QUOTE AND NEWS
TheStreet.com  Jun 30 
Shopping CVS, Rite Aid and Walgreen gives investors a sneak peak on how the companies are performing.
Wall Street Journal  Jun 25 
CVS apparently ended a years-old practice of including top executives as guest on trips auctioned off at an annual charity event.
Chart Analysis  Jun 16 
I charted CVS Caremark Corp (NYSE:CVS) at 12:38 on June 16th, 2009 while it was trading at $29.92. The trend line of higher lows is set to converge with the trend line of lower highs soon - This is setting up something close to a symmetrical...
My Trader's Journal  Jun 15 
Kopin Tan wrote a bullish few paragraphs in today's edition of Barron's about CVS Caremark Corp (NYSE: CVS).  One of his points for calling CVS a buy is the historically low P/E ratio it has right now.  I checked Ford Equity Research and found...
Bloomberg  Jun 13 
A unit of CVS Caremark Corp. used its access to doctors who treat the mentally ill to market Eli Lilly & Co.’s Zyprexa antipsychotic while it was under contract to bargain with the drugmaker on behalf of health insurers, internal Lilly files...
Bloomberg  Jun 12 
(Update1) A unit of CVS Caremark Corp. used its access to doctors who treat the mentally ill to market Eli Lilly & Co.’s Zyprexa antipsychotic while it was under contract to bargain with the drugmaker on behalf of health insurers, internal...
TheStreet.com  Jun 4 
Despite missing May same-store sales expectations, Rite Aid watches as investors send its shares up more than 8% in morning trading.
market folly  Jun 4 
This is the 1st Quarter 2009 edition of our ongoing hedge fund portfolio tracking series. Before reading this update, make sure you check out the Hedge Fund 13F filings series preface. Next up, we have Maverick Capital. Lee Ainslie started...
Reuters  May 13 
An association representing independent pharmacies said it asked the U.S. Federal Trade Commission on Wednesday to reassess CVS's purchase of Caremark, saying CVS pushed up prices and used sensitive business information to poach customers from...
TheStreet.com  May 13 
CVS, Walgreen and Rite Aid give up yesterday's gains, as CVS faces charges of waging unfair competition for customers.
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BULLS: REASONS TO BUY

 
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Medicare part D

 
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Good at increasing Same Store Sales in acquired stores

 
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Purchasing power means higher margins on meds

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CVS AT A GLANCE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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CVS Caremark (NYSE: CVS) is a pharmacy services provider in the U.S. Its business includes operations of pharmacies, which sell prescription and over the counter drugs, as well as retail merchandise such as cosmetics, convenience foods, and photo processing services. It also provides mail-order pharmaceutical services like prescription fulfillment.[1]

Due to an acquisition streak (Longs Drug Stores (LDG), a retail pharmacy chain in 2008 [2], Caremark RX, a leading Pharmacy Benefit Manager in 2007[3] , MinuteClinic, a retail health clinic business in 2006), CVS has expanded its geographic retail footprint across the country. The company benefits from the increased demand for drugs from aging baby boomer population, the general increase in prescription drug coverage over the last decade, and the expansion of government spending on health care through programs like Medicare Part D. It is further relatively shielded from the 2008 economic slowdown because pharmaceutical retail companies have higher profit margins on generic drugs than prescription drugs. [4] The company generated $76.3 billion in sales in fiscal 2007, placing it ahead of the industry's historical leader, Walgreen Company (WAG) which netted $53.8 billion of revenue in FY07. [5]

CVS does have a history of legal problems, however. It has been accused of prescription errors and quality problems, illegally dumping confidential patient information, breaches of patient confidentiality and most recently in 2006 of the bribery of former Rhode Island state senator John Celona (D-RI), who was convicted and plead guilty to mail fraud. [6]

[edit] Company Overview

CVS Caremark Corporation operates the popular retail CVS Pharmacy stores, which number over 6,300 nationwide. They also operate the Pharmacy Benefit Manager (PBM) Pharmacare and new acquisitions: the PBM Caremark, retail health clinic MinuteClinic (mostly located inside CVS/Pharmacy stores), and Longs Drug Stores. [7]

[edit] Prescription Drugs (69% of 2007 net revenue)[8]

[edit] Pharmacy

CVS Sales by Category
CVS Sales by Category[9]

CVS sells prescription drugs through its retail pharmacies, as well as its website (www.CVS.com).

