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EMC Insurance Group 10-K 2009
form10k.htm


UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
 
 
FORM 10-K
 
x
ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2008

o
TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from __________ to ___________

Commission File Number:  0-10956                                                                

EMC INSURANCE GROUP INC.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Iowa
 
42-6234555
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)
 
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

717 Mulberry Street, Des Moines, Iowa
 
50309
(Address of principal executive office)
 
(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:
(515) - 345 - 2902
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
 
Common Stock, Par Value $1.00
 
The NASDAQ Stock Market LLC
(Title of Class)
 
(Name of each exchange on which registered)

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act:  None

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act
 
¨
Yes
 
x
No
             
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act
 
¨
Yes
 
x
No
             
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such
           
reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.
 
x
Yes
 
¨
No
             
Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of registrant’s knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in
           
Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K.
 
¨
       
             
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).
           

Large accelerated filer   ¨
Accelerated filer   x
Non-accelerated filer   ¨
Smaller reporting company   ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act).
 
¨
Yes
 
x
No

The aggregate market value of the voting stock held by non-affiliates of the registrant as of June 30, 2008 was $137,599,068.

The number of shares outstanding of the registrant’s common stock, $1.00 par value, on February 27, 2009, was 13,233,554.

DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE
 
Portions of the registrant’s definitive proxy statement for the Annual Meeting of Stockholders to be held on May 19, 2009, and to be filed pursuant to Regulation 14A within 120 days after the registrant’s fiscal year ended December 31, 2008, are incorporated by reference under Part III.
 


 
 

 
 
TABLE OF CONTENTS

     
Page
Part I
     
Item 1.
 
2
   
30
Item 1A.
 
31
Item 1B.
 
40
Item 2.
 
40
Item 3.
 
41
Item 4.
 
41
       
Part II
     
Item 5.
 
41
Item 6.
 
44
Item 7.
 
46
Item 7A.
 
92
Item 8.
 
92
Item 9.
 
148
Item 9A.
 
148
Item 9B.
 
148
       
Part III
     
Item 10.
 
148
Item 11.
 
149
Item 12.
 
149
Item 13.
 
149
Item 14.
 
149
       
Part IV
     
Item 15.
 
150
150
154
155
 
PART I

BUSINESS.

GENERAL

EMC Insurance Group Inc. is an insurance holding company that was incorporated in Iowa in 1974 by Employers Mutual Casualty Company (Employers Mutual) and became a public company in 1982 following the initial public offering of its common stock.  EMC Insurance Group Inc. is 59 percent owned by Employers Mutual, a multiple-line property and casualty insurance company organized as an Iowa mutual insurance company in 1911 that is licensed in all 50 states and the District of Columbia.  The term “Company” is used interchangeably to describe EMC Insurance Group Inc. (Parent Company only) and EMC Insurance Group Inc. and its subsidiaries.  Employers Mutual and all of its subsidiaries (including the Company) and an affiliate are referred to as the “EMC Insurance Companies.”

The Company conducts operations in property and casualty insurance and reinsurance through its subsidiaries.  The Company primarily focuses on the sale of commercial lines of property and casualty insurance to small and medium-sized businesses.  These products are sold through independent insurance agents who are supported by a decentralized network of branch offices.  Although the Company actively markets its insurance products in 41 states, the majority of its business is marketed and generated in the Midwest.

The Company conducts its insurance business through two business segments as follows:


Illinois EMCASCO was formed in Illinois in 1976 (and was re-domesticated to Iowa in 2001), Dakota Fire was formed in North Dakota in 1957 and EMCASCO was formed in Iowa in 1958 for the purpose of writing property and casualty insurance.  EMC Reinsurance Company was formed in 1981 to assume reinsurance business from Employers Mutual.  The Company’s excess and surplus lines insurance agency, EMC Underwriters, LLC, was formed in Iowa in 1975 and was acquired by the Company in 1985.  Effective December 31, 1998, the excess and surplus lines insurance agency was converted to a limited liability company and the ownership was contributed to EMCASCO.
 

Property and casualty insurance is the most significant segment of the Company’s business, representing approximately 81 percent of consolidated premiums earned in 2008.  The property and casualty insurance operations are integrated with the property and casualty insurance operations of Employers Mutual through participation in a reinsurance pooling agreement.  Because the Company conducts its property and casualty insurance operations together with Employers Mutual through the reinsurance pooling agreement, the Company shares the same business philosophy, management, employees and facilities as Employers Mutual and offers the same types of insurance products.  For a discussion of the reinsurance pooling agreement and its benefits, please see “Organizational Structure – Property and Casualty Insurance” below.

Reinsurance operations are conducted through EMC Reinsurance Company, and represented approximately 19 percent of consolidated premiums earned in 2008.  The principal business activity of EMC Reinsurance Company is to assume, through a quota share reinsurance agreement, the voluntary reinsurance business written directly by Employers Mutual with unaffiliated insurance companies (subject to certain limited exceptions).  Effective January 1, 2009, EMC Reinsurance Company will begin writing Germany-based assumed reinsurance business on a direct basis as a result of regulatory changes in Germany.  For a discussion of the quota share reinsurance agreement and its benefits, please see “Organizational Structure – Reinsurance” below.

The Company’s insurance agency, EMC Underwriters, LLC, specializes in marketing excess and surplus lines of insurance.  The excess and surplus lines markets provide insurance coverage at negotiated rates for risks that are not acceptable to licensed insurance companies.  EMC Underwriters accesses this market by working through independent agents and functions as managing underwriter for excess and surplus lines insurance for several of the pool participants.  The Company derives income from this business based on the fees and commissions earned through placement of the business, as opposed to the underwriting of the risks associated with that business.

Organizational Structure

Property and Casualty Insurance

The three property and casualty insurance subsidiaries of the Company and two subsidiaries and an affiliate of Employers Mutual (Union Insurance Company of Providence, EMC Property & Casualty Company and Hamilton Mutual Insurance Company) are parties to reinsurance pooling agreements with Employers Mutual (collectively the “pooling agreement”).  Under the terms of the pooling agreement, each company cedes to Employers Mutual all of its insurance business, with the exception of any voluntary reinsurance business assumed from nonaffiliated insurance companies, and assumes from Employers Mutual an amount equal to its participation in the pool.  All premiums, losses, settlement expenses, and other underwriting and administrative expenses, excluding the voluntary reinsurance business assumed by Employers Mutual from nonaffiliated insurance companies, are prorated among the parties on the basis of participation in the pool.  Employers Mutual negotiates reinsurance agreements that provide protection to the pool and each of its participants, including protection against losses arising from catastrophic events.  The aggregate participation of the Company’s property and casualty insurance subsidiaries is 30 percent.

Operations of the pool give rise to inter-company balances with Employers Mutual, which are settled on a quarterly basis.  The investment and income tax activities of the pool participants are not subject to the pooling agreement.  The pooling agreement provides that Employers Mutual will make up any shortfall or difference resulting from an error in its systems and/or computation processes that would otherwise result in the required restatement of the pool participants’ financial statements.

