RDN » Topics » Financial Guaranty

These excerpts taken from the RDN 10-Q filed May 11, 2009.

Financial Guaranty

 

   

Net Par Outstanding.    Our financial guaranty net par outstanding increased in the first quarter of 2009 by $2.1 billion, as compared to December 31, 2008, primarily due to our implementation of SFAS No. 163, “Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts, an interpretation of Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) Statement No. 60 (“SFAS No. 163”),” and not as a result of our writing new business. Year-over-year, our net par outstanding decreased by 12.0% from $116.8 billion as of March 31, 2008 to $102.8 billion as of March 31, 2009. This reduction in outstanding net par was primarily due to recaptures of reinsurance business by certain of our primary reinsurance customers in 2008, negotiated settlements of certain CDO obligations, prepayments or refundings of public finance transactions and the amortization or scheduled maturity of our insured portfolio. As a result of the downgrade of Radian Asset Assurance’s financial strength ratings by S&P in June 2008, four of our reinsurance customers recaptured all of their business ceded to us and we agreed to allow another reinsurance customer to take back a portion of its business (the “2008 FG Recaptures”). As a result of these transactions, our net assumed par outstanding, written premiums, earned premiums and net present value of expected future installment premiums were reduced in the aggregate by $7.3 billion, $51.0 million, $17.1 million and $10.6 million, respectively. In light of our decision to discontinue writing new business as discussed above, we expect our net par outstanding to continue to decrease as our financial guaranty portfolio matures and as we seek to reduce prudently our financial guaranty risk in force.

 

   

Credit Performance.    We experienced continued deterioration in our financial guaranty portfolio during the first quarter of 2009, primarily due to continued deterioration in housing and consumer finance markets, as well as in corporate and banking sectors. Our internal ratings for our exposure to domestic RMBS outside of our insured CDO portfolio continued to deteriorate, with 55.2% of the net par outstanding rated below investment-grade as of March 31, 2009, compared to 45.6% as of December 31, 2008. All below investment grade domestic RMBS exposure is on our Watch List and reserves have been established for these transactions, as appropriate. Deterioration has occurred across all four types of RMBS products (subprime, prime, Alternative-A (“Alt-A”), and second-to-pay), with the greatest deterioration over the past quarter in Alt-A. Our two CDO of ABS transactions have also shown deterioration with one transaction having been downgraded internally from AAA to AA- and significant further deterioration in the underlying collateral of the other CDO of ABS transaction.

Our internal ratings on our CDO portfolio migrated downward during the first quarter of 2009 with 11.0% of our net par exposure rated BBB or below as of March 31, 2009, compared to 3.7% as of December 31, 2008. Our directly insured corporate CDO portfolio remains highly rated. Based on our

 

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internal ratings as of March 31, 2009, 85.6% of our aggregate net par exposure with respect to corporate CDOs had subordination at or above the level of subordination necessary to warrant a AAA rating, while only 1.1% of such exposure was below investment grade.

Our weighted-average internal rating for all direct, first-to-pay TruPs CDOs transactions declined, from A- to BB+, and the weighted-average internal rating of our three second-to-pay TruPs CDOs also declined, from A+ to BBB, since December 31, 2008. While there was some deterioration in the performance of the underlying collateral in our CDO of commercial mortgage-backed securities (“CMBS”) portfolio over the past quarter, the ratings of these four transactions remain unchanged.

Our insured healthcare portfolio continued to experience credit deterioration during the first quarter of 2009. Our insured education portfolio also continued to experience stress due to declining philanthropy and investment returns. Although states and municipalities are experiencing stress from the economic downturn, the government-related credits in our insured portfolio generally have not shown material deterioration to date.

See “Results of Operations—Financial Guaranty—Quarter Ended March 31, 2009 Compared to Quarter Ended March 31, 2008—Provision for Losses” below for additional information regarding material changes in the credit performance of our insured financial guaranty portfolio.

Financial Guaranty

The principal liquidity demands of our financial guaranty business include the payment of operating expenses, including those allocated from Radian Group, claim payments, taxes and dividends to Radian Guaranty. The principal sources of liquidity in our financial guaranty business are premium collections, credit enhancement fees on credit derivative contracts and net investment income. We believe that the operating cash flows generated by each of our financial guaranty subsidiaries will provide these subsidiaries with the funds necessary to satisfy their claim payments and operating expenses for the foreseeable future. We believe that we have the ability to fund any operating cash flow shortfall from sales of marketable securities in our investment portfolio maintained at our operating companies and from maturing fixed-income investments. In the event that we are unable to fund excess claim payments and operating expenses through the sale of these marketable securities and from maturing fixed-income investments, we may be required to incur unanticipated capital losses or delays in connection with the sale of less liquid marketable securities held by our financial guaranty business.

 

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These excerpts taken from the RDN 10-K filed Mar 10, 2009.

Financial Guaranty

Our financial guaranty business has mainly provided direct insurance and reinsurance on credit-based risks through Radian Asset Assurance Inc. (“Radian Asset Assurance”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Radian Guaranty, and through Radian Asset Assurance’s wholly-owned subsidiary Radian Asset Assurance Limited (“RAAL”), located in the United Kingdom.

Financial guaranty insurance typically provides an unconditional and irrevocable guaranty to the holder of a financial obligation of full and timely payment of principal and interest when due. Financial guaranty insurance may be issued at the inception of an insured obligation or may be issued for the benefit of a holder of an obligation in the secondary market. Historically, financial guaranty insurance has been used to lower an issuer’s cost of borrowing when the insurance premium is less than the value of the spread (commonly referred to as the “credit spread”) between the market yield required to be paid on the insured obligation (carrying the credit rating of the insurer) and the market yield required to be paid on the obligation if sold on the basis of its uninsured credit rating. Financial guaranty insurance also has been used to increase the marketability of obligations issued by infrequent or unknown issuers or obligations with complex structures. Until recently, investors generally have benefited from financial guaranty insurance through increased liquidity in the secondary market, reduced exposure to price volatility caused by changes in the credit quality of the underlying insured issue, and added protection against loss in the event of the obligor’s default on its obligation. Recent market developments, including ratings downgrades of most financial guaranty insurance companies (including our own), have significantly reduced the perceived benefits of financial guaranty insurance.

We have provided financial guaranty credit protection either through the issuance of a financial guaranty insurance policy or through credit default swaps. Either form of credit enhancement can provide the purchaser of such credit protection with a guaranty of the timely payment of interest and scheduled principal when due on a covered financial obligation. By providing credit default swaps, we have been able to participate in transactions with superior collateral quality involving asset classes (such as corporate collateralized debt obligations (“CDOs”)) that may not have been available to us through the issuance of a traditional financial guaranty insurance policy. Either form of credit enhancement requires substantially identical underwriting and surveillance skills.

