata (TKTDF), which has 20% of the market. Small manufacturers, like Key Safety Systems, and automobile manufacturers that make airbags and seat belts in house, such as Toyota Motor (TM), comprise the remaining 24% of the global market for airbags and seat belts.[8]

[edit] Business Segments

2007 Revenues by Segment
2007 Revenues by Segment[9]

Autoliv's main products are airbags and seat belts, but the company also makes related automobile safety products, including night vision systems, steering wheels, and electronic control systems.[10]

[edit] Airbags and Associated Products (65% of 2007 revenue)

Airbags and Associated Products manufactures airbags and related products, such as airbag inflators and modules that control when the airbags deploy.[11] Autoliv's airbags include innovations such as the "Safety-Vent Airbag" which changes size and shape based on the weight and build of the driver or passenger it is protecting. Due to new federal laws in the U.S. requiring that all passenger vehicles in the United States have side curtain airbags by 2012, Autoliv said it expects side curtain airbags to be this segment's strongest growth driver.[12]

[edit] Seat Belts and Associated Products (35% of 2007 revenue)

In addition to seat belts, the Seat Belts and Associated Products segment makes related components like pretensioners, which tighten the seat belt right before a crash to help prevent injury, and load limiters, which loosen seat belt tension in a controlled way to decrease pressure on the occupants chest.[13]

[edit] Business Financials

2007 Revenues by Geography
2007 Revenues by Geography[14]

Autoliv 2007 Revenue, Operating Income, and Net Income[15] ($ in millions)

Segment 2007 2006 2005
Airbags and Associated Products4,3774,0854,116
Seat Belts and Associated Products2,3922,1032,089
Total Revenues6,7696,1886,205
Operating Income502520513
Net Income288402293


A court ruling against Autoliv decreased operating income by $30 million in 2007.[16]

[edit] Key Trends and Forces

Steel Prices
Steel Prices[17]

[edit] Rising raw materials costs increased Autoliv's COGS by 10% in 2007

Between January 2007 and December 2007, the price of hot rolled steel coil rose from $549 to $630 per metric ton, and the price of hot rolled steel plate rose from $747 to $837 per metric ton.[18] Because of increases like this, the cost of raw materials as a percentage of the total production costs increased from 25% of costs in 2002 to 40% of costs in 2007,[19] and Autoliv's cost of goods sold (COGS) increased 10% in 2007 alone. It is difficult to pass rising raw materials costs on to customers as price increases, which can hurt profitability.

[edit] All passenger cars sold in the U.S. must have side airbags by 2012

In 2007, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration announced a new regulation under which all new cars sold in the United States must have side curtain airbags by 2012.[20] As a result, Autoliv's revenue increased over 9% from $6,188 million in 2006 to $6,769 million in 2007.[21]

[edit] Autoliv's five largest customers accounted for 59% of revenue in 2007

Sales to Autoliv's five largest customers generated about 59% of the company's 2007 revenue, with Ford Motor Company (F) (including Volvo) accounting for 18%, Renault (including Nissan Motor (NSANY)) accounting for 12%, General Motors (GM) accounting for 11%, Volkswagen (VLKAY) accounting for 10%, and Peugeot accounting for 8%.[22] A loss of or a significant decrease in orders from any one of these companies would result in Autoliv losing up to 18% of its revenue. Also, Autoliv does a combined 20% of its business with Renault and Peugeot, while TRW Automotive Holdings (TRW), one of ALV's main competitors, does not list either of the two among its largest customers.

EUR-USD Exchange Rates
EUR-USD Exchange Rates[23]

[edit] A weak U.S. dollar gave Autoliv's international sales a $323 million boost in '07

Because Autoliv reports its revenue in U.S. dollars but does 75% of its business outside of North America, its revenue is highly exposed to fluctuations in exchange rates. Between June 18, 2007 and June 18, 2008, the USD depreciated relative to both the euro and the Japanese yen,[24][25] which boosted the dollar value of Autoliv's international sales by $323 million in 2007.[26] When foreign currencies depreciate, the dollar value of Autoliv's international revenues decreases. On the other hand, when the value of the dollar decreases (foreign currencies appreciate), the dollar value of Autoliv's international revenues increases.