The purpose of the pooling agreement is to spread the risk of an exposure insured by any of the pool participants among all of the companies.  The particular benefits that the Company’s property and casualty insurance subsidiaries realize from participating in the pooling agreement include the following:

 
·
the ability to produce a more uniform and stable underwriting result from year to year for all companies in the pool than might be experienced individually, by spreading the risks over a wide range of geographic locations, lines of insurance written, rate filings, commission plans and policy forms;


 
·
the ability to benefit from the capacity of the entire pool representing $1.1 billion in direct premiums written in 2008 and $849,000,000 in statutory surplus as of December 31, 2008, rather than being limited to policy exposures of a size commensurate with each participant’s own surplus level;

 
·
the achievement of an “A-” (Excellent) rating from A.M. Best Company on a “group” basis;

 
·
the ability to take advantage of a significant distribution network of independent agencies that the participants most likely could not access on an individual basis;

 
·
the ability to negotiate and purchase reinsurance from third-party reinsurers on a combined basis, thereby achieving larger retentions and better pricing; and

 
·
the ability to achieve and benefit from economies of scale in operations.

The amount of insurance a property and casualty insurance company writes under industry standards is commonly expressed as a multiple of its surplus calculated in accordance with statutory accounting practices.  Generally, a ratio of 3 or less is considered satisfactory by state insurance departments.  The ratios of the pool participants for the past three years are as follows:

   
Year ended December 31,
 
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
 
Employers Mutual
    0.90       0.77       0.80  
EMCASCO (1)
    1.54       1.35       1.53  
Illinois EMCASCO (1)
    1.56       1.31       1.48  
Dakota Fire (1)
    1.59       1.29       1.46  
EMC Property & Casualty Company
    0.63       0.66       0.72  
Union Insurance Company of Providence
    0.62       0.66       0.72  
Hamilton Mutual Insurance Company
    0.89       0.30       1.78  


(1)  The ratios for these companies reflects the issuance of an aggregate $25,000,000 of surplus notes to Employers Mutual.  Surplus notes are considered to be a component of surplus for statutory reporting purposes; however, under U.S. generally accepted accounting principles, surplus notes are considered to be debt and are reported as a liability in the Company’s financial statements.

Reinsurance

The Company’s reinsurance subsidiary is a party to a quota share reinsurance retrocessional agreement with Employers Mutual (the “quota share agreement”).  Under the terms of the quota share agreement, the reinsurance subsidiary assumes a 100 percent quota share portion of Employers Mutual’s assumed reinsurance business, exclusive of certain reinsurance contracts.  This includes all premiums and related losses, settlement expenses and other underwriting and administrative expenses of this business, subject to a maximum loss of $2,000,000 per event.  The cost of the $2,000,000 cap on losses assumed per event, which is treated as a reduction to premiums written, is 10.5 percent.  The reinsurance subsidiary does not directly reinsure any of the insurance business written by Employers Mutual or the other pool participants; however, the reinsurance subsidiary assumes reinsurance business from the Mutual Reinsurance Bureau (MRB) pool and this pool provides a small amount of reinsurance protection to the EMC Insurance Companies.  As a result, the reinsurance subsidiary’s assumed exposures include a small portion of the EMC Insurance Companies’ direct business, after ceded reinsurance protections purchased by the MRB pool are applied.  In addition, the reinsurance subsidiary does not reinsure any “involuntary” facility or pool business that Employers Mutual assumes pursuant to state law.  The reinsurance subsidiary assumes all foreign currency exchange gain/loss associated with contracts incepting on January 1, 2006 and thereafter that are subject to the quota share agreement.  Operations of the quota share agreement give rise to inter-company balances with Employers Mutual, which are settled on a quarterly basis.  The investment and income tax activities of the reinsurance subsidiary are not subject to the quota share agreement.
 

As a result of regulatory changes in Germany, Employers Mutual ceased being an approved reinsurer in Germany effective January 1, 2009.  To avoid the loss of approximately $5,000,000 of assumed reinsurance business because of this regulatory change, management determined that the Company’s reinsurance subsidiary will begin writing this business on a direct basis (outside the quota share agreement) effective January 1, 2009.  Since this business will be written outside the quota share agreement, it will not be subject to the $2,000,000 cap on losses per event.  Management has determined that this business has a low risk of generating losses above $2,000,000 per event and has therefore elected to not purchase stand-alone reinsurance coverage for these risks.

Under the terms of the quota share agreement, the reinsurance subsidiary receives reinstatement premium income that is collected by Employers Mutual from the ceding companies when reinsurance coverage is reinstated after a loss event; however, the cap on losses assumed per event contained in the quota share agreement is automatically reinstated without cost to the reinsurance subsidiary.  This arrangement can produce unusual underwriting results for the reinsurance subsidiary when a large event occurs because the reinstatement premium income received by the reinsurance subsidiary may approximate, or even exceed, the amount of losses retained.

Property and Casualty Insurance and Reinsurance

Employers Mutual provides various services to all of its subsidiaries and affiliates.  Such services include data processing, claims, financial, actuarial, legal, auditing, marketing and underwriting.  Employers Mutual allocates a portion of the cost of these services to its subsidiaries that do not participate in the pooling agreement based upon a number of criteria, including usage of the services and the number of transactions.  The remaining costs are charged to the pooling agreement and each pool participant shares in the total cost in accordance with its pool participation percentage.

Investment expenses are based on actual expenses incurred by the Company plus an allocation of other investment expenses incurred by Employers Mutual, which is based on a weighted-average total of invested assets and number of investment transactions.


FINANCIAL INFORMATION ABOUT INDUSTRY SEGMENTS

For information concerning the Company’s revenues, operating income and identifiable assets attributable to each of its industry segments over the past three years, see note 7 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements under Item 8 of this Form 10-K.


NARRATIVE DESCRIPTION OF BUSINESS

Principal Products

Property and Casualty Insurance

The Company’s property and casualty insurance subsidiaries and the other parties to the pooling agreement underwrite both commercial and personal lines of property and casualty insurance.  Those coverages consist of the following types of insurance:

Commercial Lines

 
·
Automobile - policies purchased by insureds engaged in a commercial activity that provide protection against liability for bodily injury and property damage arising from automobile accidents, and protection against loss from damage to automobiles owned by the insured.

 
·
Property - policies purchased by insureds engaged in a commercial activity that provide protection against damage or loss to property (other than autos) owned by the insured.


 
·
Workers’ Compensation - policies purchased by employers to provide benefits to employees for injuries incurred during the course of employment.  The extent of coverage is established by the workers’ compensation laws of each state.

 
·
Liability - policies purchased by insureds engaged in a commercial activity that provide protection against liability for bodily injury or property damage to others resulting from acts or omissions of the insured or its employees.

 
·
Other - includes a broad range of policies purchased by insureds engaged in a commercial activity that provide protection with respect to burglary and theft loss, aircraft, marine and other losses.  This category also includes fidelity and surety bonds issued to secure performance.

Personal Lines

 
·
Automobile - policies purchased by individuals that provide protection against liability for bodily injury and property damage arising from automobile accidents, and protection against loss from damage to automobiles owned by the insured.

 
·
Property - policies purchased by individuals that provide protection against damage or loss to property (other than autos) owned by the individual, including homeowner’s insurance.

 
·
Liability - policies purchased by individuals that provide protection against liability for bodily injury or property damage to others resulting from acts or omissions of the insured.

The following table sets forth the aggregate direct premiums written of all parties to the pooling agreement for the three years ended December 31, 2008, by line of business.

