QUOTE AND NEWS
Forbes  3 hrs ago  Comment 
Analysts are looking for decreased profit for CSX when the company reports its results for the first quarter on Tuesday, April 15, 2014. CSX reported profit of 45 cents a year ago, but the consensus estimate calls for earnings per share of 38...
Forbes  Apr 10  Comment 
CSX believes that the volume and revenue impact of the harsh weather can be recovered over the coming quarters. However, growth in earnings per share for the full year will be somewhat moderate compared to the company's earlier guidance of 10-15%.
SeekingAlpha  Apr 3  Comment 
ByIAEResearch: The demand for coal and is usually high during the winters, which is a beneficial development for the railroad companies as coal transportation is a major business for some of these companies. CSX Corporation (CSX) is one of the...
TheStreet.com  Mar 31  Comment 
NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- On CNBC's "Cramer's Stop Trading" segment, TheStreet's Jim Cramer, co-manager of the Action Alerts PLUS portfolio, said shares of Paccar should be higher.  While he admitted that Cummins is one of his favorite...
StreetInsider.com  Mar 26  Comment 
Visit StreetInsider.com at http://www.streetinsider.com/Corporate+News/CSX+Transportation+Rejects+NIT+League%27s+Proposed+Sitching+Scheme+%28CSX%29/9318682.html for the full story.
TheStreet.com  Mar 25  Comment 
NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Walgreen missed earnings per share estimates of 91 cents by 1 cent, on in-line revenue. However, TheStreet's Jim Cramer, co-manager of the Action Alerts PLUS portfolio, noted the company "gave a very optimistic read for...
TheStreet.com  Mar 25  Comment 
NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- CSX Corp  has been placed on its US 1 list, Bank of America/Merrill Lynch said Tuesday. The firm said the company is likely at the trough of its utility coal declines. Bank of America reiterated a "buy" rating and $32...
SeekingAlpha  Mar 15  Comment 
By Alpha Strategist: Rail Business - an Integral Part of the US Economy The rail transport business is an integral part of the US economy as it transports almost everything from agricultural produce to chemicals, from crude oil to building...
Forbes  Mar 14  Comment 
Domestic coal business for the entire freight railroad industry has been declining for two reasons. Firstly, because of the competition from natural gas and secondly because of the inventory overhang. The trends for these factors seem to be...
Reuters  Mar 12  Comment 
U.S. railroad CSX Corp warned first-quarter earnings would be hit by about 10 cents per share as a severe winter hit operations and volumes.     




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CSX Corporation (NYSE:CSX) is one of the nation's leading transportation companies. CSX's 30,000 employees operate a rail network comprised of more than 21,000 miles of track, 4,100 locomotives, 216,000 freight cars, and nearly 33,000 intermodal units.[1] The company transports everything from chemicals to automotive parts. Its main divisions are Merchandise, coal , Intermodal (a combination of rail and truck transportation), and Automotive. The company earned $9 billion in revenue and $1.1 billion in net income in 2009.[2]

Like its counterparts in the railroad industry, CSX is subject to economic cycles. When the economy is doing well, more goods tend to be shipped, and when the economy is doing poorly, fewer goods tend to be shipped. Moreover, the volume of goods being shipped by a particular industry tends to vary directly in proportion to the health of that industry. For instance as housing markets have declined, the demand for the transportation of housing related goods has also decreased. As the price for a barrel of crude oil rises, diesel fuel and trucking becomes much more expensive. Rail prices are much less sensitive to fuel costs, and a massive movement to rail-based transport developed. Volume has exploded the last two quarters for this sector.

Although CSX has made progress in some areas, it still lags its competitors in key performance areas such as train speeds, on-time arrivals and departures, accidents, and re-crews. This is largely due to the complexity of CSX's rail road system. The company's current incarnation is the result of a merger of two separate railroads. CSX also acquired a significant interest in Conrail in 1997; the integration of these three networks results in more operational difficulties than its competitors. As a result of these operational lags to its competitors, hedge funds TCI and 3g Partners acquired large stakes in the company and launched a proxy battle to secure seats on the board of directors.


Business Growth

FY 2009 (ended December 25, 2009)[2]

  • Net revenue fell 20% to $9 billion due to declines in volume and lower fuel surcharge revenue which more than offset core pricing gains.
  • Net income fell 24% to $1.1 billion.

Trends and Forces

Fuel

As with all transportation industries, the price of oil and other fuels have a tremendous impact on CSX's bottom line. A decrease in fuel hedge benefits, coupled with higher diesel prices directly increase CSX's expenses. According to CSX, approximately 85% of its revenue is subject to fuel surcharges or price increases.

Derailments & Accidents

Derailments are a common expense for railroads but the magnitude of the accident can have a significant impact. In addition, because railroads are required by law to transport hazardous materials, there is a possibility of future derailments of this magnitude.

Legislation & Regulation

Railroads are subject to various regulations from multiple government departments, all of which could significantly impact business should they choose to change any of the current regulations. Railroads, and the domestic transportation infrastructure in general, are vulnerable to terrorist attacks and as such, federal, state, and local governments are adopting legislation that will strengthen security. In conforming to new regulations, CSX would undoubtedly incur extensive expenses.[3]

Network Difficulties

CSX is the product of a merger of two separate railroads and has also acquired a 42% economic interest in Conrail. Ensuring the compatibility of these three networks is a difficult task and a constant hindrance to improving train speeds and other operating metrics. The network is also subject to natural disasters, such as Hurricane Katrina, which resulted in more than $170 million in insurance claims. CSX currently spends an average 13%-14% of annual revenue on capital projects, primarily on track maintenance as opposed to expansion.

Unions

Most of the 30,000 employees belong to labor unions, making CSX's relationship with the unions of utmost importance. The rail industry has been fortunate in the past, almost always reaching an agreement during negotiations before a strike becomes necessary. In the last thirty years, there were only six days of work stoppage due to labor negotiations.[4]

Competition

Like other rail lines, CSX directly competes with the trucking and shipping industries. Trains are three times more fuel-efficient than their trucking competitors, but have less short-haul flexibility. As shipping imports from Asia continue to increase, analysts expect increased volume at many East Coast ports because West Coast ports already experience heavy congestion. Higher volumes flowing through the Suez and Panama canals also seem to support this assumption. In the rail industry, CSX's main competitor is Norfolk Southern (NSC), another East Coast rail line. CSX maintains a larger rail network, but Norfolk Southern consistently tops CSX in two of the three the main operating metrics: Train speed and average dwell time (the average time a car resides at the specified terminal location); CSX consistently has more cars online. Norfolk Southern also has a significantly better operating ratio (operating expenses / operating revenue) than CSX - 72.8% vs. 77.8%.

References

  1. CSX 2009 10-K "CSX Rail Network" pg. 18-21
  2. 2.0 2.1 CSX 2009 10-K "Selected Financial Data" pg. 27
  3. CSX 2009 10-K pg. 11
  4. CSX 2009 10-K pg. 12
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