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Company: Morgan Stanley (MS)
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70%
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27 votes

  Making money out of level 3 assets

MS is trying to make money over the credit crunch as well. There are Level1, Level 2 and Level 3 assets. Level 1 assets are the easy to price, liquid holdings on the banks balance sheets. Think US Treasuries. Level 2 assets may be less liquid, but they are priced according to comparable marketable assets, even if they arent' actively trading themselves. Level 3 assets, though, are the illiquid holdings that have gotten everyone in trouble lately - the mortgage backed structured products, derivatives, all that toxic waste. Those are illiquid, and have been priced according to "mark to model" theoretical pricing programs. Basically they are prices made up out of thin air. Keep with us here - last month there was an offer to the investment banks to come to the discount window of the Fed (something not done for over 70 years) and use those level 3 assets for collateral for 100 cents on the dollar FULLY LIQUID, US TREASURY-NOTE BASED LOANS. Now think about that! It's truly turning lead into gold with this type of accounting alchemy.

We saw, in most banks quarterly earnings releases, huge transfers of assets from "level 2" into "level 3", basically (we suspect) to take advantage of this total windfall of taxpayer cash to the banks. And yes, you can thank Henry Paulsen (of Goldman Sachs pedigree) for this $200 billion taxpayer funded program. Morgan Stanley has $32 billion now in Level 3 assets (it increased by 45% in Q108)

Setting aside the discussion of the morality / ethicality of bailing out the Wall Street banks with taxpayer money, this happened last month and we have to figure out how to make an investment return on it. The Wall Street investment banks are now in a position to swap off the worst toxic waste on their balance sheets for US Treasury notes. That's exactly what they're doing, and there's nothing you or I, or Congress, or the President of the United States can do about it. As a matter of fact, they're looking at this $200 or $300 billion program as the cost of maintaining our financial system's integrity. I guess every once in a while the roots of the tree of global finance have to be replenished with the US taxpayers' capital. (Apologies to Thomas Jefferson's great quote regarding the tree of Liberty).

n the first quarter, MS increased its Level 3 assets by 45%, to a total of $32 billion, (with a total current market cap of $55 billion, that is a significant number). We believe this positions them to participate in this asset swap in a meaningful manner. The stock is down about $0.40 this morning, but we feel in the near term we'll see a strong move upward in the stock, along with all the other investment banks. Thank you Mr. and Mrs. Taxpayer. And oh yes, enjoy your $600 tax rebate checks this month.

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  MS to Start PE Funds in China

Morgan Stanley has recently signed an agreement with the local government of Hangzhou China to establish its China private equity headquarters in the city. This move marks a growing trend for major global banks establishing private equity businesses in the mainland, and since MS is ahead of its major competitor banks in tapping into China's private equity market, it's in a good position to establish a strong base in the country.

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0 votes

  Top in IPO Market

Initial public offerings arranged by Morgan Stanley are performing better than those arranged by other firms on Wall Street. Morgan Stanley's performance in the business of arranging initial public offerings has allowed the firm to increase its market share of U.S. company IPOs from 2.2% to 18%.

IPOs are one of the most lucrative generator of fees for banks, and with IPOs projected to increase to as much as $50 billion from 16.5 billion in 2009, Morgan Stanley can expect substantial profits from this segment of its business.

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30%
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10 votes

  Bank Holding Company

Morgan Stanley, formerly the second biggest U.S. securities firm, had $36 billion of deposits and three million retail accounts at the end of August, Bloomberg reported. The company will also convert its Morgan Stanley Investment Bank, an industrial bank based in Utah, into a national bank.

"This new bank holding structure will ensure that Morgan Stanley is in the strongest possible position," said company Chairman and Chief Executive Officer John Mack. "It also offers the marketplace certainty about the strength of our financial position and our access to funding."

Of course, Morgan Stanley’s new structure also means the company will have to reevaluate its partnerships going forward.

"This means Morgan Stanley is reassessing its plan for a merger with [Wachovia Corp. (WB)]," Tony Plath, a finance professor at the University of North Carolina. "Morgan Stanley is going to try to go it alone, and I expect it will try to buy a bank with a market-to-book ratio that is next to nothing.

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