   
Year ended December 31,
 
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
 
         
Percent
         
Percent
         
Percent
 
Line of business
 
Amount
   
of total
   
Amount
   
of total
   
Amount
   
of total
 
($ in thousands)
                                   
Commercial lines:
                                   
Automobile
  $ 228,287       20.5 %   $ 245,534       21.2 %   $ 243,203       21.3 %
Property
    236,526       21.2       238,665       20.6       236,543       20.7  
Workers' compensation
    228,933       20.6       224,555       19.4       217,158       19.0  
Liability
    239,954       21.5       259,775       22.5       253,757       22.2  
Other
    33,234       3.0       33,753       3.0       33,621       3.0  
                                                 
Total commercial lines
    966,934       86.8       1,002,282       86.7       984,282       86.2  
                                                 
Personal lines:
                                               
Automobile
    77,441       7.0       79,748       6.9       82,407       7.2  
Property
    66,774       6.0       71,465       6.2       73,268       6.4  
Liability
    2,197       0.2       2,382       0.2       2,316       0.2  
                                                 
Total personal lines
    146,412       13.2       153,595       13.3       157,991       13.8  
                                                 
Total
  $ 1,113,346       100.0 %   $ 1,155,877       100.0 %   $ 1,142,273       100.0 %
 
 
Reinsurance

As previously noted, the reinsurance subsidiary assumes the voluntary reinsurance business written directly by Employers Mutual with unaffiliated insurance companies (subject to certain limited exceptions).  Employers Mutual writes both pro rata and excess-of-loss reinsurance for unaffiliated insurance companies.  Pro rata reinsurance is a form of reinsurance in which the reinsurer assumes a stated percentage of all premiums, losses and related expenses in a given class of business.  In contrast, excess-of-loss reinsurance provides coverage for a portion of losses incurred by an insurer which exceed predetermined retention limits.


The following table sets forth the assumed premiums written of the reinsurance subsidiary for the three years ended December 31, 2008, by line of business.  Effective January 1, 2006, the board of directors of the MRB pool approved the admission of two new assuming companies to the pool.  This reduced Employers Mutual’s participation in the pool from a one-third share to an approximate one-fifth share (one company is only assuming property exposures).  The assumed premium written amount for 2006 includes a negative $3,440,000 portfolio adjustment which served as an offset to the decrease in unearned premiums recognized in connection with this change in participation.

   
Year ended December 31,
 
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
 
         
Percent
         
Percent
         
Percent
 
Line of business
 
Amount
   
of total
   
Amount
   
of total
   
Amount
   
of total
 
($ in thousands)
                                   
Pro rata reinsurance:
                                   
Property and casualty
  $ 8,682       11.8 %   $ 8,434       11.9 %   $ 7,142       10.8 %
Property
    18,270       24.8       15,509       21.8       12,453       18.8  
Crop
    4,205       5.7       3,748       5.3       4,191       6.3  
Casualty
    1,262       1.7       1,656       2.3       1,775       2.7  
Marine/aviation
    587       0.8       195       0.3       9       -  
                                                 
Total pro rata reinsurance
    33,006       44.8       29,542       41.6       25,570       38.6  
                                                 
Excess-of-loss reinsurance:
                                               
Property
    29,382       39.9       30,283       42.7       28,366       42.8  
Casualty
    11,223       15.3       11,183       15.7       12,302       18.6  
Surety
    7       -       (5 )     -       30       -  
                                                 
Total excess-of-loss reinsurance
    40,612       55.2       41,461       58.4       40,698       61.4  
                                                 
Total
  $ 73,618       100.0 %   $ 71,003       100.0 %   $ 66,268       100.0 %


Marketing and Distribution

Property and Casualty Insurance

The pool participants market a wide variety of commercial and personal lines insurance products through 16 full service branch offices, which actively write business in 41 states.  The pool participants’ products are marketed exclusively through a network of over 2,100 local independent agencies and agency groups contracted and serviced by the branch offices.  The pool participants primarily focus on the sale of commercial lines of property and casualty insurance to small and medium-sized businesses, which are considered to be policyholders that pay less than $100,000 in annual premiums.  The pool participants also seek to provide more than one policy to a given customer, because this “account selling” strategy diversifies risks and generally improves underwriting results.

The pool participants wrote approximately $1.1 billion in direct premiums in 2008, with 87 percent of this business coming from commercial lines products and 13 percent coming from personal lines products.  Although a majority of the pool participants’ business is generated by sales in the Midwest, Employers Mutual’s branch offices are located across the country to take advantage of local market conditions and opportunities, as well as to spread risk geographically.  Each branch office performs its own underwriting, claims, marketing and risk management functions according to policies and procedures established and monitored by the home office.  This decentralized network of branch offices allows the pool participants to develop marketing strategies, products and pricing that target the needs of individual marketing territories and take advantage of different opportunities for profit in each market.  This operating structure also enables the pool participants to develop close relationships with the agents and customers with whom they do business.


Although each branch office offers a slightly different combination of products, the branches generally target three customer segments:

 
·
a wide variety of small to medium-sized businesses, through a comprehensive package of property and liability coverages;

 
·
businesses and institutions eligible for the pool participant’s target market and safety dividend group programs (described below), which offer specialized products geared to their members’ unique protection needs; and
 
 
·
individual consumers, through a number of personal lines products such as homeowners, automobile and umbrella coverages.

The pool participants write a number of target market and safety dividend group programs throughout the country, and have developed a strong reputation for these programs within the marketplace.  These programs provide enhanced insurance protection to businesses or institutions that have similar hazards and exposures and are willing to implement loss prevention programs.  Underwriting results for these programs are based on the experience of the group, rather than the individual participants.  These groups include public schools, small municipalities, petroleum marketers, contractors and mobile home parks.  As an example, the pool participants write coverage for approximately 1,500 school districts throughout the Midwest.  These programs have been successful because they offer risk management products and services that are targeted to the needs of the group members through a local independent agent.

The following table sets forth the geographic distribution of the aggregate direct premiums written of all parties to the pooling agreement for the three years ended December 31, 2008.

   
Year ended December 31,
 
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
 
                   
Arizona
    2.9 %     3.8 %     4.0 %
Colorado
    3.0       3.3       3.3  
Illinois
    4.1       4.3       4.4  
Iowa
    14.9       14.0       14.0  
Kansas
    9.6       9.3       9.5  
Michigan
    3.6       3.9       3.9  
Minnesota
    3.3       3.1       3.1  
Nebraska
    5.5       5.4       5.6  
North Carolina
    3.3       3.1       3.1  
Pennsylvania
    3.8       3.7       3.5  
Texas
    4.6       4.7       4.6  
Wisconsin
    5.5       5.4       5.7  
Other *
    35.9       36.0       35.3  
      100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %

* Includes all other jurisdictions, none of which accounted for more than 3 percent.

On February 13, 2009, the Company announced that Employers Mutual had recently began informing its independent agents that EMC Insurance Companies had recently submitted plans to regulatory authorities in the states of Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Virginia seeking to withdraw from personal lines programs in those states.  This action is being taken due to management’s conclusion, based on a number of factors, that these states offer only limited long-term growth and profit potential.   Additionally, personal lines business does not represent a large part of the marketing plans of the local branch offices affected.  The combination of these factors results in a disproportionately high cost of conducting personal lines business in these states.

The planned exit from personal lines business in these six states should in no way be construed as a diminished emphasis on personal lines business.  Rather, this action is being taken so that the EMC Insurance Companies’ resources can be directed toward territories which offer the greatest potential for long-term growth and profitability.

