MRO » Topics » Open Derivative Positions as of December 31, 2007 and Sensitivity Analysis

These excerpts taken from the MRO 10-K filed Feb 29, 2008.

Open Derivative Positions as of December 31, 2007 and Sensitivity Analysis

At year end our E&P segment held open derivative contracts to mitigate the price risk on natural gas held in storage or purchased to be marketed with our own natural gas production in amounts that were in line with

 

62


Table of Contents
Index to Financial Statements

normal levels of activity. At December 31, 2007, we had no open derivative contracts related to our future sales of liquid hydrocarbons and natural gas and therefore remained substantially exposed to market prices of these commodities.

At October 18, 2007, Western held crude oil put options purchased in October 2005 for the three-year period beginning January 1, 2007. The premiums for the purchased put options had been partially offset through the sale of call options for the same three-year period, resulting in a net premium liability. Payment of the net premium liability is deferred until the settlement of the option contracts. As of December 31, 2007, the following put and call options were outstanding:

 

     Option
Expiration
Dates
      2008    2009

Option Contract Volumes (Barrels Per Day):

     

Put Options Purchased

     20,000      20,000

Call Options Sold

     15,000      15,000

Average Exercise Price (Dollars Per Barrel):

     

Put Options

   $ 54.25    $ 50.50

Call Options

   $ 94.25    $ 90.50

At year end our RM&T segment held open derivative contracts in amounts that were in line with normal levels of activity.

Sensitivity analysis of the incremental effects on income from operations (“IFO”) of hypothetical 10 percent and 25 percent changes in commodity prices for open commodity derivative instruments as of December 31, 2007, is provided in the following table. The direction of the price change used in calculating the sensitivity amount for each commodity reflects that which would result in the largest incremental decrease in IFO when applied to the commodity derivative instruments used to hedge that commodity.

 

     Incremental
Decrease in IFO

Assuming a
Hypothetical
Price Change of (a)
 
(In millions)            10%                     25%          

Commodity derivative instruments:(b)

    

Crude oil

   $ 1 (c)   $  

Natural gas

         99 (c)         220 (c)

Refined products

     22 (c)     59 (c)

(a)

We remain at risk for possible changes in the market value of commodity derivative instruments; however, such risk should be mitigated by price changes in the underlying physical commodity. Effects of these offsets are not reflected in the sensitivity analysis. Amounts reflect hypothetical 10 percent and 25 percent changes in closing commodity prices for each open contract position at December 31, 2007. Included in the natural gas impacts above are $102 million and $229 million for hypothetical price changes of 10 percent and 25 percent related to the long-term U.K. natural gas contracts accounted for as derivative instruments. We evaluate our portfolio of commodity derivative instruments on an ongoing basis and add or revise strategies in anticipation of changes in market conditions and in risk profiles. We are also exposed to credit risk in the event of nonperformance by counterparties. The creditworthiness of counterparties is reviewed continuously and master netting agreements are used when practical. Changes to the portfolio after December 31, 2007, would cause future IFO effects to differ from those presented above.

(b)

The number of net open contracts for the E&P segment varied throughout 2007, from a low of 15 contracts on April 30, 2007, to a high of 1,475 contracts on March 15, 2007, and averaged 719 for the year. The number of net open contracts for the RM&T segment varied throughout 2007, from a low of 22 contracts on February 7, 2007, to a high of 31,872 contracts on September 24, 2007, and averaged 12,261 for the year. The number of net open contracts for the OSM segment varied throughout 2007, from a low of 25,585 contracts on December 31, 2007 to a high of 28,345 contracts on October 18, 2007, the Western acquisition date, and averaged 26,965 for the post-acquisition period. The commodity derivative instruments used and positions taken will vary and, because of these variations in the composition of the portfolio over time, the number of open contracts by itself cannot be used to predict future income effects.

(c)

Price increase.

 

63


Table of Contents
Index to Financial Statements

Open
Derivative Positions as of December 31, 2007 and Sensitivity Analysis

At year end our E&P segment held open derivative
contracts to mitigate the price risk on natural gas held in storage or purchased to be marketed with our own natural gas production in amounts that were in line with

 


62







Table of Contents


Index to Financial Statements



normal levels of activity. At December 31, 2007, we had no open derivative contracts related to our future sales of liquid hydrocarbons and natural gas
and therefore remained substantially exposed to market prices of these commodities.