[edit] Key Competitors

  • TRW Automotive Holdings (TRW) provides active safety systems such as braking and steering controls as well as air bags and seat belts to automobile manufacturers.[27]
  • Takata (TKTDF) provides seat belts, airbags and related safety products to automobile manufacturers.[28]
  • Key Safety Systems is an example private company that manufacturers of airbags, seat belts, and related safety components. The company sells its safety components to automobile manufacturers.[29]

Autoliv and Key Competitors 2007 ($ in millions)[30][31]

Company Revenue Net Income Net Profit Margin
Autoliv 6,769 288 4.25%
TRW Automotive Holdings (TRW) 14,702 90 0.61%
Takata (TKTDF) 4,529 201 4.43%
Key Safety SystemsPvt.Pvt.Pvt.

Note: Revenue and operating income for Takata (TKTDF) are for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2008. Figures for Takata (TKTDF) were also converted from Japanese Yen using the average exchange rate from April 1, 2007 to March 31 2008.


[edit] Autoliv Share of Automobile Safety Components Market

Market Share for ALV and Key Competitors
Market Share for ALV and Key Competitors[32]

Market Share for Autoliv and Key Competitors[33]

Company 2007
Autoliv33%
TRW Automotive Holdings (TRW)23%
Takata (TKTDF)20%
Others24%

Note: Others includes small private companies like Key Safety Systems and manufacturers who make their own products in house like Toyota Motor (TM).


[edit] References

  1. ALV 2007 10-K Exhibit 13: Note 19 to Consolidated Financial Statements
  2. ALV 2007 10-K Exhibit 13: Note 19 to Consolidated Financial Statements
  3. ALV 10-K Risk Factors: Our business could be materially and adversely affected if we lost any of our largest customers
  4. MEPS STEEL PRODUCT PRICE LEVELS ACROSS 2007 - 2008
  5. ALC 2007 10-K Exhibit 13: Cost Control
  6. ALV 2007 10-K Exhibit 13 Non-U.S. GAAP Performance Measures: Components in Sales Increase/Decrease
  7. Edmunds: NHTSA Mandates Side Airbag Protection in All Passenger Cars
  8. ALV 2007 Annual Report: Customers, pg 15
  9. ALV 2007 10-K Exhibit 13: Note 19 to Consolidated Financial Statements
  10. ALV 2007 10-K Item 1 Business: Business
  11. ALV 2007 10-K Item 1 Business: General
  12. ALV 2007 Annual Report: Technology, pg 18
  13. ALV 2007 Annual Report: Autoliv-Driven for Life, pg 3
  14. ALV 2007 10-K Exhibit 13: Note 19 to Consolidated Financial Statements
  15. ALV 2007 10-K Exhibit 13: Note 19 to Consolidated Financial Statements
  16. ALV 2007 10-K Exhibit 13: 2007 in Summary
  17. MEPS STEEL PRODUCT PRICE LEVELS ACROSS 2007 - 2008
  18. MEPS STEEL PRODUCT PRICE LEVELS ACROSS 2007 - 2008
  19. ALC 2007 10-K Exhibit 13: Cost Control
  20. Edmunds: NHTSA Mandates Side Airbag Protection in All Passenger Cars
  21. ALV 2007 10-K Exhibit 13: Note 19 to Consolidated Financial Statements
  22. ALV 10-K Risk Factors: Our business could be materially and adversely affected if we lost any of our largest customers
  23. EUR to USD Exchange Rates
  24. EUR-USD Exchange Rates
  25. USD-JPY Exchange Rates
  26. ALV 2007 10-K Exhibit 13 Non-U.S. GAAP Performance Measures: Components in Sales Increase/Decrease
  27. Google Finance: TRW
  28. Business Week 7312.T
  29. Google Finance: Key Safety Systems, Inc.
  30. Monthly Average Graph (American Dollar, Japanese Yen) 2008
  31. Monthly Average Graph (American Dollar, Japanese Yen) 2008
  32. ALV 2007 Annual Report: Customers, pg 15
  33. ALV 2007 Annual Report: Customers, pg 15
 
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