Reinsurance

The reinsurance subsidiary obtains 100 percent of its business from Employers Mutual through the quota share agreement.   The reinsurance subsidiary relies on the financial strength of Employers Mutual to write the reinsurance business, as well as the competitive advantage that Employers Mutual has by virtue of being licensed in all 50 states.  Reinsurance marketing is undertaken by Employers Mutual in its role as the direct writer of the reinsurance business; however, the reinsurance subsidiary is utilized in the marketing efforts to help differentiate the reinsurance business from the direct insurance business that is written by Employers Mutual and the other pool participants.

Employers Mutual’s reinsurance business is derived from two sources.  Approximately 78 percent of Employers Mutual’s assumed reinsurance premiums earned in 2008 were generated through the activities of its Home Office Reinsurance Assumed Department (also known as “HORAD”).  The reinsurance business written by HORAD is brokered through independent intermediaries.  As a result, the risks assumed by HORAD do not materially overlap with the risks assumed by MRB (discussed below).  The risks which are assumed by Employers Mutual through HORAD are directly underwritten and priced by Employers Mutual.  As such, Employers Mutual has discretion with respect to the type and size of risks which it assumes and services through these activities.

The remaining 22 percent of Employers Mutual’s assumed reinsurance premiums earned in 2008 were generated through participation in the MRB pool, an unincorporated association through which Employers Mutual and other unaffiliated insurance companies participate in a voluntary reinsurance pool to meet the reinsurance needs of small and medium-sized, unaffiliated mutual insurance companies.  Employers Mutual has participated in the MRB pool since 1957.  MRB is controlled by a board of directors composed of the five members, including one representative designated by Employers Mutual.  As a member of this organization, Employers Mutual assumes its proportionate share of the risks ceded to MRB by unaffiliated insurers.  Since MRB is structured on a joint liability basis, Employers Mutual, and therefore the Company’s reinsurance subsidiary, would be obligated with respect to the proportionate share of risks assumed by the other participants in the event they were unable to perform.  MRB, which is operated by an independent management team, manages assumed risks through typical underwriting practices, including loss exposure controls provided through reinsurance coverage obtained for the benefit of MRB.  The reinsurance risks for MRB arise primarily from the Northeast and Midwest markets.  Underwriting of risks and pricing of coverage is performed by MRB management under general guidelines established by Employers Mutual and the other participating insurers.  Apart from these procedures, Employers Mutual has only limited control over the risks assumed by, and the operating results of, MRB.  Because of the joint liability structure, MRB participating companies must maintain a rating of “A-” (Excellent) or above from A.M. Best Company and meet certain other standards.

Effective January 1, 2006, the board of directors of the MRB pool approved the admission of two new assuming companies to the pool.  This reduced Employers Mutual’s participation in the pool from a one-third share to an approximate one-fifth share (one company only assumes property exposures).  Both of the new assuming companies carry an A+ (Superior) rating from A.M. Best Company and their addition enhanced the financial strength of the pool.  During the fourth quarter of 2007, the MRB board of directors approved Farm Bureau Mutual Insurance Company of Michigan to replace Auto-Owners Insurance Company as an assuming company in the MRB pool effective January 1, 2008.  As a result, Employers Mutual’s participation in the pool remained at approximately 20 percent in 2008.


Over the past several years Employers Mutual has emphasized writing excess-of-loss reinsurance business in its HORAD operation and has worked to increase its participation on existing contracts that had favorable terms.  Employers Mutual strives to be flexible in the types of reinsurance products it offers, but generally limits its writings to direct reinsurance business, rather than providing retrocessional covers.  In recent years there has been a trend in the reinsurance marketplace for “across the board” participation on excess-of-loss reinsurance contracts.  As a result, reinsurance companies must be willing to participate on all layers offered under a specific contract in order to be considered a viable reinsurer.

It is customary in the reinsurance business for the assuming company to compensate the ceding company for the acquisition expenses incurred in the generation of the business.  Commissions paid by the reinsurance subsidiary to Employers Mutual for this purpose amounted to $15,767,000 in 2008.  During 2008, Employers Mutual retained 10.5 percent of the gross assumed premiums written subject to cession to the reinsurance subsidiary as compensation for the $2,000,000 cap on losses assumed per event, which amounted to $8,637,000.  The reinsurance subsidiary also assumed all foreign currency exchange gain/loss associated with contracts incepting on January 1, 2006 and thereafter that were subject to the quota share agreement.  The net foreign currency exchange gain assumed by the reinsurance subsidiary in 2008 was $257,000.

Competition

Property and Casualty Insurance

The property and casualty insurance business is very competitive.  The pool participants compete in the United States insurance market with numerous insurers, many of which have greater financial resources.  Competition in the types of insurance in which the pool participants are engaged is based on many factors, including the perceived overall financial strength of the insurer, premiums charged, contract terms and conditions, services offered, speed of claim payments, reputation and experience.  Because the insurance products of the pool participants are marketed exclusively through independent agencies, they face competition to retain qualified agencies, as well as competition within the agencies.  The pool participants also compete with direct writers, who utilize salaried employees and generally offer their products at a lower cost, exclusive agencies, who write insurance business for only one company, and to a lesser extent, internet-based enterprises.  The pool participants utilize a profit-sharing plan as an incentive for the independent agencies to place high-quality insurance business with them.

Reinsurance

Employers Mutual, in writing reinsurance business through its HORAD operation, competes in the global reinsurance market with numerous reinsurance companies, many of which have substantially greater financial resources.  Competition for reinsurance business is based on many factors, including financial strength, industry ratings, stability in products offered and licensing status.  Some ceding companies have tended to favor large, highly-capitalized reinsurance companies who are able to provide “mega” line capacity for multiple lines of business.  Employers Mutual faces the risk of ceding companies becoming less interested in diversity and spread of reinsurance risk in favor of having fewer, highly-capitalized reinsurance companies on their program.

While reinsurer competition for national and regional company business is growing, the Company believes that MRB has a competitive advantage in the smaller mutual company market that it serves.  This segment of the market is not targeted by the London and Bermuda markets, which tend to deal with larger insurers at higher margins.  MRB understands the needs of the smaller company market and operates at a very low expense ratio, enabling it to offer reinsurance coverage (on business that generally presents less risk) to an under-served market at lower margins.


A.M. Best Company Rating

Property and Casualty Insurance

A.M. Best Company (A.M. Best) rates insurance companies based on their relative financial strength and ability to meet their contractual obligations.  The most recent A.M. Best Property Casualty Key Rating Guide gives the Company’s property and casualty insurance subsidiaries an “A-” (Excellent) financial strength rating in their capacity as participants in the pooling agreement.  A.M. Best re-evaluates its ratings from time to time (normally on an annual basis) and there can be no assurance that the Company’s property and casualty insurance subsidiaries and the other pool participants will maintain their current rating in the future.  Management believes that an A.M. Best rating of “A-” (Excellent) or better is important to the Company’s business since many insureds require that companies with which they insure be so rated.  A.M. Best’s publications indicate that these ratings are assigned to companies that have achieved excellent overall performance and have a strong ability to meet their obligations over a long period of time.  A.M. Best’s ratings are based upon factors of concern to policyholders and insurance agents, and are not directed toward the protection of investors.