  • Health Savings Pass

CVS began in November, 2008 a generic discount program Health Savings Pass to rival competitors' success with similar programs. For a $10 membership fee, consumers are able to buy 90-day supplies of many common generic drugs for $9.99, as well as a 10% discount at CVS MinuteClinics. [10]

[edit] Pharmacare

CVS also provides Pharmacy Benefit Management, mail order, disease management, and specialty services through Pharmacare Management Services. [11] Their operation as a PBM allows them to make bulk purchases of drugs and therefore negotiate a lower price that can be passed on to consumers.

[edit] Over-the-counter and Personal Care (13% of 2007 Net Revenue)[12]

CVS also sells over-the-counter drugs and personal care products through its retail stores and pharmacies.

[edit] Front Store (19% of 2007 net revenue)[13]

The bulk of CVS/Pharmacy's physical store footprint is the front store (or the "front end") that offers merchandise such of cosmetics, photo processing services, greeting cards, convenience foods, seasonal merchandise, as well as other various retail products. CVS carries a wide variety of private, proprietary, and national brands. In addition to CVS Brand, CVS holds exclusive contracts to sell certain proprietary brands, and the company was the first to sell single-use digital cameras. CVS brand and propriety brand products accounted for approximately 14% of front store sales in 2007. Breakdown of Front Store sales in 2007 was:

  • 21% beauty and cosmetics
  • 79% general merchandise

[edit] Business Financials

CVS reported a gross profit up 11% to $4,748 million for the first quarter (ending September 27th, 2008), an increase from $4,293 million in Q1 2008. Overall revenues grew 10% to $23.393 billion from $21,326 billion the year before. This growth came from a 14% increase in revenue from retail drug stores and a 4.6% increase in CVS/pharmacy division same store sales. The pharmacy also reached a total of 6,912 stores currently in operation. [14]

[edit] Trends and Forces

[edit] Company Growing through Acquisitions

[edit] Longs Drug Stores (LDG)

In November 2008, CVS completed the acquisition of Longs Drug Stores (LDG) for $2.7 billion. Longs Drug Stores (LDG) ran a similar business to CVS and was heavily concentrated in California, Hawaii, Nevada and Arizona, markets with few or no CVS store locations. The transaction brought 521 Longs drug stores under CVS ownership, dramatically increasing its presence in these markets. Profits results are expected to decrease for the remainder of 2008 and 2009 partially due to transition costs. [15]

[edit] Caremark RX

Caremark RX is a pharmacy benefit management (PBM) company that provides comprehensive disease and prescription benefit management services aimed at convenience, cost reduction, and increased effectiveness. It operates a retail pharmacy network that includes over 60,000 participating pharmacies(including CVS/Pharmacy), 28 mail service pharmacies, and an FDA approved repackaging plant (the only one in the industry).

In March of 2007, CVS and Caremark completed the merger, outbidding Express Scripts, another PBM to create one of the first true mergers between a retailer and a PBM. [16] The merger cost was $26.5 billion, paid in stock. [17]

  • CVS expects to achieve at least $500 million in cost savings through the merger (e.g., through economies of scale) [18]
  • This acquisition positions CVS to benefit from the increased trend toward mail order prescription drugs, which has grown from 10% in 1990 to 20% in 2006. Through Caremark and Pharmacare, CVS can profit from this trend as well (or at least maintain current accounts that shift away from retail).
  • Centralized Prescription Filling: 60% of drug prescriptions filled at retail locations are from recurring prescriptions. [19] CVS Caremark can now push customers these customers to get their scripts in the mail instead, which is less costly and more efficient.
  • It is likely that Caremark will convince many of its clients to name CVS as a preferred provider, or it will be able to do so itself. Being a preferred provider will allow a PBM to provide discounted products or services to its members through an agreement with insurers or third-party organizations. Most people whose insurance companies have preferred provider networks use those networks almost exclusively, driving more business to CVS/Pharmacies.
  • Consolidation of patient data and reminders: The CVS pharmacist will eventually have access to a patient's entire medication regimen, thus allowing the company to build deeper customer relationships through the PBM as well as local pharmacists.
[edit] MinuteClinic

In 2006, CVS acquired and expanded MinuteClinic, the first and largest retail health clinic in the US. It now operates as a subsidiary of CVS Caremark, with the majority of its 462 clinics housed within CVS/Pharmacy locations. [20] MinuteClinic employs board certified nurse practitioners and physician's assistants trained to diagnose and treat/make prescriptions for common illnesses; common vaccinations are also provided.