We have traditionally offered the following financial guaranty products:

 

   

Public Finance—Insurance of public finance obligations, including tax-exempt and taxable indebtedness of states, counties, cities, special service districts, other political subdivisions and for enterprises such as airports, public and private higher education and health care facilities, and for project finance and private finance initiative assets in sectors such as schools, healthcare and infrastructure projects. The issuers of our insured public finance obligations were generally rated investment-grade at the time we issued our insurance policy, without the benefit of our insurance;

 

   

Structured Finance—Insurance of structured finance obligations, including CDOs and asset-backed securities (“ABS”), consisting of funded and non-funded (referred to herein as “synthetic”) executions that are payable from or tied to the performance of a specific pool of assets or covered reference entities. Examples of the pools of assets that underlie structured finance obligations include corporate

 

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loans, bonds or other borrowed money, residential and commercial mortgages, diversified payment rights, a variety of consumer loans, equipment receivables, real and personal property leases or a combination of asset classes or securities backed by one or more of these pools of assets. We have also guaranteed excess clearing losses of securities exchange clearinghouses. The structured finance obligations we insure were generally rated investment-grade at the time we issued our insurance policy, without the benefit of our insurance; and

 

   

Reinsurance—Reinsurance of domestic and international public finance obligations, including those issued by sovereign and sub-sovereign entities, and structured finance obligations.

In October 2005, we exited the trade credit reinsurance line of business. Accordingly, this line of business was placed into run-off and we ceased initiating new trade credit reinsurance contracts. We have also been novating or cancelling several of the trade credit insurance agreements that were in place.

In March 2008, we discontinued writing new insurance on synthetic CDOs and reduced significantly our structured products operations. This action was based on the deterioration and uncertainties in the credit markets in which we and other financial guarantors participate, which significantly reduced the volume of CDOs and other structured products available for our insurance. Subsequent to this, in June 2008, both Standard & Poor’s Ratings Service (“S&P”) and Moody’s Investor Service (“Moody’s”) downgraded the financial strength ratings of our financial guaranty insurance subsidiaries, and in August 2008, S&P again lowered the financial strength ratings on our financial guaranty insurance subsidiaries. See “Ratings—Recent Ratings Actions” below. These downgrades, combined with the difficult market conditions for financial guaranty insurance, severely limited our ability to write profitable new direct financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance both domestically and internationally. Accordingly, in the third quarter of 2008, we decided to discontinue, for the foreseeable future, writing any new financial guaranty business, including accepting new financial guaranty reinsurance, other than as may be necessary to commute, restructure, hedge or otherwise mitigate losses or reduce exposure in our existing portfolio. We initiated plans to reduce our financial guaranty operations, including a reduction of our workforce, commensurate with this decision. We also contributed the outstanding capital stock of Radian Asset Assurance to Radian Guaranty, strengthening Radian Guaranty’s statutory capital. We continue to maintain a large insured financial guaranty portfolio, including a portfolio of insured CDOs.

As a result of S&P’s downgrades of our financial guaranty insurance subsidiaries in June and August 2008, $75.6 billion of our net par outstanding as of December 31, 2008 remains subject to recapture or termination at the option of our reinsurance customers, our credit derivative counterparties or other insured parties.

All but one of our reinsurance customers have the right to take back or recapture business previously ceded to us under their reinsurance agreements with us, and in some cases, in lieu of recapture, the right to increase ceding commissions charged to us. As of December 31, 2008, up to $36.7 billion of our total net assumed par outstanding was subject to recapture. If all of this business was recaptured as of December 31, 2008, we estimate that we would have experienced a reduction in (1) written premiums of approximately $312.8 million, (2) earned premiums of approximately $52.2 million, and (3) the net present value of expected future installment premiums of $142.3 million. In addition, we would have experienced a reduction in incurred losses of up to $94.9 million if this business were recaptured.

The counterparty in two of our synthetic CDO transactions, with an aggregate net par outstanding of $293.3 million ($243.0 million of which is scheduled to terminate in June 2009), has the right to terminate these transactions with settlement on a mark-to-market basis, subject to a maximum payment amount as of December 31, 2008 of approximately $34.1 million in the aggregate. In addition, we also have $103.2 million in exposure to another synthetic CDO transaction which is scheduled to terminate in June 2009. This transaction may be terminated on a mark-to-market basis if S&P lowers Radian Asset Assurance’s financial strength rating below investment grade (BBB-).

 

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As of December 31, 2008, the counterparties to 147 of financial guaranty’s transactions currently have the right to terminate these transactions without our having an obligation to settle the transaction on a mark-to-market basis. If all of these counterparties had terminated these transactions as of December 31, 2008, our net par outstanding would have been reduced by $38.6 billion, with a corresponding decrease in unearned premium reserves of $12.0 million (of which only $0.4 million would be required to be refunded to counterparties) and the present value of expected future installment premiums of $168.0 million. If all these transactions were terminated, we do not believe it would have a material impact on our financial condition or results of operations.

Financial Guaranty

 

   

New Business Production. A difficult business environment for financial guaranty insurance has existed since 2007. These conditions include the widening of credit spreads, a lack of price transparency and illiquidity in many of the structured products that we insure. In addition, there were losses by financial guarantors on RMBS, CDOs of ABS and other credit positions, ratings actions on financial guaranty industry participants, including us, and perceived instability in the franchise values and ratings of many of the financial guarantors, including us. These conditions have materially diminished the financial benefit that our credit protection provides to issuers in the current, market of both public and structured finance transactions and to our primary insurer customers and have reduced the perceived benefit of our insurance to holders of insured debt. Many transactions that would normally have been marketed with some form of financial guaranty insurance are either not going to market or are being sold without the benefit of financial guaranty insurance. As a result, there has been a significant reduction in the volume of transactions for which financial guaranty insurance is a viable option, which has made it more difficult for us and many other financial guarantors to write new business. These conditions also resulted in fewer opportunities to obtain reinsurance business from our primary insurance customers. Consequently, new business production across all of our financial guaranty product lines was significantly reduced in 2008. As discussed above, in the third quarter of 2008, we decided to discontinue, for the foreseeable future, writing any new financial guaranty business, including accepting new financial guaranty reinsurance, other than as may be necessary to commute, restructure, hedge or otherwise mitigate losses or reduce exposure in our existing portfolio.

 

   

Reductions in Net Par Outstanding. Our financial guaranty net par outstanding decreased by 13.2% from $116.0 billion as of December 31, 2007 to $100.7 billion as of December 31, 2008. This reduction in outstanding net par was primarily due to recaptures of reinsurance business by certain of our primary reinsurance customers, terminations of certain CDO obligations, prepayments or refundings of public finance transactions and the amortization or scheduled maturity of our insured portfolio.

As a result of the downgrade of Radian Asset Assurance’s financial strength ratings by S&P in June 2008, four of our reinsurance customers recaptured all of their business ceded to us and we agreed to allow another reinsurance customer to take back a portion of its business (the “2008 FG Recaptures”). As a result of these transactions, our net assumed par outstanding, written premiums, earned premiums and net present value of expected future installment premiums were reduced in the aggregate by $7.3 billion, $51.0 million, $17.1 million and $10.6 million, respectively.