Reinsurance

The most recent A.M. Best Property Casualty Key Rating Guide gives the Company’s reinsurance subsidiary an “A-” (Excellent) financial strength rating.  However, because all of the reinsurance business assumed by the reinsurance subsidiary is produced by Employers Mutual, the rating of the reinsurance subsidiary is not critical to the Company’s reinsurance operations.  The rating of Employers Mutual is, however, critical to the Company’s reinsurance operations, as the unaffiliated insurance companies that cede business to Employers Mutual view the rating as an indication of Employers Mutual’s ability to meet its obligations to those insurance companies.  Employers Mutual’s rating of “A-” (Excellent) has resulted in the loss of some reinsurance business because some insurance companies require a rating of “A” (Excellent) or higher.  A downgrade of Employers Mutual’s rating would have a material adverse impact on the Company’s reinsurance subsidiary, as a downgrade would negatively impact Employers Mutual’s ability to assume reinsurance business and, consequently, to cede that business to the Company’s reinsurance subsidiary.

Statutory Combined Trade Ratios

The following table sets forth the statutory combined trade ratios of the Company’s insurance subsidiaries and the property and casualty insurance industry averages for the five years ended December 31, 2008.  The combined trade ratios below are the sum of the following:  the loss ratio, calculated by dividing losses and settlement expenses incurred by net premiums earned, and the expense ratio, calculated by dividing underwriting expenses incurred by net premiums written and policyholder dividends by net premiums earned.  Generally, if the combined trade ratio is below 100 percent, a company has an underwriting profit; if it is above 100 percent, a company has an underwriting loss.

 
   
Year Ended December 31,
 
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
   
2005
   
2004
 
                               
Property and casualty insurance (1)
                             
Loss ratio
    73.9 %     62.1 %     56.6 %     62.1 %     79.0 %
Expense ratio
    35.6 %     36.2 %     36.1 %     33.5 %     33.1 %
Combined trade ratio
    109.5 %     98.3 %     92.7 %     95.6 %     112.1 %
                                         
Reinsurance (2)
                                       
Loss ratio
    83.8 %     67.0 %     68.5 %     63.6 %     55.9 %
Expense ratio
    23.7 %     22.9 %     24.0 %     27.5 %     27.8 %
Combined trade ratio
    107.5 %     89.9 %     92.5 %     91.1 %     83.7 %
                                         
Total insurance operations (1) (2)
                                       
Loss ratio
    75.8 %     63.0 %     58.8 %     62.4 %     72.6 %
Expense ratio
    33.3 %     33.8 %     34.0 %     32.3 %     31.6 %
Combined trade ratio
    109.1 %     96.8 %     92.8 %     94.7 %     104.2 %
                                         
Property and casualty insurance industry averages (3)
                                       
Loss ratio
    77.0 %     67.7 %     65.3 %     74.8 %     72.8 %
Expense ratio
    27.7 %     27.9 %     27.1 %     26.0 %     25.3 %
Combined trade ratio
    104.7 %     95.6 %     92.4 %     100.8 %     98.1 %
 
(1)       The 2005 expense ratio and combined trade ratio for “property and casualty insurance” and “total insurance operations” are distorted by $29,631,000 of additional premiums written and $6,519,000 of commission expense that were recorded in connection with the increase in the property and casualty insurance segment’s aggregate pool participation from 23.5 percent to 30.0 percent.  Excluding these adjustments, the expense ratios would have been 34.4 percent and 32.9 percent, respectively, and the combined trade ratios would have been 96.5 percent and 95.3 percent, respectively.

(2)       The 2008, 2007 and 2006 loss ratio, expense ratio, and combined trade ratio for “reinsurance” and “total insurance operations” reflect the revised terms of the quota share agreement.   The previous terms of the quota share agreement provided for a 4.5 percent override commission expense payment to Employers Mutual as compensation for the cap on losses assumed per event.  Effective January 1, 2006, the reinsurance subsidiary no longer pays this override commission, and instead pays a 10.5 percent premium charge.  In addition, the 2006 expense ratio and combined trade ratio for “reinsurance” are distorted by $3,440,000 of negative premiums written and $1,343,000 of commission income that were recorded in connection with the change in Employers Mutual’s participation in the MRB pool.  Excluding these adjustments, the expense ratio and combined trade ratio for “reinsurance” would have been 24.7 percent and 93.2 percent, respectively.  These adjustments were not large enough to impact the expense ratio and the combined trade ratio for “total insurance operations.”

(3)       As reported by A.M. Best Company.  The ratio for 2008 is an estimate; the actual combined trade ratio is not currently available.

Claims Management

The pool participants believe that effective claims management is critical to their success.  To this end, the pool participants have adopted a customer-focused claims management process that is believed to be cost efficient, and able to deliver an appropriate level of claims service that produces superior claims results.  The claims management process is focused on controlling claims from their inception, accelerating communication to insureds and claimants and compressing the cycle time of claims to control both loss costs and claims-handling costs.  The pool participants believe their process provides quality service and results in the appropriate handling of claims, allowing them to cost-effectively pay valid claims and contest fraudulent claims.


The claims management operation includes adjusters, appraisers, special investigators, attorneys and claims administrative personnel.  The pool participants conduct their claims management operations out of 16 branch offices and five service offices located throughout the United States.  The home office claims group provides advice and counsel for branch claims staff in investigating, reserving and settling claims.  The home office claims staff also evaluates branch claims operations and makes recommendations for improvements in performance.  Additional home office services provided include: complex claim handling, physical damage and property review, medical case management, medical bill review, legal coverage analysis, litigation management and subrogation.  The pool participants believe these home office services assist the branch claims personnel in producing greater efficiencies than can be achieved at the local level.

Each branch office is responsible for evaluating and settling claims within the authority provided by home office claims.  Authority levels within the branch offices are granted based upon an adjuster’s experience and expertise.  The branch office must request input from home office claims once a case exceeds its authority level.  A claims committee exists within home office and is chaired by the Senior Vice President of Claims.  This committee meets on a weekly basis to assist the branches in evaluating and settling claims beyond their authority level.

The pool participants will allow claims to go to litigation in matters such as value disputes and questionable liability, and will defend appropriate denials of coverage.  The pool participants generally retain outside defense counsel to litigate such matters; however, internal claims professionals manage the litigation process, rather than ceding control to an attorney.  The pool participants have implemented a litigation management system that allows the claims staff to evaluate the quality and cost effectiveness of outside legal services provided.  Cases are constantly reviewed to adjust the litigation plan if necessary, and all cases going to trial are carefully reviewed to assess the value of trial or settlement.

Loss and Settlement Expense Reserves

Liabilities for losses and settlement expenses are estimates at a given point in time of what an insurer expects to pay to claimants and the cost of settling claims, based on facts and circumstances then known.  It can be expected that the insurer’s ultimate liability for losses and settlement expenses may either exceed or be less than such estimates.  The Company’s estimates of the liabilities for losses and settlement expenses are based on estimates of future trends and claims severity, judicial theories of liability and other factors.  However, during the loss adjustment period, which may cover many years in some cases, the Company may learn additional facts regarding individual claims, and consequently it often becomes necessary to refine and adjust its estimates of liability.  The Company reflects any adjustments to its liabilities for losses and settlement expenses in its operating results in the period in which the changes in estimates are made.

The Company maintains reserves for losses and settlement expenses with respect to both reported and unreported claims.  The amount of reserves for reported claims is primarily based upon a case-by-case evaluation of the specific type of claim, knowledge of the circumstances surrounding each claim and the policy provisions relating to the type of loss.  Reserves on assumed reinsurance business are the amounts reported by the ceding companies.