At October 18, 2007, Western held crude oil put
options purchased in October 2005 for the three-year period beginning January 1, 2007. The premiums for the purchased put options had been partially offset through the sale of call options for the same three-year period, resulting in a net
premium liability. Payment of the net premium liability is deferred until the settlement of the option contracts. As of December 31, 2007, the following put and call options were outstanding:

STYLE="font-size:12px;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px"> 






































































   Option
Expiration
Dates
    2008  2009

Option Contract Volumes (Barrels Per Day):

    

Put Options Purchased

   20,000   20,000

Call Options Sold

   15,000   15,000

Average Exercise Price (Dollars Per Barrel):

    

Put Options

  $54.25  $50.50

Call Options

  $94.25  $90.50

At year end our RM&T segment held open derivative contracts in amounts that were in line with
normal levels of activity.

Sensitivity analysis of the incremental effects on income from operations (“IFO”) of hypothetical 10
percent and 25 percent changes in commodity prices for open commodity derivative instruments as of December 31, 2007, is provided in the following table. The direction of the price change used in calculating the sensitivity amount for each
commodity reflects that which would result in the largest incremental decrease in IFO when applied to the commodity derivative instruments used to hedge that commodity.

STYLE="font-size:12px;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px"> 



































































   Incremental
Decrease in IFO

Assuming
a
Hypothetical
Price Change of (a)
 
(In millions)          10%                  25%         

Commodity derivative instruments:(b)SIZE="2">

   

Crude oil

  $1(c) $ 

Natural gas

       99(c)      220(c)

Refined products

   22(c)  59(c)




(a)

We remain at risk for possible changes in the market value of commodity derivative instruments; however, such risk
should be mitigated by price changes in the underlying physical commodity. Effects of these offsets are not reflected in the sensitivity analysis. Amounts reflect hypothetical 10 percent and 25 percent changes in closing commodity prices for each
open contract position at December 31, 2007. Included in the natural gas impacts above are $102 million and $229 million for hypothetical price changes of 10 percent and 25 percent related to the long-term U.K. natural gas contracts accounted
for as derivative instruments. We evaluate our portfolio of commodity derivative instruments on an ongoing basis and add or revise strategies in anticipation of changes in market conditions and in risk profiles. We are also exposed to credit risk in
the event of nonperformance by counterparties. The creditworthiness of counterparties is reviewed continuously and master netting agreements are used when practical. Changes to the portfolio after December 31, 2007, would cause future IFO
effects to differ from those presented above.





(b)

The number of net open contracts for the E&P segment varied throughout 2007, from a low of 15 contracts on
April 30, 2007, to a high of 1,475 contracts on March 15, 2007, and averaged 719 for the year. The number of net open contracts for the RM&T segment varied throughout 2007, from a low of 22 contracts on February 7, 2007, to a high
of 31,872 contracts on September 24, 2007, and averaged 12,261 for the year. The number of net open contracts for the OSM segment varied throughout 2007, from a low of 25,585 contracts on December 31, 2007 to a high of 28,345 contracts on
October 18, 2007, the Western acquisition date, and averaged 26,965 for the post-acquisition period. The commodity derivative instruments used and positions taken will vary and, because of these variations in the composition of the portfolio
over time, the number of open contracts by itself cannot be used to predict future income effects.





(c)

Price increase.

SIZE="1"> 


63







Table of Contents


Index to Financial Statements


EXCERPTS ON THIS PAGE:

10-K (2 sections)
Feb 29, 2008
Wikinvest © 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012. Use of this site is subject to express Terms of Service, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimer. By continuing past this page, you agree to abide by these terms. Any information provided by Wikinvest, including but not limited to company data, competitors, business analysis, market share, sales revenues and other operating metrics, earnings call analysis, conference call transcripts, industry information, or price targets should not be construed as research, trading tips or recommendations, or investment advice and is provided with no warrants as to its accuracy. Stock market data, including US and International equity symbols, stock quotes, share prices, earnings ratios, and other fundamental data is provided by data partners. Stock market quotes delayed at least 15 minutes for NASDAQ, 20 mins for NYSE and AMEX. Market data by Xignite. See data providers for more details. Company names, products, services and branding cited herein may be trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective owners. The use of trademarks or service marks of another is not a representation that the other is affiliated with, sponsors, is sponsored by, endorses, or is endorsed by Wikinvest.
Powered by MediaWiki