 

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As a result of the downgrade of Radian Asset Assurance’s financial strength ratings by S&P to BBB in August 2008, the counterparties in four of our synthetic credit default swap transactions obtained the right to terminate the transactions with settlement on a mark-to-market basis. In September 2008, we voluntarily terminated one of these transactions and novated a second transaction to an unaffiliated third party before the termination rights for our counterparty vested, with no material impact to our consolidated financial statements.

 

   

Credit Performance. We have experienced deterioration in our financial guaranty portfolio during 2008, primarily related to deterioration in housing and consumer finance markets. The performance of assumed structured finance transactions within our reinsurance portfolio deteriorated throughout 2008 and one large public finance reinsurance credit defaulted during 2008. The deterioration in our insured ABS portfolio was primarily related to credits supported by student loan and rental car collateral, while the deterioration in our insured RMBS portfolio was primarily related to domestic subprime and Alternative-A (“Alt-A”) collateral. As of December 31, 2008, 46% of our domestic insured RMBS portfolio was rated below investment grade. While we did not experience material deterioration in our directly insured portfolio, there was some ratings deterioration within our insured corporate CDO portfolio and trust preferred CDO portfolio due to the impact of several credit events in the second half of 2008. We moved one large directly insured CDO of ABS with significant RMBS exposure in its underlying collateral pool to our Watch List in 2008. There has been some credit deterioration in our insured healthcare portfolio during 2008, primarily due to the impact of investment losses resulting from the market downturn on hospitals’ cash positions, and in our insured education portfolio due to declining philanthropy and investment returns. In addition, some of our healthcare and education credits have also been experiencing additional stress due to interest rate volatility and the risk of rapid amortization associated with recent disruptions in the auction rate and variable rate bond markets. See “Results of Operations—Financial Guaranty—Year Ended December 31, 2008 Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2007—Provision for Losses” below.

Financial Guaranty

SIZE="2">Our financial guaranty business has mainly provided direct insurance and reinsurance on credit-based risks through Radian Asset Assurance Inc. (“Radian Asset Assurance”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Radian Guaranty,
and through Radian Asset Assurance’s wholly-owned subsidiary Radian Asset Assurance Limited (“RAAL”), located in the United Kingdom.

SIZE="2">Financial guaranty insurance typically provides an unconditional and irrevocable guaranty to the holder of a financial obligation of full and timely payment of principal and interest when due. Financial guaranty insurance may be issued at
the inception of an insured obligation or may be issued for the benefit of a holder of an obligation in the secondary market. Historically, financial guaranty insurance has been used to lower an issuer’s cost of borrowing when the insurance
premium is less than the value of the spread (commonly referred to as the “credit spread”) between the market yield required to be paid on the insured obligation (carrying the credit rating of the insurer) and the market yield required to
be paid on the obligation if sold on the basis of its uninsured credit rating. Financial guaranty insurance also has been used to increase the marketability of obligations issued by infrequent or unknown issuers or obligations with complex
structures. Until recently, investors generally have benefited from financial guaranty insurance through increased liquidity in the secondary market, reduced exposure to price volatility caused by changes in the credit quality of the underlying
insured issue, and added protection against loss in the event of the obligor’s default on its obligation. Recent market developments, including ratings downgrades of most financial guaranty insurance companies (including our own), have
significantly reduced the perceived benefits of financial guaranty insurance.

We have provided financial guaranty credit protection either
through the issuance of a financial guaranty insurance policy or through credit default swaps. Either form of credit enhancement can provide the purchaser of such credit protection with a guaranty of the timely payment of interest and scheduled
principal when due on a covered financial obligation. By providing credit default swaps, we have been able to participate in transactions with superior collateral quality involving asset classes (such as corporate collateralized debt obligations
(“CDOs”)) that may not have been available to us through the issuance of a traditional financial guaranty insurance policy. Either form of credit enhancement requires substantially identical underwriting and surveillance skills.

We have traditionally offered the following financial guaranty products:

STYLE="font-size:6px;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px"> 







  

Public Finance—Insurance of public finance obligations, including tax-exempt and taxable indebtedness of states, counties, cities, special service
districts, other political subdivisions and for enterprises such as airports, public and private higher education and health care facilities, and for project finance and private finance initiative assets in sectors such as schools, healthcare and
infrastructure projects. The issuers of our insured public finance obligations were generally rated investment-grade at the time we issued our insurance policy, without the benefit of our insurance;

STYLE="font-size:6px;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px"> 







  

Structured Finance—Insurance of structured finance obligations, including CDOs and asset-backed securities (“ABS”), consisting of funded and
non-funded (referred to herein as “synthetic”) executions that are payable from or tied to the performance of a specific pool of assets or covered reference entities. Examples of the pools of assets that underlie structured finance
obligations include corporate

 


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loans, bonds or other borrowed money, residential and commercial mortgages, diversified payment rights, a variety of consumer loans, equipment receivables,
real and personal property leases or a combination of asset classes or securities backed by one or more of these pools of assets. We have also guaranteed excess clearing losses of securities exchange clearinghouses. The structured finance
obligations we insure were generally rated investment-grade at the time we issued our insurance policy, without the benefit of our insurance; and

 







  

Reinsurance—Reinsurance of domestic and international public finance obligations, including those issued by sovereign and sub-sovereign entities, and
structured finance obligations.

In October 2005, we exited the trade credit reinsurance line of business. Accordingly,
this line of business was placed into run-off and we ceased initiating new trade credit reinsurance contracts. We have also been novating or cancelling several of the trade credit insurance agreements that were in place.

STYLE="margin-top:12px;margin-bottom:0px; text-indent:4%">In March 2008, we discontinued writing new insurance on synthetic CDOs and reduced significantly our structured products operations. This action was
based on the deterioration and uncertainties in the credit markets in which we and other financial guarantors participate, which significantly reduced the volume of CDOs and other structured products available for our insurance. Subsequent to this,
in June 2008, both Standard & Poor’s Ratings Service (“S&P”) and Moody’s Investor Service (“Moody’s”) downgraded the financial strength ratings of our financial guaranty insurance subsidiaries, and in
August 2008, S&P again lowered the financial strength ratings on our financial guaranty insurance subsidiaries. See “Ratings—Recent Ratings Actions” below. These downgrades, combined with the difficult market conditions for
financial guaranty insurance, severely limited our ability to write profitable new direct financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance both domestically and internationally. Accordingly, in the third quarter of 2008, we decided to discontinue, for
the foreseeable future, writing any new financial guaranty business, including accepting new financial guaranty reinsurance, other than as may be necessary to commute, restructure, hedge or otherwise mitigate losses or reduce exposure in our
existing portfolio. We initiated plans to reduce our financial guaranty operations, including a reduction of our workforce, commensurate with this decision. We also contributed the outstanding capital stock of Radian Asset Assurance to Radian
Guaranty, strengthening Radian Guaranty’s statutory capital. We continue to maintain a large insured financial guaranty portfolio, including a portfolio of insured CDOs.