The amount of reserves for unreported claims is determined on the basis of statistical information for each line of insurance with respect to the probable number and nature of claims arising from occurrences that have not yet been reported.  Established reserves are closely monitored and are frequently recomputed using a variety of formulas and statistical techniques for analyzing actual claim costs, frequency data and other economic and social factors.

Settlement expense reserves are intended to cover the ultimate cost of investigating claims and defending lawsuits arising from claims.  These reserves are established each year based on previous years’ experience to project the ultimate cost of settlement expenses.  To the extent that adjustments are required to be made in the amount of loss reserves each year, settlement expense reserves are correspondingly revised, if necessary.

Employers Mutual’s actuaries conduct quarterly reviews of the direct loss and settlement expense reserves.  In addition, they specifically analyze direct case loss reserves on a quarterly basis and direct incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) loss reserves on an annual basis.  Based on the results of these regularly-scheduled evaluations, the actuaries make recommendations regarding adjustments to direct reserve levels, if deemed appropriate.
 

The Company does not discount reserves.  Inflation is implicitly provided for in the reserving function through analysis of cost trends, reviews of historical reserving results and projections of future economic conditions.  Large ($100,000 and over) incurred and reported gross reserves are reviewed regularly for adequacy.  In addition, long-term and lifetime medical claims are periodically reviewed for cost trends and the applicable reserves are appropriately revised, if necessary.

Despite the inherent uncertainties of estimating loss and settlement expense reserves, the Company believes that its reserves are being calculated in accordance with sound actuarial practices and, based upon current information, that its reserves for losses and settlement expenses at December 31, 2008 are adequate.

The following table sets forth a reconciliation of beginning and ending reserves for losses and settlement expenses of the property and casualty insurance subsidiaries and the reinsurance subsidiary.  Amounts presented are on a net basis, with a reconciliation of beginning and ending reserves to the gross amounts presented in the consolidated financial statements.

   
Year ended December 31,
 
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
 
   
($ in thousands)
 
Gross reserves at beginning of year
  $ 551,602     $ 548,548     $ 544,051  
Re-valuation due to foreign currency exchange rates
    (597 )     (190 )     -  
Ceded reserves at beginning of year
    (31,878 )     (35,609 )     (42,650 )
Net reserves at beginning of year
    519,127       512,749       501,401  
                         
Incurred losses and settlement expenses
                       
Provision for insured events of the current year
    329,573       286,577       270,368  
Decrease in provision for insured events of prior years
    (35,308 )     (38,738 )     (41,916 )
Total incurred losses and settlement expenses
    294,265       247,839       228,452  
                         
Payments
                       
Losses and settlement expenses attributable to insured events of the current year
    133,470       104,196       92,061  
Losses and settlement expenses attributable to insured events of prior years
    140,127       137,265       125,043  
Total payments
    273,597       241,461       217,104  
                         
Net reserves at end of year
    539,795       519,127       512,749  
Ceded reserves at end of year
    33,009       31,878       35,609  
Gross reserves at end of year, before foreign currency re-valuation
    572,804       551,005       548,358  
Re-valuation due to foreign currency exchange rates
    228       597       190  
Gross reserves at end of year
  $ 573,032     $ 551,602     $ 548,548  


Following is a detailed analysis of the reserve development the Company has experienced during the past three years.

Year ended December 31, 2008

Property and casualty insurance segment

For the property and casualty insurance segment, the December 31, 2008 estimate of loss and settlement expense reserves for accident years 2007 and prior decreased $21,564,000 from the estimate at December 31, 2007.  This decrease represents approximately 5.3 percent of the December 31, 2007 carried reserves.  No changes were made in the key actuarial assumptions utilized to estimate loss and settlement expense reserves during 2008.


Reserves on previously reported claims developed favorably in 2008 by approximately $2,755,000.  Favorable development on case and bulk loss reserves occurred in most major lines of business:  other liability ($3,959,000), commercial property ($2,289,000), auto physical damage ($1,356,000), personal auto liability ($1,220,000), bonds ($1,073,000) and homeowners ($792,000).  Partially offsetting this favorable development was unfavorable development on the workers’ compensation ($1,305,000) and commercial auto ($6,629,000) lines of business.  For all lines combined, the latest five prior accident years were responsible for over 68 percent of the total favorable development.  In aggregate, the favorable development on previously reported claims is attributable to claims that closed during 2008.

IBNR reserves on prior accident years experienced favorable development of $12,411,000 resulting from better than expected emergence ($11,135,000), the impact of revised formula IBNR reserves based on an experience review ($1,087,000), and a change in the line of business distribution ($189,000).  The emergence of IBNR claims was lower than the change in prior year IBNR loss reserves and arose from all major lines of business:  other liability ($5,782,000), commercial property ($1,491,000), commercial auto liability ($1,238,000), homeowners ($1,045,000), auto physical damage ($848,000), workers’ compensation ($495,000), bonds ($148,000), and personal auto liability ($88,000).  For all lines combined, approximately 84 percent of the favorable development is attributable to accident years 2006 and 2007.

During 2008, underlying exposure increases resulted in premium increases in certain lines of business, most notably in the other liability and workers’ compensation lines.  Since formula IBNR loss reserves are calculated through the application of IBNR factors to premiums earned, these exposure increases resulted in an increase of $932,000 in prior accident year IBNR loss reserves.  Further, reserves for prior years asbestos claims were increased $942,000 to maintain adequacy targets.  These increases partially offset the favorable case and IBNR reserve development described above.

Total settlement expense developed downward in 2008 by $8,347,000.  Approximately 50 percent of the downward development is related to internal claims department, independent adjuster, and miscellaneous settlement expenses.  Current accident year allocation factors compared to those at December 31, 2007 generated $380,000 of downward development. A majority of the remaining development resulted from settlement expense payments in these categories during 2008 that were lower than anticipated in the payment patterns used in the accident year allocation of settlement expense reserves at December 31, 2007.  This downward development occurred primarily in the other liability, workers’ compensation and commercial auto liability lines of business.

The defense and cost containment portion of prior year settlement reserves developed downward in 2008 by $4,187,000.  The favorable development resulted from expense payments in 2008 that were $6,402,000 lower than anticipated in the 2007 year-end reserve levels.  The other liability line of business accounts for approximately 80 percent of this downward development.  Partially offsetting this favorable development, settlement expense reserves were strengthened $1,800,000, of which $1,147,000 was allocated to prior accident years.  This prior year strengthening occurred primarily in the other liability, commercial auto and workers’ compensation lines of business.  This reserving action resulted from standard actuarial reserve reviews.  In addition, asbestos defense and cost containment reserves were increased $558,000.  Finally, settlement expense reserves for prior years increased approximately $331,000 due to the exposure increases mentioned above in the discussion of IBNR loss reserves.

Prior accident year reserves for non-voluntary assumed business developed adversely by $305,000, attributable primarily to assigned risk pools.

The above results reflect reserve development on a direct and assumed basis.  During 2008, ceded losses and settlement expenses for prior accident years increased $503,000.  The impact of the increase in reinsurance recoverable was to improve the favorable development on the direct and assumed business described above.


