QUOTE AND NEWS
Motley Fool  Jul 2 
Investors may want to follow the lead of consumers and stock up on shares.
newratings.com  Jul 2 
NEW YORK, July 2 (newratings.com) - Analysts at Credit Suisse reiterate their "outperform" rating on General Mills (ticker: GIS). The target price has been raised from $62 to $68. [more]
New York Times  Jul 2 
Led by top brands like Cheerios and Wheaties, General Mills reported earnings of $1.07 a share, up from 53 cents a year earlier.
Wall Street Journal  Jul 1 
Upbeat earnings lifted General Mills and Yum Brands gained on an analyst upgrade, but AIG fell in the wake of a reverse stock split.
StreetInsider.com  Jul 1 
Visit StreetInsider.com at http://www.streetinsider.com/Stock+Buybacks/General+Mills+%28GIS%29+Repurchased+20M+Shares+In+2009/4768442.html for the full story.
AlphaNinja  Jul 1 
AlphaNinja - In the spirit of highlighting "great companies at good prices," here's a look at the Q4 earnings release from General Mills ( GIS ). On a 5% increase in sales, segment operating profits grew 29% -->>awesome improvement thanks to...
StreetInsider.com  Jul 1 
Visit StreetInsider.com at http://www.streetinsider.com/Corporate+News/Highlights+From+General+Mills%27+%28GIS%29+Q4+Conference+Call%3A+Sees+Opportunity+to+Gain+Market+Share%2C+Guides+Above+for+FY10/4767536.html for the full story.
TheStreet.com  Jul 1 
Marek Fuchs, TheStreet.com's media critic, strikes down the business media for not curbing their enthusiasm on GIS.
Financial Times  Jul 1 
US stocks began the second half of the year on a positive note with shares in prominent food and drink manufacturers leading the market highe
Market Intelligence Center  Jul 1 
General Mills (NYSE: GIS) opened at $57.36. So far today, the stock has hit a low of $57.08 and a high of $57.98. GIS is now trading at $57.65, up $1.63 (2.91%). Over the last 52 weeks the stock has ranged from a low of $46.37 to a high of $72.01....
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BULLS: REASONS TO BUY

 
100% agree
 
GIS will benefit from more families eating at home

 
100% agree
 
International presence and a weak dollar will boost sales

 
0% agree
 
GIS will benefit from recession

BEARS: REASONS TO SELL

 
25% agree
 
Dependent on Wal-Mart

 
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Competition from generics

 
GIS AT A GLANCE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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General Mills (NYSE: GIS) is one of the largest packaged food producers in the world, with over $13 billion in sales in 2008[1]. The firm owns some of the most recognizable brands in the grocery store, including Cheerios, Progresso Soup, Hamburger Helper, and Fruit Roll-Ups. U.S. retail accounts for 68% of sales[2], but its international segment, helped by a joint venture with French food giant Nestle SA, is growing fast as the company now operates in 100 countries worldwide.

Like many other food and beverage companies, General Mills faces a market marked by increasing commodities prices. The company is a large purchaser of corn and wheat, and the rise in the price of oil has hurt as well. As the costs of doing business increase, General Mills must either absorb these losses or charge higher prices at the risk of losing market share. Nonetheless, General Mills has continued to increase profitability and has even boosted its margins from 35.2 percent in 2005 to 36.1 percent in 2007.[3] In doing so, the company has introduced new products like lower-sodium Progresso soups and Hamburger Helper singles for the microwave, while growing its reach from grocery stores into new channels like supercenters, drug and discount stores, and convenience stores. It is also expanding into fast growing markets like China, Russia and Latin America.[4]

[edit] History

General Mills traces its history to Cadwallader Washburn, who opened a flour mill in 1866. After his business, the Washburn Crosby Co., won a gold medal at a competition, the company's flour was renamed Gold Medal (a brand that General Mills still owns). ]In 1928, Washburn Crosby merged with several other milling companies to form a flour company called General Mills. That year, the company's stock was listed on the New York Stock Exchange. Over the next half century, the company launched a number of brands, including Wheaties, Kix, Cheerios, and Nature Valley. General Mills also purchased a number of non-core businesses, including Eddie Bauer, Talbots, and the maker of Play Doh, although those businesses were spun off in the mid-1980s. In 2001, General Mills purchased Pillsbury in a $10.4 billion deal. The integration of the Pillsbury business is now complete.

[edit] Business Overview

Revenue and net income
Revenue and net income[1]
Cereal and prepackaged meals account for almost 50% of company sales
Cereal and prepackaged meals account for almost 50% of company sales[5]
General Mills international sales are concentrated in Europe and Canada.
General Mills international sales are concentrated in Europe and Canada[6].
General Mills holds a 50% share in Cereal Partners Worldwide and distributes Haagen-Daz internationally.
General Mills holds a 50% share in Cereal Partners Worldwide and distributes Haagen-Daz internationally[7].

