FNM » Topics » Table 23: Credit Loss Performance

This excerpt taken from the FNM 10-Q filed Nov 9, 2007.
Table 23:  Credit Loss Performance
 
                                 
    For the Three Months Ended March 31,  
    2007     Ratio(1)     2006     Ratio(1)  
    (Dollars in millions)  
 
Charge-offs, net of recoveries
  $ 178       2.8  bp   $ 119       2.0  bp
Foreclosed property expense
    72       1.1       23       0.4  
Less excess of purchase price over fair value of delinquent loans purchased from trusts(2)
    (69 )     (1.1 )     (77 )     (1.3 )
Impact of SOP 03-3 on charge-offs and foreclosed property expense(3)
    25       0.4       18       0.3  
                                 
Credit losses(4)(5)
  $ 206       3.2  bp   $ 83       1.4  bp
                                 
 
(1) Based on annualized amount for line item presented divided by the average total mortgage credit book of business during the period.
 
(2) Represents the amount we record as a loss when the purchase price we pay to purchase delinquent loans from Fannie Mae MBS trusts exceeds the fair value of the loan at the time of purchase. Under our MBS trust agreements, we have the option to purchase loans from the MBS trust, at par plus accrued interest, if four or more consecutive monthly payments have not been made. When we purchase a delinquent loan from one of our MBS trusts, we record the delinquent loan at the lower of the loan’s acquisition price or its fair value in accordance with SOP 03-3. To the extent that the purchase price of the loan exceeds the fair value of the loan, we recognize a loss at the time we acquire the loan.
 
(3) Represents the impact of previously recorded SOP 03-3 reductions to the amount of charge-offs and foreclosed property expense for delinquent loans purchased from MBS trusts that go to foreclosure. Because the carrying value of these loans has been reduced below the purchase price, any charge-off and foreclosed property expense amounts that we record if we foreclose on the mortgage also are reduced. In order to reflect in our credit losses the total loss associated with SOP 03-3 loans that we subsequently determine are uncollectible, we have added back to our credit losses the loss we record at the date of purchase when the fair value is below the purchase price.
 
(4) Excludes impact of excess of purchase price over fair value of delinquent loans purchased from trusts.


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(5) Interest forgone on nonperforming loans in our mortgage portfolio reduces our net interest income but is not reflected in our credit losses total. In addition, other-than-temporary impairment resulting from deterioration in credit quality of our mortgage-related securities is not included in our credit losses total.
 
The decline in home prices on a national basis during the first quarter 2007 contributed to higher default rates and loss severities, causing an increase in charge-offs and foreclosed property expense for the first quarter 2007.
 
We experienced a substantial increase in losses recorded on delinquent loans we purchased from our MBS trusts during the third quarter of 2007, as the disruption in the mortgage credit market and the continued decline in home prices substantially reduced the fair value of the delinquent loans we purchased from our MBS trusts.
 
We have revised our presentation of credit losses to reflect only our realized credit losses. Accordingly, we have excluded from our credit losses, and from our credit loss ratio, any initial losses that we are required to record pursuant to SOP 03-3 when the purchase price of delinquent loans that we purchase from Fannie Mae MBS trusts exceeds the fair value of the loans at the time of purchase. These initial losses affect our provision for credit losses and are reported as a component of our charge-offs, net of recoveries in our condensed consolidated financial statements.
 
In our 2006 Form 10-K, we provided an estimate that our credit loss ratio for 2007 would be within a range of 4 to 6 basis points. As of the date of this filing, we believe our credit loss ratio for 2007, based on our credit losses as reported in Table 23, will remain within our normal historical average range of 4 to 6 basis points. In certain periods, we expect our credit loss ratio is likely to move outside of this historical average range, primarily due to market conditions and the risk profile of our mortgage credit book of business. We expect that, in 2008, our credit loss ratio will increase above our normal historical average range of 4 to 6 basis points.
 
Pursuant to our September 1, 2005 agreement with OFHEO, we agreed to disclose on a quarterly basis the estimated impact on our expected credit losses from an immediate 5% decline in single-family home prices for the entire United States, which we believe is a stressful scenario based on housing data from OFHEO. Table 24 shows our single-family credit loss sensitivity, before and after consideration of the effect of projected credit risk sharing proceeds, such as private mortgage insurance claims and other credit enhancement, as of September 30, 2007, June 30, 2007, March 31, 2007 and December 31, 2006. The significant increase in the net credit loss sensitivity that occurred during the first nine months of 2007 from the end of 2006 was primarily attributable to the decline in home prices during the first nine months of 2007.
 
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