STYLE="margin-top:12px;margin-bottom:0px; text-indent:4%">As a result of S&P’s downgrades of our financial guaranty insurance subsidiaries in June and August 2008, $75.6 billion of our net par
outstanding as of December 31, 2008 remains subject to recapture or termination at the option of our reinsurance customers, our credit derivative counterparties or other insured parties.

STYLE="margin-top:12px;margin-bottom:0px; text-indent:4%">All but one of our reinsurance customers have the right to take back or recapture business previously ceded to us under their reinsurance agreements with
us, and in some cases, in lieu of recapture, the right to increase ceding commissions charged to us. As of December 31, 2008, up to $36.7 billion of our total net assumed par outstanding was subject to recapture. If all of this business was
recaptured as of December 31, 2008, we estimate that we would have experienced a reduction in (1) written premiums of approximately $312.8 million, (2) earned premiums of approximately $52.2 million, and (3) the net present value
of expected future installment premiums of $142.3 million. In addition, we would have experienced a reduction in incurred losses of up to $94.9 million if this business were recaptured.

STYLE="margin-top:12px;margin-bottom:0px; text-indent:4%">The counterparty in two of our synthetic CDO transactions, with an aggregate net par outstanding of $293.3 million ($243.0 million of which is scheduled
to terminate in June 2009), has the right to terminate these transactions with settlement on a mark-to-market basis, subject to a maximum payment amount as of December 31, 2008 of approximately $34.1 million in the aggregate. In addition, we
also have $103.2 million in exposure to another synthetic CDO transaction which is scheduled to terminate in June 2009. This transaction may be terminated on a mark-to-market basis if S&P lowers Radian Asset Assurance’s financial strength
rating below investment grade (BBB-).

 


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As of December 31, 2008, the counterparties to 147 of financial guaranty’s transactions
currently have the right to terminate these transactions without our having an obligation to settle the transaction on a mark-to-market basis. If all of these counterparties had terminated these transactions as of December 31, 2008, our net par
outstanding would have been reduced by $38.6 billion, with a corresponding decrease in unearned premium reserves of $12.0 million (of which only $0.4 million would be required to be refunded to counterparties) and the present value of expected
future installment premiums of $168.0 million. If all these transactions were terminated, we do not believe it would have a material impact on our financial condition or results of operations.

STYLE="margin-top:18px;margin-bottom:0px">Financial Services

Our financial services
segment mainly consists of our 28.7% equity interest in Sherman Financial Group LLC (“Sherman”), a consumer asset and servicing firm. In August 2008, our equity interest in Sherman increased to 28.7% from 21.8% as a result of a
reallocation of the equity ownership of Sherman following a sale by Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (“MGIC”) of its remaining interest in Sherman back to Sherman. As a result of Sherman’s repurchase of MGIC’s interests,
our investment in affiliates decreased by $25.8 million ($16.8 million after taxes) and is reflected as a reduction in our equity. Our financial services segment also includes our 46% interest in Credit-Based Asset Servicing and Securitization LLC
(“C-BASS”), a mortgage investment company which we have written off completely and whose operations are currently in run-off.

SIZE="2">Sherman. Sherman is a consumer asset and servicing firm specializing in charged-off and bankruptcy plan consumer assets, which are generally unsecured, that Sherman typically purchases at deep discounts from national financial
institutions and major retail corporations and subsequently seeks to collect. In addition, Sherman originates subprime credit card receivables through its subsidiary CreditOne and has a variety of other similar ventures related to consumer assets.

C-BASS. Historically, C-BASS was engaged as a mortgage investment and servicing company specializing in the credit risk of subprime
single-family residential mortgages. As a result of the disruption in the subprime mortgage market during 2007, C-BASS ceased purchasing mortgages and mortgage securities and its securitization activities in the third quarter of 2007 and sold its
loan-servicing platform in the fourth quarter of 2007. The run-off of C-BASS’s business is dictated by an override agreement to which we and all of C-BASS’s other owners and creditors are parties. This agreement provides the basis for the
collection and distribution of cash generated from C-BASS’s whole loans and securities portfolio, as well as the sale of certain assets, including the loan-servicing platform. We recorded a full write off of our equity interest in C-BASS in the
third quarter of 2007 and wrote-off our $50 million credit facility with C-BASS in the fourth quarter of 2007. See Note 8 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

FACE="Times New Roman" SIZE="2">As a consequence of the complete write-off of our investment in C-BASS in 2007, we have no continuing interest of value in C-BASS. The effect of C-BASS on our financial position and results of operations as of and for
the year ended December 31, 2008, was negligible. We have no contractual obligations to C-BASS or its creditors to fund C-BASS’s shareholders’ deficit as of December 31, 2007 or continuing losses in 2008 or thereafter. All of
C-BASS’s business is currently in run-off and we anticipate that all future cash flows of C-BASS will be used to service the outstanding debt. Given its approximately $1 billion shareholders’ deficit as of December 31, 2007, the
likelihood that we will recoup any of our investment is extremely remote. Accordingly, we believe that the chance that our investments in C-BASS will have anything more than a negligible impact on our financial position, results of operation or cash
flows at any time in the future is extremely remote.

 


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Financial Guaranty

Financial guaranty contracts written with SPEs may be written directly with the SPE or indirectly through a CDS done with a primary financial guarantor who issues a financial guaranty to the beneficial interest holders in the SPE. These SPEs are commonly used in CDO transactions where portfolio managers are permitted to buy and sell assets.

As a guarantor of beneficial interests held by third-party investors we have been involved with SPEs in our financial guaranty business. The guarantees are generally financial guarantees of principal and interest payments to beneficial interest holders. Our guarantees are generally issued on highly-rated senior securities issued by these SPEs and are not designed to absorb a significant portion of the expected losses or expected returns of the SPEs. Accordingly, we do not consolidate these SPEs. An increase in losses within the SPE structure is not an event that would require us to reconsider consolidation under FIN 46R. However, if any of the trigger events discussed above were to occur and we were required to reconsider our variable interests in the SPE, there is an increased risk that we may be required to consolidate some of these SPEs. This is primarily due to the deterioration in subordination of the underlying collateral that has occurred since our initial determination, made at inception of the VIEs, that we were not the primary beneficiary.

