QUOTE AND NEWS
Charts and Coffee Blog  Nov 13  Comment 
NLST is looks like a good short opportunity. This post is somewhat academic for me because there currently are not shares available to short. Here is how I have mapped out the trade. RSI is almost at 94. This stock is way way overbought. However,...
Business Wire  Nov 13  Comment 
Revlon, Inc. (NYSE: REV) today announced that management will present publicly available information regarding the Company’s financial results and strategy at the 2009 Citi Credit Conference in New York City on Wednesday, November 18, 2009 at
Market Intelligence Center  Nov 12  Comment 
Revlon (NYSE: REV) hit a new 52-Week high of $15.93 so far today. Currently the stock is up $1.13 (7.79%) to $15.64 on 712,105 shares traded. Today's high is up $13.34 from a 52-Week Low of $2.30. Revlon stock has been showing support around...
Wall Street Journal  Nov 10  Comment 
Companies are on pace to sell as much as $20 billion in bonds this week, as they stock up on relatively cheap cash ahead of the holiday slowdown and in anticipation of the government winding down its stimulus programs.
Charts and Coffee Blog  Nov 10  Comment 
I am watching this intraday complex head and shoulders pattern. I’m keeping a pretty simple strategy. I’m going to stay with shorts such as REV until I see $TRIN dipping below 1 and/or this pattern invalidated. For now, $TRIN is hanging in...
TheStreet.com  Nov 9  Comment 
Shares of Revlon reach a 52-week high after it is upgraded and announces $330 million senior notes offering.
Business Wire  Nov 9  Comment 
Revlon, Inc. (NYSE: REV) announced today that its wholly-owned operating subsidiary, Revlon Consumer Products Corporation ("RCPC"), intends to offer $330 million aggregate principal amount of senior secured notes due 2015 (the "notes"), subject to
newratings.com  Nov 9  Comment 
NEW YORK, November 9 (newratings.com) - Analysts at BMO Capital Markets upgrade Revlon (ticker: REV) from "market perform" to "outperform." The target price is set to $21. [more]
Business Wire  Nov 6  Comment 
Revlon, Inc. (NYSE: REV) today announced that its wholly-owned operating subsidiary, Revlon Consumer Products Corporation ("RCPC"), has received all of the required lender consents to amend its bank term loan credit agreement and bank revolver credit
Motley Fool  Nov 5  Comment 
No amount of makeup can conceal CAPS' sallow opinion.
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TOP CONTRIBUTORS
REV AT A GLANCE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


Revlon (NYSE:REV) makes color cosmetics, fragrances, and anti-perspirants. The company sells its products to consumers through drug stores and mass market retailers such as Wal-Mart Stores (WMT). Sales to Wal-Mart accounted for 24% of Revlon's total revenues in 2007.[1] .

Revlon's color cosmetics market share has been dropping since 1998,[2] and the company has had only a single profitable quarter in the last 8 years. [3] The company's profitability began to suffer in the late 90s when overall industry growth in color cosmetics sales to mass retailers began to decline and increasing competition and drugstore consolidation resulted in reduced shelf space for Revlon's products. [4] Since then, Revlon has struggled to keep up with major competitors as its slowing sales and large debt burden have constricted its ability to spend on either R&D or an effective turnaround strategy. Revlon spent $24.4M on R&D in 2007, compared to $666M for L'oreal (LRLCY) in 2007.[5] Revlon had revenues of $1.4B and long term debt of $1.4B in 2007. [6]

Business Overview

Revlon Market Share
Revlon Market Share[7]

Primary Brands

  • Revlon: The Revlon brand is used in the cosmetics, beauty tools, and hair categories. The brand's market share in color cosmetics dropped form 14% to 13% in 2007. The brand's market share in beauty tools also dropped from 26.1% to 23.6% in 2007.[8]
  • Almay: The Almay brand is used in the cosmetics and anti-perspirant categories. The brand's market share in color cosmetics dropped from 6.2% to 6% in 2007.[9]


