PNC » Topics » Net Interest Income Sensitivity To Alternate Rate Scenarios (for third quarter 2006)

This excerpt taken from the PNC 10-Q filed Nov 9, 2006.

Net Interest Income Sensitivity To Alternate Rate Scenarios (for third quarter 2006)

 

     PNC
Economist
    Market
Forward
    Two-Ten
Inversion
 

First year sensitivity

  1.4 %   0.8 %   (5.1 )%

Second year sensitivity

  8.2 %   3.3 %   (5.1 )%

 

26


Table of Contents

All changes in forecasted net interest income are relative to results in a base rate scenario where current market rates are assumed to remain unchanged over the forecast horizon.

When forecasting net interest income, we make assumptions about interest rates and the shape of the yield curve, the volume and characteristics of new business, and the behavior of existing positions. These assumptions determine the future level of simulated net interest income in the base interest rate scenario and the other interest rate scenarios presented in the table above. These simulations assume that as assets and liabilities mature, they are replaced or repriced at market rates.

The graph below presents the yield curves for the base rate scenario and each of the alternative scenarios one year forward.

LOGO

Our risk position has become increasingly liability sensitive in part due to the increase in market interest rates and in part due to our balance sheet management strategy. We believe that we have the deposit funding base and balance sheet flexibility to take advantage, where appropriate, of changing interest rates and to adjust to changing market conditions.

This excerpt taken from the PNC 10-Q filed Aug 9, 2006.

Net Interest Income Sensitivity To Alternate Rate Scenarios (for second quarter 2006)

 

     

PNC

Economist

   

Market

Forward

   

Two-Ten

Inversion

 

First year sensitivity

   .9 %   (.3 )%   (4.5 )%

Second year sensitivity

   5.7 %   .2 %   (4.3 )%

 

27


Table of Contents

When forecasting net interest income, we make assumptions about interest rates and the shape of the yield curve, the volume and characteristics of new business, and the behavior of existing positions. These assumptions determine the future level of simulated net interest income in the base interest rate scenario and the other interest rate scenarios presented in the table above. These simulations assume that as assets and liabilities mature, they are replaced or repriced at market rates.

All changes in forecasted net interest income are relative to results in a base rate scenario where current market rates are assumed to remain unchanged over the forecast horizon.

The graph below presents the yield curves for the base rate scenario and each of the alternative scenarios one year forward.

LOGO

Our risk position has become increasingly liability sensitive in part due to the increase in market interest rates and in part due to our balance sheet management strategy. We believe that we have the deposit funding base and balance sheet flexibility to take advantage, where appropriate, of changing interest rates and to adjust to changing market conditions.

This excerpt taken from the PNC 10-Q filed May 9, 2006.

Net Interest Income Sensitivity To Alternate Rate Scenarios (for first quarter 2006)

 

     PNC
Economist
 
 
  Market
Forward
 
 
  Two-Ten
Inversion
 
 

First year sensitivity

   .8 %   .3 %   (2.9 )%

Second year sensitivity

   3.5 %   .7 %   (2.1 )%

 

24


Table of Contents

When forecasting net interest income, we make assumptions about interest rates and the shape of the yield curve, the volume and characteristics of new business, and the behavior of existing positions. These assumptions determine the future level of simulated net interest income in the base interest rate scenario and the other interest rate scenarios presented in the following table. These simulations assume that as assets and liabilities mature, they are replaced or repriced at market rates.

All changes in forecasted net interest income are relative to results in a base rate scenario where current market rates are assumed to remain unchanged over the forecast horizon.

The graph below presents the yield curves for the base rate scenario and each of the alternative scenarios one year forward.

LOGO

Our duration of equity has moved from negative to positive in part due to the increase in market interest rates and in part due to our balance sheet management strategy. We believe that we have the deposit funding base and balance sheet flexibility to take advantage, where appropriate, of changing interest rates and to adjust to changing market conditions.

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