 

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The following table sets forth our total assets and maximum exposure to loss associated with significant financial guaranty variable interests in VIEs as of December 31 for the years indicated:

 

      Total
Assets
2008
   Maximum
Exposure
2008
   Total
Assets
2007
   Maximum
Exposure
2007
     (In millions)

CDO

   $ —      $ —      $ 975.9    $ 100.0

ABS

     2,349.6      371.8      4,706.4      695.4

Other structured finance

     6,591.9      544.0      5,442.2      415.0
                           

Total

   $ 8,941.5    $ 915.8    $ 11,124.5    $ 1,210.4
                           

Financial Guaranty

The principal liquidity demands of our financial guaranty business include the payment of operating expenses, including those allocated from Radian Group, claim payments, taxes and dividends to Radian Guaranty. The principal sources of liquidity in our financial guaranty business are written premiums and net investment income. We believe that the operating cash flows generated by each of our financial guaranty subsidiaries will provide these subsidiaries with the funds necessary to satisfy their claim payments and operating expenses for at least the next 12 months. We believe that we have the ability to fund any operating cash flow shortfall from sales of marketable securities in our investment portfolio maintained at our operating companies and from maturing fixed-income investments. In the event that we are unable to fund excess claim payments and operating expenses through the sale of these marketable securities and from maturing fixed-income investments, we may be required to incur unanticipated capital losses or delays in connection with the sale of less liquid marketable securities held by our financial guaranty business.

Financial Guaranty

On February 28, 2001, we acquired the financial guaranty insurance business and other businesses of Enhance Financial Services Group Inc. (“EFSG”), a New York-based holding company that owned, until the third quarter of 2008, our principal financial guaranty subsidiaries, Radian Asset Assurance Inc. (“Radian Asset Assurance”) and Radian Asset Assurance Limited (“RAAL”). We also acquired an ownership interest in two credit-based asset businesses (see Note 8 “Investment in Affiliates,” for further information) as part of the acquisition of EFSG. The excess of purchase price over fair value of net assets acquired of $56.7 million represents the future value of insurance profits, which is being amortized over a period that approximates the future life of the insurance book of business. At December 31, 2008, $19.6 million of this amount remained on our consolidated balance sheets. During 2008, we amortized $6.8 million related to this transaction. During both 2007 and 2006, we amortized $1.8 million related to this transaction.

 

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Our financial guaranty segment has provided credit-related insurance coverage through financial guaranty insurance, CDS and certain other financial guaranty contracts to meet the needs of customers and counterparties in a wide variety of domestic and international markets. It has provided insurance on a direct and assumed basis related mainly to public finance bonds and structured finance obligations. In 2005, we placed our trade credit reinsurance line of business into run-off.

In March 2008, we discontinued writing new insurance on synthetic collateralized debt obligations (“CDOs”) and reduced significantly our structured products operations. This action was based on the deterioration and uncertainties in the credit markets in which we and other financial guarantors participate, which significantly reduced the volume of CDOs and other structured products available for our insurance. Subsequent to this action, in June 2008, S&P and Moody’s downgraded the financial strength ratings of our financial guaranty insurance subsidiaries and in August 2008, S&P again downgraded the financial strength ratings on our financial guaranty insurance subsidiaries. See “Ratings” below. These downgrades, combined with the difficult market conditions for financial guaranty insurance, severely limited our ability to write new, profitable direct financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance both domestically and internationally. Accordingly, in the third quarter of 2008, we decided to discontinue, for the foreseeable future, writing any new financial guaranty business, including accepting new financial guaranty reinsurance, other than as may be necessary to commute, restructure, hedge or otherwise mitigate losses or reduce exposure in our existing portfolio. We initiated plans to reduce our financial guaranty operations, including a reduction of our workforce, commensurate with this decision. We also contributed the outstanding capital stock of Radian Asset Assurance to Radian Guaranty, strengthening Radian Guaranty’s statutory capital. We continue to maintain a large insured financial guaranty portfolio, including a portfolio of insured CDOs.

As a result of the downgrade of Radian Asset Assurance’s financial strength ratings by S&P in June 2008, four of our reinsurance customers recaptured all of their business ceded to us and we agreed to allow another reinsurance customer to take back a portion of its business (the “2008 FG Recaptures”). As a result of these transactions, our net assumed par outstanding, written premiums, earned premiums and net present value of expected future installment premiums were reduced in the aggregate by $7.3 billion, $51.0 million, $17.1 million and $10.6 million, respectively.

As a result of S&P’s downgrades of our financial guaranty insurance subsidiaries in June and August 2008, $75.6 billion of our net par outstanding as of December 31, 2008 remains subject to recapture or termination at the option of our reinsurance customers, our credit derivative counterparties or other insured parties.

All but one of our reinsurance customers has the right to take back or recapture business previously ceded to us under their reinsurance agreements with us, and in some cases, in lieu of recapture, the right to increase ceding commissions charged to us. As of December 31, 2008, up to $36.7 billion of our total net assumed par outstanding was subject to recapture. If all of this business was recaptured as of December 31, 2008, we estimate that we would have experienced a reduction in (1) written premiums of approximately $312.8 million, (2) earned premiums of approximately $52.2 million, and (3) the net present value of expected future installment premiums of $142.3 million. In addition, we would have experienced a reduction in incurred losses of up to $94.9 million if this business were recaptured.

The counterparty in two of our synthetic CDO transactions, with an aggregate net par outstanding of $293.3 million ($243.0 million of which is scheduled to terminate in June 2009), has the right to terminate these transactions with settlement on a mark-to-market basis, subject to a maximum payment amount as of December 31, 2008 of approximately $34.1 million in the aggregate. In addition, we also have $103.2 million in exposure to another synthetic CDO transaction which is scheduled to terminate in June 2009. This transaction may be terminated on a mark-to-market basis if S&P lowers Radian Asset Assurance’s financial strength rating below investment grade (BBB-).

As of December 31, 2008, the counterparties to 147 of financial guaranty’s transactions currently have the right to terminate these transactions without our having an obligation to settle the transaction on a mark-to-market basis. If all of these counterparties had terminated these transactions as of December 31, 2008,

 

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our net par outstanding would have been reduced by $38.6 billion, with a corresponding decrease in unearned premium reserves of $12.0 million (of which only $0.4 million would be required to be refunded to counterparties) and the present value of expected future installment premiums of $168.0 million. If all these transactions were terminated, we do not believe it would have a material impact on our financial condition or results of operations.

Until September 30, 2004, our financial guaranty business also included our ownership interest in Primus Guaranty, Ltd. (“Primus”), a Bermuda holding company and parent to Primus Financial Products, LLC, a provider of credit risk protection to derivatives dealers and credit portfolio managers on individual investment-grade entities. In September 2004, Primus issued shares of its common stock in an initial public offering. We sold a portion of our shares in Primus as part of this offering. In 2006, we sold all of our remaining interest in Primus, recording a pre-tax gain of $21.4 million.

Financial Guaranty

SIZE="2">On February 28, 2001, we acquired the financial guaranty insurance business and other businesses of Enhance Financial Services Group Inc. (“EFSG”), a New York-based holding company that owned, until the third quarter of 2008,
our principal financial guaranty subsidiaries, Radian Asset Assurance Inc. (“Radian Asset Assurance”) and Radian Asset Assurance Limited (“RAAL”). We also acquired an ownership interest in two credit-based asset businesses (see
Note 8 “Investment in Affiliates,” for further information) as part of the acquisition of EFSG. The excess of purchase price over fair value of net assets acquired of $56.7 million represents the future value of insurance profits, which is
being amortized over a period that approximates the future life of the insurance book of business. At December 31, 2008, $19.6 million of this amount remained on our consolidated balance sheets. During 2008, we amortized $6.8 million related to
this transaction. During both 2007 and 2006, we amortized $1.8 million related to this transaction.