Reinsurance segment

For the reinsurance segment, the December 31, 2008 estimate of loss and settlement expense reserves for accident years 2007 and prior decreased $13,744,000 from the estimate at December 31, 2007.  This represents 9.7 percent of the December 31, 2007 carried reserves and is primarily attributable to the HORAD book of business for accident year 2007.  Much of this development can be attributed to reported losses that were below December 2007 implicit projections for policy years 2005 through 2007 in the property, casualty and multi-line classes.

For the HORAD and MRB books of business combined, the favorable development can be attributed to the property pro rata, property excess, and casualty excess lines of business.

No changes were made in the key actuarial assumptions utilized to estimate loss and settlement expenses reserves during 2008.


Year ended December 31, 2007

Property and casualty insurance segment

For the property and casualty insurance segment, the December 31, 2007 estimate of loss and settlement expense reserves for accident years 2006 and prior decreased $27,977,000 from the estimate at December 31, 2006.  This decrease, a majority of which was attributable to favorable development on case loss reserves, represented approximately 6.8 percent of the December 31, 2006 gross carried reserves.  No changes were made in the key actuarial assumptions utilized to estimate loss and settlement expense reserves during 2007.

Reserves on previously reported claims developed favorably in 2007 by approximately $17,154,000.  Favorable development on case and bulk loss reserves occurred in most major lines of business: other liability ($7,126,000), workers’ compensation ($6,005,000), commercial property ($3,083,000), auto physical damage ($1,327,000), bonds ($1,020,000), homeowners ($947,000) and personal auto liability ($764,000).  For all lines combined, the latest three prior accident years were responsible for over 77 percent of the total favorable development, and the latest five prior accident years contributed over 99 percent.  In aggregate, all of the favorable development on previously reported claims was attributable to claims that closed during 2007.

The emergence of IBNR claims was lower than the change in prior year IBNR loss reserves, resulting in approximately $11,750,000 of favorable development in 2007.  This development arose from all major lines of business: other liability ($4,607,000), commercial property ($1,814,000), commercial auto liability ($1,599,000), homeowners ($1,214,000), auto physical damage ($1,060,000), workers’ compensation ($847,000), bonds ($490,000) and personal auto liability ($119,000).  For all lines combined, the favorable development on prior year IBNR loss reserves was attributable to accident year 2006.

During 2007, underlying exposure increases resulted in premium increases in certain lines of business, most notably in the other liability and workers’ compensation lines.  Since formula IBNR loss reserves are calculated through the application of IBNR factors to premiums earned, these exposure increases resulted in an increase of $2,226,000 in prior accident year IBNR loss reserves, which partially offset the favorable case and IBNR loss reserve development described above.

Total settlement expense reserves developed downward in 2007 by $6,760,000.  Approximately 51 percent of the downward development was related to internal claims department, independent adjuster, and miscellaneous settlement expenses.  Settlement expense payments in these categories during 2007 were lower than anticipated in the payment patterns used in the accident year allocation of settlement expense reserves at December 31, 2006.  This downward development occurred primarily in the workers’ compensation, other liability and commercial auto liability lines of business.


The defense and cost containment portion of prior accident year settlement expense reserves developed downward in 2007 by $3,320,000.  The favorable development resulted from expense payments in 2007 that were $5,763,000 lower than anticipated in the 2006 year-end reserve levels.  The other liability line of business accounted for approximately three fourths of this downward development.  Partially offsetting this favorable development, settlement expense reserves were strengthened $2,700,000, of which approximately $1,752,000 was allocated to prior accident years.  This prior year strengthening occurred primarily in the other liability, commercial auto and workers’ compensation lines of business.  This reserving action resulted from standard actuarial reserve reviews.  In addition, $824,000 of settlement expense reserves were reallocated to defense and cost containment, of which $590,000 was allocated to prior accident years.  Finally, settlement expense reserves for prior accident years increased approximately $244,000 due to the exposure increases mentioned above in the discussion of IBNR loss reserves.

Prior accident year reserves for non-voluntary assumed business developed adversely by $127,000, attributable primarily to auto assigned risk pools.

The above results reflected reserve development on a direct and assumed basis. During 2007, ceded losses for prior accident years decreased $5,587,000, which was largely attributable to a reduction in prior accident year losses ceded for the workers’ compensation, umbrella, bonds and commercial property lines of business.  The impact of the decrease in reinsurance recoverables was to reduce the favorable development on the direct and assumed business described above.

Reinsurance segment
 
For the reinsurance segment, the December 31, 2007 estimate of loss and settlement expense reserves for accident years 2006 and prior decreased $10,761,000 from the estimate at December 31, 2006.  This represented 7.8 percent of the December 31, 2006 carried gross reserves and was attributable to the HORAD book of business for accident years 2004 - 2006. Much of this development could be attributed to reported losses for policy years 2004 - 2006 for property, casualty and multi-line classes that were below December 31, 2006 implicit projections.
 
For the HORAD and MRB books of business combined, the favorable development could be attributed to the property pro rata and property excess lines of business.
 
No changes were made in the key actuarial assumptions utilized to estimate loss and settlement expense reserves during 2007.


Year ended December 31, 2006

Property and casualty insurance segment

For the property and casualty insurance segment, the December 31, 2006 estimate of loss and settlement expense reserves for accident years 2005 and prior decreased $32,255,000 from the estimate at December 31, 2005.  This decrease represented approximately 7.9 percent of the December 31, 2005 gross carried reserves and was attributed primarily to favorable development on case loss reserves of previously reported claims.  No changes were made in the key actuarial assumptions utilized to estimate loss and settlement expense reserves during 2006.

Reserves on previously reported claims developed favorably in 2006 by approximately $28,187,000.  Favorable case loss reserve development occurred in all major lines of business: workers’ compensation ($11,366,000), other liability ($8,503,000), commercial property ($2,369,000), personal auto liability ($1,436,000), homeowners ($1,412,000), auto physical damage ($1,304,000), bonds ($1,248,000) and commercial auto liability ($549,000).  For all lines combined, the latest three prior accident years were responsible for over 80 percent of the total favorable development, and the latest five prior accident years contributed over 95 percent.  In aggregate, all of the favorable development was attributable to claims that closed during 2006.


During 2006, direct IBNR loss reserves other than asbestos were strengthened $1,800,000, of which approximately $970,000 was allocated to prior accident years.  This reserving action resulted from standard actuarial reserve reviews and reflected somewhat higher ratios of IBNR emergence to premiums earned for several lines of business.  In addition, asbestos IBNR loss reserves were strengthened $170,000, reflecting the results of an outside consultant’s analysis of the Company’s asbestos liabilities.

The emergence of IBNR claims was lower than the change in prior year IBNR loss reserves, resulting in approximately $5,195,000 of favorable development in 2006.  This favorable development arose from five lines of business: other liability ($2,755,000), commercial auto liability ($2,018,000), homeowners ($1,401,000), auto physical damage ($859,000) and commercial property ($102,000).  Partially offsetting this favorable development was adverse development totaling ($1,940,000) on the remaining lines of business.  For all lines combined, the favorable development of prior year IBNR loss reserves was attributable to accident year 2005.

During 2006, underlying exposure increases resulted in premium increases in certain lines of business, most notably in the other liability line.  Since formula IBNR loss reserves are calculated through the application of IBNR factors to premiums earned, these exposure increases resulted in an increase of $1,554,000 in prior accident year IBNR loss reserves.