The company divides its business into three core segments: U.S. retail, international, and bakeries and foodservice. The U.S. retail division is responsible for the vast majority of the company's profits and sales.

Net sales (Billions)
Segment 2005 2006 2007 2008 % sales
U.S. Retail $7.7[8] $8.0[9] $8.5[10] $9.1[11] 66.5%[11]
International $1.7[12] $1.8[13] $2.1[14] $2.56[11] 18.7%[15]
Bakeries and foodservice $1.7[16] $1.7[17] $1.8[18] $2[11] 14.8%[11]

[edit] Quarterly Update

In the third quarter of 2009, General Mills posted revenues of $3.537 billion, a 4% increase from 3Q2008 figures; net income fell 33% to $289 million.[19] The increase in revenue was entirely attributable to net pricing increases throughout General Mills' product lines. These pricing increases counteracted a 3% loss in foreign currency exchange.[20] Net Income was negatively affected by higher cost of sales driven by smaller gains on commodity hedges: in 3Q2008, General Mills realized $151 million in gains on hedges versus $71 million in gains in 2009.[20] Additionally, General Mills faced an adverse tax decision which resulted in an additional $53 million income tax expense in 2009.[21]

[edit] U.S. Retail (66.5% of Revenues, 81.9% of Net Income)[11]

The company sells a line of "Big G Cereals," such as Cheerios, Total, Chex, Lucky Charms, and Kix. It also sells a number of "convenient dinner products," including Betty Crocker and Hamburger Helper dinner mixes, Progresso soups, and Green Giant vegetables. Since its 2001 purchase of Pillsbury, General Mills has also offered Pillsbury refrigerated dough products. The company also distributes a number of other baking products under the Betty Crocker name, as well as Gold Medal flour. General Mills produces a number of snacks, including Nature Valley granola bars, Chex Mix, Fruit Roll-Ups, and Fruit By The Foot. General Mills also sells Yoplait and Colombo yogurt.[22]

[edit] New Products

General Mills constantly develops and markets new products. For instance, in the first fiscal quarter of 2007 alone, the company launched 19 products, including La Lechera Flakes cereal, Totinos Mega Pizza Rolls, Nature Valley Fruit Crisps, and Caribou Coffee Bars. New products are a significant driver of growth, especially in the mature cereal market, which has grown only 0.3% during the last eight years.

[edit] International (18.7% of Revenues, 11.2% of Net Income)[11]

General Mills' international unit generates 17 percent of the company's sales[23]. General Mills makes its products in 17 countries and sells them in more than 100. General Mills sells its cereals outside the United States and Canada primarily through a joint venture with Swiss food giant Nestle. Both companies control 50 percent of Cereal Partners Worldwide, which sells the cereals around the world. General Mills also has a second joint venture with Nestle with regard to the Haagen-Dazs ice cream brand. Under the agreement, General Mills distributes Haagen-Dazs ice cream internationally while Nestle sells Haagen-Dazs products in the United States and Canada[24].

[edit] Bakeries and foodservice (14.8% of Revenues, 6.9% of Net Income)[11]

In its bakeries and foodservice division, General Mills sells mixes, frozen dough products, and flour to restaurants, cafeterias, food service distributors, and bakeries.

[edit] Trends & Forces

[edit] Rising Food & Energy Costs Pressure Margins

General Mills buys a number of commodities in order to manufacture its products, including cereal grains, sugar, dairy products, and fruit. Changes in the prices of such raw materials could negatively impact total production costs. Because General Mills operates in such a competitive environment, the fear of losing market share limits the company from charging its customers higher prices. To mitigate this ever-present risk, the company purchases commodities in advance using futures contracts and hedges the risks associated with buying commodities. However, the company expects input costs to increase by 9% in 2009.[25]

Historical Corn prices per bushel
Historical Corn prices per bushel[26]
Wheat Prices Have Fallen From Their 2008 Highs
Wheat Prices Have Fallen From Their 2008 Highs[27]

[edit] Supermarket Consolidation Reduces Bargaining Power

A steady trend toward supermarket consolidation is concentrating the buying power of General Mill's largest customers. General Mill's largest customer is Wal-Mart Stores. Wal-Mart made up 20 percent of total sales in 2007, including 27 percent of sales at the U.S. retail division[28]. Although no other company made up more than 10 percent of sales, the company claims that its five largest customers in the U.S. retail division made up 54 percent of total sales in 2007 and the five largest customers in bakeries and foodservice made up 40 percent of total sales[29]. Because these large customers are so important to sales, Kellogg has less bargaining power when determining wholesale prices.