 


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Our financial guaranty segment has provided credit-related insurance coverage through financial guaranty
insurance, CDS and certain other financial guaranty contracts to meet the needs of customers and counterparties in a wide variety of domestic and international markets. It has provided insurance on a direct and assumed basis related mainly to public
finance bonds and structured finance obligations. In 2005, we placed our trade credit reinsurance line of business into run-off.

In March
2008, we discontinued writing new insurance on synthetic collateralized debt obligations (“CDOs”) and reduced significantly our structured products operations. This action was based on the deterioration and uncertainties in the credit
markets in which we and other financial guarantors participate, which significantly reduced the volume of CDOs and other structured products available for our insurance. Subsequent to this action, in June 2008, S&P and Moody’s downgraded
the financial strength ratings of our financial guaranty insurance subsidiaries and in August 2008, S&P again downgraded the financial strength ratings on our financial guaranty insurance subsidiaries. See “Ratings” below. These
downgrades, combined with the difficult market conditions for financial guaranty insurance, severely limited our ability to write new, profitable direct financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance both domestically and internationally. Accordingly,
in the third quarter of 2008, we decided to discontinue, for the foreseeable future, writing any new financial guaranty business, including accepting new financial guaranty reinsurance, other than as may be necessary to commute, restructure, hedge
or otherwise mitigate losses or reduce exposure in our existing portfolio. We initiated plans to reduce our financial guaranty operations, including a reduction of our workforce, commensurate with this decision. We also contributed the outstanding
capital stock of Radian Asset Assurance to Radian Guaranty, strengthening Radian Guaranty’s statutory capital. We continue to maintain a large insured financial guaranty portfolio, including a portfolio of insured CDOs.

STYLE="margin-top:12px;margin-bottom:0px; text-indent:4%">As a result of the downgrade of Radian Asset Assurance’s financial strength ratings by S&P in June 2008, four of our reinsurance customers
recaptured all of their business ceded to us and we agreed to allow another reinsurance customer to take back a portion of its business (the “2008 FG Recaptures”). As a result of these transactions, our net assumed par outstanding, written
premiums, earned premiums and net present value of expected future installment premiums were reduced in the aggregate by $7.3 billion, $51.0 million, $17.1 million and $10.6 million, respectively.

STYLE="margin-top:12px;margin-bottom:0px; text-indent:4%">As a result of S&P’s downgrades of our financial guaranty insurance subsidiaries in June and August 2008, $75.6 billion of our net par
outstanding as of December 31, 2008 remains subject to recapture or termination at the option of our reinsurance customers, our credit derivative counterparties or other insured parties.

STYLE="margin-top:12px;margin-bottom:0px; text-indent:4%">All but one of our reinsurance customers has the right to take back or recapture business previously ceded to us under their reinsurance agreements with
us, and in some cases, in lieu of recapture, the right to increase ceding commissions charged to us. As of December 31, 2008, up to $36.7 billion of our total net assumed par outstanding was subject to recapture. If all of this business was
recaptured as of December 31, 2008, we estimate that we would have experienced a reduction in (1) written premiums of approximately $312.8 million, (2) earned premiums of approximately $52.2 million, and (3) the net present value
of expected future installment premiums of $142.3 million. In addition, we would have experienced a reduction in incurred losses of up to $94.9 million if this business were recaptured.

STYLE="margin-top:12px;margin-bottom:0px; text-indent:4%">The counterparty in two of our synthetic CDO transactions, with an aggregate net par outstanding of $293.3 million ($243.0 million of which is scheduled
to terminate in June 2009), has the right to terminate these transactions with settlement on a mark-to-market basis, subject to a maximum payment amount as of December 31, 2008 of approximately $34.1 million in the aggregate. In addition, we
also have $103.2 million in exposure to another synthetic CDO transaction which is scheduled to terminate in June 2009. This transaction may be terminated on a mark-to-market basis if S&P lowers Radian Asset Assurance’s financial strength
rating below investment grade (BBB-).

As of December 31, 2008, the counterparties to 147 of financial guaranty’s transactions
currently have the right to terminate these transactions without our having an obligation to settle the transaction on a mark-to-market basis. If all of these counterparties had terminated these transactions as of December 31, 2008,

 


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our net par outstanding would have been reduced by $38.6 billion, with a corresponding decrease in unearned premium reserves of $12.0 million (of which only
$0.4 million would be required to be refunded to counterparties) and the present value of expected future installment premiums of $168.0 million. If all these transactions were terminated, we do not believe it would have a material impact on our
financial condition or results of operations.

Until September 30, 2004, our financial guaranty business also included our ownership
interest in Primus Guaranty, Ltd. (“Primus”), a Bermuda holding company and parent to Primus Financial Products, LLC, a provider of credit risk protection to derivatives dealers and credit portfolio managers on individual investment-grade
entities. In September 2004, Primus issued shares of its common stock in an initial public offering. We sold a portion of our shares in Primus as part of this offering. In 2006, we sold all of our remaining interest in Primus, recording a pre-tax
gain of $21.4 million.

This excerpt taken from the RDN 10-Q filed Nov 10, 2008.

Financial Guaranty

The principal liquidity demands of our financial guaranty business include the payment of operating expenses, including those allocated from Radian Group, claim payments, taxes and dividends to Radian Guaranty. The principal sources of liquidity in our financial guaranty business are written premiums and net investment income. We believe that the investments and operating cash flows generated by each of our financial guaranty subsidiaries will provide these subsidiaries with the funds necessary to satisfy their claim payments and operating expenses during the remainder of 2008 and throughout 2009. If necessary, we believe that we have the ability to fund any operating cash flow shortfall from sales of securities in our investment portfolio maintained at our operating companies and from maturing investments. In the event that we are unable to fund excess claim payments and operating expenses through the sale of these investments and from maturing investments, we may be required to incur unanticipated capital losses or delays in connection with the sale of less liquid securities held by our financial guaranty business.

This excerpt taken from the RDN 10-Q filed Aug 11, 2008.