The MinuteClinic acquisition has benefited CVS Caremark's bottom line in the following ways:

  • MinuteClinic is less costly than a typical doctor visit, which makes it more attractive to insurers and cash payers alike
  • CVS is leveraging MinuteClinic to drive new business to the pharmacy - 25% of MinuteClinic patients are new CVS customers
  • If Caremark or Pharmacare is already an insurer's PBM, sending patients to MinuteClinic will be cheaper for the insurer, and more profitable for CVS.
  • CVS plans to put MinuteClinics in about 2,500 CVS/Pharmacy stores
[edit] Osco, Sav-on

In 2006, CVS expanded its geographic footprint to reach the Chicago area and Southern California. It acquired Sav-On and Osco drugstores from Albertsons. The deal included over 700 stores. CVS also acquired 28 Albertsons' Health'n'Home Durable Medical Equipment (DME) stores through the acquisition. The DME stores represented CVS's entrance into the DME market. [21]

[edit] What Is Lifting All Boats?

Several external trends are currently increasing all pharmacies' revenues across the industry. In addition to increased sales of prescriptions, CVS will benefit as additional foot traffic for the pharmacy naturally leads to increased retail sales in the front end of the store.

  • Baby boomers are only getting older, and will be more likely to need prescription medications in the coming years
  • There has been an increase for prescription drug coverage in the last 10 years
  • The new Democratic federal government will be more likely to enact legislation to increase spending on health care
  • Medicare Part D came into effect in January 2006, which expanded coverage to millions of people who were previously uninsured. Medicare Part D makes it more difficult to prescribe more expensive drugs, shifting overall product mix toward generics (which although cheaper, generate higher margins). Now, over 22 million people are enrolled in Medicare Part D. [22]
  • Over the next five years, around $50 billion in branded drug sales will lose patent protection, opening them to generics and driving profit margins

[edit] Legal Troubles

CVS was accused between 2005 and 2008 of prescription errors and quality problems [23] [24], illegally dumping confidential patient information, breaches of patient confidentiality and the bribery of former Rhode Island state senator John Celona (D-RI) in 2006, who was convicted and plead guilty to mail fraud. [25] Two CVS executives were put on leave of absence for allegedly bribing the Senator to advance CVS's agenda in Rhode Island and in Washington, D.C but were cleared of charges in 2008. [26]

The company's subsidiary Caremark also has an ugly legal history. It has been accused of reusing returned mail-order medications, passing off generics and non-preferred brands as preferred brands, serious racial harassment, options backdating and in 1995, Caremark paid the third highest ever criminal settlement of $161 million for paying kickbacks to doctors. [27]

The SEC currently has more stringent financial reporting requirements and other regulations for companies that do a significant amount of business with the government, and with increased government spending on Health Care, it's likely to occur eventually for CVS Caremark. Further investigations could generate more bad press, convictions, and high settlements - any of which could decrease consumer and/or investor confidence.

[edit] Economic Slowdown

CVS's revenue comes from both pharmacy sales and non-pharmacy, or front store, sales. Though medical costs such as prescriptions are not discretionary expenses and thus less vulnerable to an economic downturn, patients still migrate towards lower cost generic drugs instead of more expensive brand name drugs. CVS actually stands to benefit from this, as they receive higher levels of reimbursement from groups like Medicare for generic drugs. [28] Additionally, CVS CVS Chief Executive Tom Ryan says that very little of front store sales comes from "true discretionary sales," so same store sales are expected to continue to grow. Still, CVS lowered their expected profit by 6 to 7 cents per share for FY2009, citing worries about decreased overall spending from consumers. [29]

[edit] Competition

Market Share: Prescription Drugs and Front Store Sales
Market Share: Prescription Drugs and Front Store Sales[30][31]

CVS's biggest competitor is the Walgreen Company (WAG), which generated $53.7 billion in 2007 sales. [32] Walgreens also has its own PBM--Walgreens Health Services--making it the most comparable to CVS Caremark in terms of breadth of offerings. Walgreens had led CVS in terms of sales and operating margin in recent years until 2007 when CVS's merger with Caremark helped the company surpass Walgreens. CVS earned a 6.2% operating margin in 2007, compared to Walgreen's 5.9% figure. [33] [34] The result has been greater gains in market share in both prescription drugs and front store sales by CVS than by Walgreens.


CVS also competes for market share with discount stores, particularly Wal-Mart. The retail discount giant has smaller presence in the prescription drug market but dwarfs CVS in front store sales. Its large gains in market share for both prescription drugs and front store sales are likely reflective of customers decreasing spending in face of the economic downturn.