[edit] New Healthy Products Draw New Customers

Increasingly, consumers are buying products that claim to promote better health. Food companies like General Mills have had to adjust their product portfolios in order to adapt to this consumer trend. As of fiscal 2007, General Mills boasted over 100 products with less than 100 calories per serving[30] General Mills has seen particular success its yogurt segment; retail sales for Yoplait Light yogurt grew 20 percent in fiscal 2007 due in part to a strong advertising message that this yogurt tastes great and has 100 calories per serving[31]. General Mills has also seen success with the introduction of lower sodium, lower fat Progresso soups which contributed to 10% growth in that product line over 2007[32]. In the cereal category, General Mills has added whole grains to many of its cereals and has increased the amount of dietary fiber and iron in its reduced sugar cereals. At least three of its brands, Wheaties, Total, and Cascadian Farms, are considered among the leaders in healthy cereals.

[edit] Competition

In addition, in order to compete with an increasing array of private label brands produced by private label manufacturers and supermarkets, General Mills has had to increase advertising expenditures. In 2006 two of General Mill's largest units, Pillsbury USA and Big G cereals, posted negative sales growth. The company has said it will "launch new products, achieve competitive levels of retailer merchandising activity and increase advertising" this year at "Big G[33]." At Pillsbury, the company says it plans to launch new products.[34]

Even brands that are currently doing well, such as Yoplait and Progresso which saw double digit growth over fiscal 2007, could face increasing competition in the near-term. Danone, the maker of Dannon yogurts, is competing with General Mills in its fastest growing business—yogurts. Yoplait controled 40 percent of the American market for yogurt in 2006. Yoplait's sales growth was 14% vs.the overall market which grew 8%. Meanwhile, General Mills is defending its market share from Campbell Soup—which introduced a range of low-sodium soups in 2006— by introducing its own line of healthier, low-sodium Progresso soups.[35]

Company Comparison
Company Net Revenue (in millions) International Rev as % of sales Gross Margin %
Kellogg $10,906 32.6% 44.2%
General Mills $12,442 17% 36%
Kraft $34,356 32.4% 36.1%



[edit] Market Share

Although General Mills is the second largest cereal maker in the United States after Kellogg, its products are still highly susceptible to price cuts and promotions by its competitors. Over the last few years, partly due to this competition, the company has lost market share in its cereal business. Kellogg now controls about one-third of the market, followed by General Mills with 31 percent and Quaker (a division of PepsiCo) and Post (a division of Kraft Foods) with 30 percent. Kellogg has also launched more cereals than General Mills recently. Kellogg controls 50% of the market for new cereals in the United States. New cereals are particularly important since manufacturers generally charge higher prices for them than for older products.

[edit] References

  1. 1.0 1.1 GIS 2008 10-K  
  2. General Mills 2007 10-K Letter to Shareholders
  3. General Mills 2007 10-K Selected Financial Information
  4. General Mills 2007 10-K Letter to Shareholders
  5. General Mills 2007 10-K General Mills at a Glance
  6. General Mills 2007 10-k General Mills at a Glance
  7. General Mills 2007 10-k General Mills at a Glance
  8. General Mills 2005 10-K General Mills at a Glance
  9. General Mills 2006 10-K General Mills at a Glance
  10. General Mills 2007 10-K General Mills at a Glance
  11. 11.0 11.1 11.2 11.3 11.4 11.5 11.6 11.7 GIS 2008 10-K  
  12. General Mills 2005 10-K General Mills at a Glance
  13. General Mills 2006 10-K General Mills at a Glance
  14. General Mills 2007 10-K General Mills at a Glance
  15. General Mills 2007 10-K General Mills at a Glance
  16. General Mills 2005 10-K General Mills at a Glance
  17. General Mills 2006 10-K General Mills at a Glance
  18. General Mills 2007 10-K General Mills at a Glance
  19. GIS 2008 10-Q  
  20. 20.0 20.1 GIS 2008 10-Q  
  21. GIS 2008 10-Q  
  22. General Mills 2007 10-K Portfolio p. 6-15
  23. General Mills 2007 10-K General Mills at a Glance
  24. General Mills 2007 10-k General Mills at a Glance
  25. General Mills December sales up, keeps full-year view.
  26. Corn Prices.
  27. You must specify title = and url = when using {{cite web}}..
  28. General Mills 2007 10-K Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
  29. General Mills 2007 10-K Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
  30. General Mills 2007 10-K Portfolio p. 10
  31. General Mills 2007 10-K Portfolio p. 10
  32. General Mills 2007 10-K Portfolio p. 10
  33. General Mills 2006 10-K Letter to Shareholders
  34. General Mills 2006 10-K Letter to Shareholders
  35. General Mills 2007 10-K Portfolio p. 10
 
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