Financial Guaranty

 

   

New Business Production.    A difficult business production environment for financial guaranty continued to exist in the first half of 2008. These conditions included the widening of credit spreads, a lack of price transparency and illiquidity in some of the structured products obligations that we insure, losses by financial guarantors on RMBS, CDOs of ABS and other credit positions, uncertainty as to the extent of future losses among all financial guarantors and perceived instability in the franchise values and ratings of many of the financial guarantors, including us. In addition, ratings actions on financial guaranty industry participants, including the June 2008 ratings downgrades of our financial guaranty subsidiaries, and uncertainty regarding future actions by rating agencies have further limited the financial guaranty business production environment. These conditions have materially diminished the financial benefit that our credit protection provides to issuers in the current market of both public and structured finance transactions and to our primary insurer customers and have reduced the perceived benefit of our insurance to holders of insured debt. Many transactions that would normally have been marketed with some form of financial guaranty insurance are either not going to market or are being sold without the benefit of financial guaranty insurance. As a result, there has been a significant reduction in the volume of transactions for which financial guaranty insurance is a viable option, which makes it more difficult for us and other financial guarantors to write new business. These conditions also resulted in fewer opportunities to obtain reinsurance transactions from our primary insurance customers. Consequently, new business production across all of our financial guaranty product lines has been significantly reduced in 2008 and is likely to remain minimal for the foreseeable future, if not permanently.

 

   

Credit Performance.    The overall credit performance of our financial guaranty portfolio has remained relatively stable during the first half of 2008. In the first quarter of 2008, financial guaranty paid claims included $100 million related to our entire exposure on the one direct market value extendable note program in our financial guaranty portfolio. See “Results of Operations—Financial Guaranty—Quarter and Six Months Ended June 30, 2008 Compared to Quarter and Six Months Ended June 30, 2007” below for a discussion of our exposure to RMBS and commercial mortgage-backed securities (“CMBS”).

This excerpt taken from the RDN 10-Q filed May 12, 2008.

Financial Guaranty

 

   

Business Environment.    The conditions that created a difficult and challenging business production environment for financial guaranty in the second half of 2007 continued to exist in the first quarter of 2008. These conditions include continued widening credit spreads, a lack of price transparency and illiquidity in some of the structured products obligations that we insure, losses by financial guarantors, including us, on RMBS, CDOs of ABS and other credit positions, uncertainty as to the extent of future losses among all financial guarantors, including us, and perceived instability in the franchise values and ratings of many of the financial guarantors, including us. These conditions have resulted in a material reduction to the financial benefit that our credit protection provides to issuers in the current market of both public and structured finance transactions that we insure and a reduced perceived benefit to holders of insured debt from the financial guaranty insurance we provide. Many transactions that would normally have been marketed with some form of financial guaranty insurance protection continue to either not go to market or be sold without the benefit of financial guaranty insurance. As a result, there is significant reduction in the volume of transactions for which financial guaranty insurance is a viable option, which makes it more difficult for us to write new business in the current credit environment, and reduces the volume of transactions written by companies that cede business to us. Consequently, new

 

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business production, especially in our structured products business remains challenging and volumes remain significantly reduced. If current market conditions continue or worsen, we will continue to face a very difficult and challenging business environment.

 

   

Credit Performance.    The overall credit performance of our financial guaranty portfolio has remained stable during the first quarter of 2008. In the first quarter of 2008, financial guaranty paid claims included $100 million related to our entire exposure on the one direct market value extendable note program in our financial guaranty portfolio, for which we had been fully reserved. See “Results of Operations—Financial Guaranty—Quarter Ended March 31, 2008 Compared to Quarter Ended March 31, 2007” below for a discussion of our exposure to RMBS and commercial mortgage-backed securities (“CMBS”).

Financial Services

Net income for Sherman was down by approximately 21% for the first quarter of 2008 compared to the first quarter of 2007. Higher revenues, particularly from the credit card origination business were more than offset by a higher loan loss provision and higher operating expenses. In addition, the decrease in our ownership percentage from a year ago as a result of the sale of a portion of our interest in Sherman contributed in reducing our equity in earnings from Sherman to $13.9 million for the first quarter of 2008, compared to $33.2 million for the first quarter of 2007.

Our investment in C-BASS, including our $50 million credit facility with C-BASS, has been fully written off as of December 31, 2007.

These excerpts taken from the RDN 10-K filed Mar 14, 2008.

Financial Guaranty

On February 28, 2001, we acquired the financial guaranty insurance and other businesses of Enhance Financial Services Group Inc. (“EFSG”), a New York-based insurance holding company that mainly insures and reinsures credit-based risks. We acquired an ownership interest in two credit-based asset businesses (see Note 4) as part of the acquisition of EFSG. The excess of purchase price over fair value of net assets acquired of $56.7 million represents the future value of insurance profits, which is being amortized over a period that approximates the future life of the insurance book of business. At December 31, 2007, $26.5 million of this amount remained on our consolidated balance sheets. During both 2007 and 2006, we amortized $1.8 million related to this transaction.

 

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Our financial guaranty segment provides credit-related insurance coverage through credit default swaps and certain other financial guaranty contracts to meet the needs of customers and counterparties in a wide variety of domestic and international markets on a direct and assumed basis related to public finance bonds and structured finance obligations. In 2005, we placed our trade credit reinsurance line of business into run-off.

Until September 30, 2004, our financial guaranty business also included our ownership interest in Primus Guaranty, Ltd. (“Primus”), a Bermuda holding company and parent to Primus Financial Products, LLC, a provider of credit risk protection to derivatives dealers and credit portfolio managers on individual investment-grade entities. In September 2004, Primus issued shares of its common stock in an initial public offering. We sold a portion of our shares in Primus as part of this offering. In 2005 and during the first quarter of 2006, we sold all of our remaining interest in Primus, recording a pre-tax gain of $2.8 million in 2005 and a pre-tax gain of $21.4 million in 2006.

Financial Guaranty

On
February 28, 2001, we acquired the financial guaranty insurance and other businesses of Enhance Financial Services Group Inc. (“EFSG”), a New York-based insurance holding company that mainly insures and reinsures credit-based risks.
We acquired an ownership interest in two credit-based asset businesses (see Note 4) as part of the acquisition of EFSG. The excess of purchase price over fair value of net assets acquired of $56.7 million represents the future value of insurance
profits, which is being amortized over a period that approximates the future life of the insurance book of business. At December 31, 2007, $26.5 million of this amount remained on our consolidated balance sheets. During both 2007 and 2006, we
amortized $1.8 million related to this transaction.

 


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Our financial guaranty segment provides credit-related insurance coverage through credit default swaps
and certain other financial guaranty contracts to meet the needs of customers and counterparties in a wide variety of domestic and international markets on a direct and assumed basis related to public finance bonds and structured finance
obligations. In 2005, we placed our trade credit reinsurance line of business into run-off.

Until September 30, 2004, our financial
guaranty business also included our ownership interest in Primus Guaranty, Ltd. (“Primus”), a Bermuda holding company and parent to Primus Financial Products, LLC, a provider of credit risk protection to derivatives dealers and credit
portfolio managers on individual investment-grade entities. In September 2004, Primus issued shares of its common stock in an initial public offering. We sold a portion of our shares in Primus as part of this offering. In 2005 and during the first
quarter of 2006, we sold all of our remaining interest in Primus, recording a pre-tax gain of $2.8 million in 2005 and a pre-tax gain of $21.4 million in 2006.