Total settlement expense reserves developed downward in 2006 by $3,915,000.  Approximately 57 percent of the downward development was related to internal claims department, independent adjuster and miscellaneous settlement expenses.  Settlement expense payments in these categories during 2006 were lower than anticipated in the payment patterns used in the accident year allocation of settlement expense reserves at December 31, 2005.  This downward development occurred primarily in the workers’ compensation, other liability and commercial auto liability lines of business.

The defense and cost containment portion of prior accident year settlement expense reserves developed downward in 2006 by $1,690,000.  The favorable development resulted from expense payments in 2006 that were $3,681,000 lower than anticipated in the 2005 year-end reserve levels.  The other liability line of business accounted for approximately 80 percent of this downward development.  During 2006, the settlement expense formula case loss reserve for involuntary auto business was eliminated, resulting in $206,000 of additional downward development.  Partially offsetting this favorable development was $511,000 of strengthening in asbestos settlement expense reserves, which resulted from an outside consultant’s analysis of the Company’s asbestos liabilities.  Settlement expense reserves other than asbestos were strengthened $1,800,000, of which approximately $1,183,000 was allocated to prior accident years.  About 80 percent of this prior accident year strengthening occurred in the other liability and workers’ compensation lines of business.  This reserving action resulted from standard actuarial reserve reviews, which indicated generally higher ultimate expense to loss ratios in these lines of business.  In addition, settlement expense reserves for prior accident years increased approximately $421,000 due to the exposure increases mentioned above in the discussion of IBNR loss reserves.

The above results reflect reserve development on a direct and assumed basis.  During 2006, ceded losses for prior accident years decreased $2,378,000, which was attributed to a reduction in prior year losses ceded to workers’ compensation assigned risk pools.  The impact of the decrease in reinsurance recoverables was to reduce the favorable development on the direct and assumed business described above.

Reinsurance segment

For the reinsurance segment, the December 31, 2006 estimate of loss and settlement expense reserves for accident years 2005 and prior decreased $9,661,000 from the estimate at December 31, 2005.  This represented 7.2 percent of the December 31, 2005 gross carried reserves and was attributed primarily to the HORAD book of business, which developed downward by $7,896,000.  Approximately 95 percent of the HORAD favorable development arose from accident years 2004 and 2005.  Much of this development could be attributed to reported policy year 2004 and 2005 losses for property, casualty, ocean marine and multi-line classes that were below December 31, 2005 implicit projections.



MRB reserves developed favorably by $1,765,000, which was less than 20 percent of the total favorable development in the reinsurance segment.  This development was attributed to accident years 2004 and 2005, which experienced $2,037,000 of favorable development.  During 2006, system changes were implemented to split reported settlement expense reserves from reported loss reserves.  Simultaneously, the Company eliminated the formula case loss reserve for settlement expenses that had been carried in previous years.  This action accounted for approximately two-thirds of the total MRB favorable development.

For the HORAD and MRB books of business combined, the property excess and casualty excess classes accounted for about 90 percent of the total favorable development.

No changes were made in the key actuarial assumptions utilized to estimate loss and settlement expense reserves during 2006.

Calendar year development table

The following table shows the calendar year development of the loss and settlement expense reserves of the property and casualty insurance subsidiaries and the reinsurance subsidiary.  Amounts presented are on a net basis with (i) a reconciliation of the net loss and settlement expense reserves to the gross amounts presented in the consolidated financial statements and (ii) disclosure of the gross re-estimated loss and settlement expense reserves and the related re-estimated reinsurance receivables.

The table has been restated to reflect the increase in the property and casualty insurance subsidiaries’ aggregate participation in the pooling agreement to 30.0 percent effective January 1, 2005.

In evaluating the table, it should be noted that each cumulative redundancy (deficiency) amount includes the effects of all changes in reserves for prior periods.  Conditions and trends that have affected development of the liability in the past, such as a time lag in the reporting of assumed reinsurance business, the high rate of inflation associated with medical services and supplies and the reform measures implemented by several states to control administrative costs for workers’ compensation insurance, may not necessarily occur in the future.  Accordingly, it may not be appropriate to project future development of reserves based on this table.

 
   
Year ended December 31,
 
($ in thousands)
 
1998
   
1999
   
2000
   
2001
   
2002
   
2003
   
2004
   
2005
   
2006
   
2007
   
2008
 
                                                                   
Statutory reserves for losses and settlement expenses
  $ 230,937       257,201       276,103       303,643       321,945       354,200       405,683       502,927       514,576       521,159       541,254  
                                                                                         
Retroactive restatement of reserves in conjunction with the increase in the property and casualty insurance subsidiaries' aggregate participation in the pooling agreement
    46,445       51,340       55,052       58,392       61,010       65,696       78,818       -       -       -       -  
                                                                                         
Statutory reserves after retroactive restatement
    277,382       308,541       331,155       362,035       382,955       419,896       484,501       502,927       514,576       521,159       541,254  
                                                                                         
GAAP Adjustments
    (1,133 )     (1,208 )     (1,070 )     (1,242 )     (1,381 )     (1,378 )     (1,364 )     (1,526 )     (1,827 )     (2,032 )     (1,459 )
                                                                                         
Reserves for losses and settlement expenses
    276,249       307,333       330,085       360,793       381,574       418,518       483,137       501,401       512,749       519,127       539,795  
                                                                                         
Paid (cumulative) as of:
                                                                                       
One year later
    94,134       105,740       120,384       129,501       131,395       137,875       139,665       125,043       137,265       140,127       -  
Two years later
    145,648       168,319       189,404       206,088       213,756       221,724       210,516       202,851       217,804       -       -  
Three years later
    179,838       211,226       238,116       258,117       270,782       272,448       265,049       257,114       -       -       -  
Four years later
    204,372       240,808       269,795       296,491       301,714       302,862       298,997       -       -       -       -  
Five years later
    220,470       258,522       291,121       316,686       321,647       324,775       -       -       -       -       -  
Six years later
    231,555       271,944       302,150       329,575       338,375       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Seven years later
    240,785       280,153       310,817       340,759       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Eight years later
    246,979       286,513       318,173       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Nine years later
    251,736       292,409       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Ten years later
    256,318       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
                                                                                         
Reserves re-estimated as of:
                                                                                       
End of year
    276,249       307,333       330,085       360,793       381,574       418,518       483,137       501,401       512,749       519,127       539,795  
One year later
    269,042       304,644       335,582       369,076       391,544       445,221       467,729       459,485       474,011       483,819       -  
Two years later
    270,381       307,777       346,015       383,987       418,518       445,378       448,803       446,279       460,931       -       -  
Three years later
    273,622       313,712       356,473       398,250       422,873       437,123       444,910       437,589       -       -       -  
Four years later
    277,036       320,214       364,824       407,791       421,657       437,559       436,690       -       -       -       -  
Five years later
    280,875       327,247       372,567       409,035       428,458       432,891       -       -       -       -       -  
Six years later
    286,565       335,494       374,515       413,355       426,893       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Seven years later
    291,952       338,343       378,071       412,947       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Eight years later
    294,707       340,538       378,343       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Nine years later
    296,317       342,036       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Ten years later
    297,954       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
                                                                                         
Cumulative redundancy (deficiency)
  $ (21,705 )     (34,703 )     (48,258 )     (52,154 )     (45,319 )     (14,373 )     46,447       63,812       51,818       35,308       -  
                                                                                         
Gross loss and settlement expense reserves - end of year (A)
    296,097       320,415