CVS Caremark's other competitors include:

  • Rite Aid: $17.5 billion in 2007 revenue. Rite Aid recently acquired Brooks/Eckerd on the East coast, but both companies are currently struggling. CVS owns several key markets in this region and may be poised to benefit from Rite Aid's decline.
  • MedcoHealth: $43.1 billion in 2007 revenue. MedcoHealth is specifically a Pharmacy Benefit Manager that sells drugs through a network of privately owned retail pharmacies with which it has operating contracts. Its business is therefore limited to prescription and generic drugs, whereas CVS offers over-the-counter drugs and retail products, as well. This leaves CVS poised to benefit from revenue from front store sales, whereas MedcoHealth leaves such revenue to private pharmacy partners.
  • Express Scripts: $17.8 billion in 2007 revenue. Express Scripts is also specifically a Pharmacy Benefit Manager. It consequently suffers from the same disadvantage as Medcohealth - no revenue in the front store sales.
  • Other discount stores, food/drug combo stores, mail service prescription services, Internet drugstores, PBMs, and other various sellers of retail and prescription merchandise. Supermarkets currently account for about 12% of the retail prescription market, but they are currently losing market share due to increasing cost pressure industry-wide. It is expected that they may even exit the market in the next couple years. If this trend continues as it is expected to do, CVS and others will be in a position to absorb the market share.


Note 2: A fully transparent breakdown of operating margins is conspicuously absent from all retailers' annual reports, though they provide same store sales, revenue, and sometimes gross margins information.



[edit] References

  1. CVS Caremark 10-K 2007. Section 1 - Business. pg 4
  2. MSN Money. "CVS says tender offer for Longs is complete." 29 October 2008.
  3. CVS Caremark 10-K 2007. Section 1 - Business. pg 3
  4. Drug Channels. "The Attack on Generic Profits in Drug Channels." 21 November 2001.
  5. CVS Caremark 10-K 2007. Section 2 - Financial Statements and Supplementary Data. pg 32
  6. (D) State Senator John Celona resigns and pleads guilty. 21 June 2006.
  7. CVS Caremark 10-K 2007. Section 1 - Business. pg 3
  8. CVS Caremark 10-K 2007. Section 1 - Business. pg 4
  9. CVS Caremark 10-K 2007. Section 1 - Business. pg 4
  10. Business Week. "CVS will start Health Savings Pass discount plan." 30 October 2008.
  11. CVS Caremark 10-K 2007. Section 1 - Business. pg 6
  12. CVS Caremark 10-K 2007. Section 1 - Business. pg 4
  13. CVS Caremark 10-K 2007. Section 1 - Business. pg 4
  14. CVS FY2009 Q1 10-Q
  15. Associated Press. "Pharmacy sales boost CVS 3Q profit 7 percent." 30 October, 2008
  16. CVS Caremark 10-K 2007. Section 1 - Business. pg 3
  17. "CVS Completes Caremark Acquisition; To Launch Tender Offer"
  18. CVS Press Release on Caremark Merger.
  19. CVS Caremark 10-K 2007. Section 1 - Business. pg 5
  20. CVS Caremark 10-K 2007. Section 1 - Business. pg 4
  21. Chain Drug Review. "CVS' purchase of Osco, Sav-on seen as strategic coup." 11 September 2006.
  22. HHS Monthly Summary on Medicare Part D Enrollment. November 2008.
  23. The Boston Channel. "State Probing CVS Prescription Problems." 22 June 2005
  24. ConsumerAffairs.com
  25. (D) State Senator John Celona resigns and pleads guilty. 21 June 2006.
  26. Former CVS execs cleared in U.S. bribery trial. 30 May 2008.
  27. US Department of Justice Press Release. 16 June 1995.
  28. Drug Channels. "The Attack on Generic Profits in Drug Channels." 21 November 2001.
  29. Forbes. "Pharmacy sales boost CVS 3Q profit 7 percent." 30 October 2008.
  30. CVS Caremark 10-K 2007. Section 1 - Business. pg 4
  31. Market Wire. "BIGresearch Retail Ratings: CVS Closes Prescription Drug Gap With Walgreens." October 2008.
  32. Walgreen Company (WAG)
  33. CVS Caremark 10-K 2007. Section 2 - Financial Statements and Supplementary Data. pg 32
  34. Walgreen Company (WAG)
 
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