FACE="Times New Roman" SIZE="2">Financial Services

Our financial services segment includes the credit-based businesses conducted
through our affiliates, Credit-Based Asset Servicing and Securitization LLC (“C-BASS”) and Sherman Financial Group LLC (“Sherman”). We currently hold a 46% equity interest in C-BASS and a 21.8% equity interest in Sherman. See
Note 4 below.

This excerpt taken from the RDN 10-Q filed Nov 21, 2007.

Financial Guaranty

The third quarter presented a difficult business production environment for the financial guaranty industry and Radian Asset Assurance in particular. In our direct public finance and structured products businesses, widened spreads on credit default swaps in the overall financial guaranty market, including on Radian Group, made it more difficult to write new business. This trend worsened towards the end of the third quarter. Despite this difficult business environment, there have been limited, selective opportunities in these markets. In addition, despite the difficult operating environment, we experienced strong growth in both facultative and treaty reinsurance business during the third quarter. Due to the widening of credit spreads during the quarter, we incurred a mark-to-market loss in our financial guaranty business of approximately $256 million. We believe this mark is almost entirely spread driven and represents no material credit impairment. As a result, this mark should reverse over time as the transactions mature.

The overall credit performance of our financial guaranty portfolio remained at an adequate level during the third quarter. However, we were required to establish a $50 million allocated non-specific reserve for the one direct market-value transaction remaining in our financial guaranty portfolio. This credit is discussed in detail below under “Results of Operations—Financial Guaranty—Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007 Compared to Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006—Provision for Losses.” In addition, we increased our allocated non-specific reserve for six non-CDO subprime Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (“RMBS”) transactions, representing $137.9 million in aggregate par outstanding, by an aggregate $15.5 million due to performance deterioration of these transactions. We are continuing to monitor our non-CDO RMBS exposure, which represents 0.9% or approximately $1.0 billion of our total financial guaranty net par outstanding at September 30, 2007 (of this exposure 0.5% or approximately $581.5 million was subprime RMBS), as well as our CDO RMBS exposure, in light of the market disruptions that have continued in the third quarter.

This excerpt taken from the RDN 10-Q filed Aug 9, 2007.

Financial Guaranty

Our financial guaranty segment mainly insures and reinsures credit-based risks. Financial guaranty insurance provides an unconditional and irrevocable guaranty to the holder of a financial obligation of full and timely payment of principal and interest when due.

 

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Our financial guaranty segment offers the following products:

 

   

insurance of public finance obligations, including tax-exempt and taxable indebtedness of states, counties, cities, special service districts, other political subdivisions and tribal finance and for enterprises such as airports, public and private higher education and health care facilities and private finance initiative assets in sectors such as schools, healthcare and infrastructure projects. The issuers of public finance obligations we insure are typically rated investment-grade (BBB-/Baa3 or higher) at the time we issue our insurance policy, without the benefit of our insurance;

 

   

insurance of structured finance obligations, including collateralized debt obligations (“CDOs”) and asset-backed securities, consisting of funded and non-funded (“synthetic”) executions that are payable from or tied to the performance of a specific pool of assets. Examples of the pools of assets that underlie structured finance obligations include residential and commercial mortgages, a variety of consumer loans, corporate loans and bonds, equipment receivables and real and personal property leases. The structured finance obligations we insure are generally rated investment-grade at the time we issue our insurance policy, without the benefit of our insurance;

 

   

financial solutions products (which we group as part of our structured finance business), including guaranties of securities exchange clearing houses, excess-Securities Investor Protection Corporation insurance for brokerage firms and excess-Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation insurance for banks; and

 

   

reinsurance of domestic and international public finance obligations, including those issued by sovereign and sub-sovereign entities, as well as reinsurance of structured finance, financial solutions and trade credit reinsurance obligations (currently in run-off).

We provide these products and services mainly through Radian Asset Assurance Inc., our principal financial guaranty subsidiary (“Radian Asset Assurance”) and through Radian Asset Assurance Limited (“RAAL”), an insurance subsidiary of Radian Asset Assurance authorized to conduct financial guaranty business in the United Kingdom. Through RAAL, we have additional opportunities to write financial guaranty insurance in the United Kingdom and, subject to compliance with the European passporting rules, other European Union jurisdictions. In particular, we expect that RAAL will continue to build its structured products business in the United Kingdom and throughout the European Union. RAAL accounted for $3.2 million and $6.8 million of direct premiums written in the second quarter and first six months of 2007 (or 11.9% and 11.7% of financial guaranty’s direct premiums written in the second quarter and first six months of 2007), which is a $1.1 million and $2.7 million increase, respectively, from the $2.1 million and $4.1 million of direct premiums written in the corresponding periods of 2006 (or 4.5% and 5.3% of financial guaranty’s direct premiums written in the second quarter and first six months of 2006).

In October 2005, we announced that we would be exiting the trade credit reinsurance line of business. Accordingly, this line of business has been placed into run-off and we have ceased initiating new trade credit reinsurance contracts. For the first six months of 2007, there were no material trade credit reinsurance premiums written, compared to $4.5 million or 3.2% of financial guaranty’s net premiums written in the first six months of 2006.

On May 3, 2007, Fitch reported the results of its “Matrix” capital model for the financial guaranty industry, as of September 30, 2006. Fitch launched the model in January 2007 and applied it retroactively to our existing financial guaranty business. Prior to the release of the “Matrix” capital model, we wrote business in accordance with the relevant Fitch capital adequacy measures in effect at the time such business was written. Along with a general decline in the excess capital position for a majority of financial guarantors from March 31, 2006 to September 30, 2006, Fitch noted that Radian Asset Assurance maintained capital well below Fitch’s threshold level for an AA-rated financial guarantor. Fitch attributed this shortfall mainly to the growth in Radian Asset Assurance’s portfolio of mezzanine-layered, pooled CDOs and collateralized debt securities written at very high

 

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attachment points, well above the minimum AAA levels. We have provided Fitch with a capital enhancement plan to address this shortfall; however, we cannot be certain that we will be able to implement the capital enhancement plan fully or achieve the minimum thresholds for a AA-rated financial guarantor under the new capital model. See also “—Recent Ratings Actions” below.

Upon completion of our merger with MGIC Investment Corporation (“MGIC”) as discussed below, certain of our financial guaranty reinsurance customers will have the right to recapture financial guaranty reinsurance business previously assumed by us. Based on the balances at June 30, 2007, these customers will be able to recapture an aggregate of up to $10.7 billion par in force and up to approximately $91.0 million of unearned premium reserves (on a statutory accounting basis). If all this reinsurance business were recaptured, we estimate that we would have to disburse $65.5 million in cash to settle the recaptures. We cannot be certain whether any of these customers will recapture all or any portion of this business or the exact impact of the actual recapture, if any, if the merger is not completed.

"Financial Guaranty" elsewhere:

PMI Group (PMI)
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