Other Brands

  • Bozzano: hair
  • Charlie: fragrance
  • Jean Nate: fragrance
  • Mitchum: anti-perspirants
  • Gatineau: skincare
  • Ultima II: skincare
Revlon Revenue and Net Income
Revlon Revenue and Net Income[10]
Revlon Revenue by Geography
Revlon Revenue by Geography[11]


Trends and Forces

L'Oreal Dwarfs Revlon's R&D Spending

Revlon competes with several larger competitors that are able to invest much larger amounts in research and development. Over the last decade, Revelon's history of losses have left it with insufficient cash flow to invest sufficiently in R&D. In 2007, Revlon had R&D spending of $24.4M (1.7% of revenue) while L'oreal spent $666M (3.7% of revenue).

Revlon is Dependent Upon Wal-Mart for a Large Portion of Sales

Revlon's principal customers include large mass volume retailers and chain drug stores, including retailers like Wal-Mart Stores (WMT), Target (TGT), Sears Holdings (SHLD), Walgreen Company (WAG), Rite Aid (RAD), CVS (CVS), and Longs Drug Stores (LDG) in the U.S., Shoppers DrugMart in Canada, A.S. Watson & Co. retail chains in Asia Pacific and Europe, and Boots in the United Kingdom. In 2007, Wal-Mart accounted for approximately 24% of Revlon’s worldwide sales. [12] In addition, WalMart's mass purchases give it significant negotiating power with regards to shelf placement, shelf space, and purchase price.

Slow Growth in Mass Merchant Color Cosmetics Sales

Revlon gets a lot of their business from mass retailers - WalMart made up 24% of 2007 revenues. Compounded annual growth of mass merchant color cosmetic sales in the US was 3.1% from 2000 to 2005. Between 2002 and 2004 there was no growth at all in this market. The color cosmetics industry as a whole was slow between 2001 and 2006, but according to Euromonitor, sales in India, China, and Latin America are expected to grow at high rates between 2006 and 2011.[13]

Interest Rate Hikes from the Credit Crisis Make Funding Its Debt Difficult

About 50% of Revlon's debt is tied to floating interest rates.[15] If interest rates increase, Revlon will face problems on two

  • Revlon has a substantial amount of outstanding indebtedness. As of December 31, 2007, the Company’s total indebtedness was $1,4B.[16] Revlon has a history of net losses limiting the amount of cashflow available to pay its debt. In 2007, Revlon paid $136.3 M to service its debt. This was larger than the operating income, which was $121.0 M.[17]

Competition

Revlon's primary competitors are Procter & Gamble Company (PG), L'oreal (LRLCY), Avon Products (AVP), and Estee Lauder Companies (EL). Revlon is smaller than both L'oreal and PG in terms of revenues and resources. However, Revlon has a more focused product offering than these companies and when one considers only color cosmetics sales they are much more comparable. Revlon was the second largest color cosmetics company in the US in 2006. Competitors Estee Lauder and Avon get the majority of their revenue outside the US.

Company Revenue (mm) Operating Income (mm) Operating Margin R&D Spending (mm) Major Brands/Products
Revlon (REV) [18] $1,400 $121 10.14% $24.4 Revlon, Almay, Charlie, Bozzano, Ultima II
Procter & Gamble[19] $76,476 $15,450 20.20% $2,075 Pantene, Crest, Tide, Downy, Bounty, Folgers, Gillette
L'Oreal[20] €17,063 €2,827 15.5% €560 Garnier Fructis, L'Oreal Paris, Maybelline


Color Cosmetics / Makeup Market Share
Color Cosmetics / Makeup Market Share[21]

References

  1. REV 2007 10-K pg.10
  2. Credit Suisse Initiating Coverage, Perelman Put pg.13
  3. Wikipedia:Revlon
  4. Funding Universe, Revlon
  5. Wrinkles Under the Surface at Revlon
  6. REV 2007 10-K, Item 15, pg. F-4
  7. REV 2007 10-K pg.29
  8. REV 2007 10-K pg.29
  9. REV 2007 10-K pg.29
  10. REV Income Statement
  11. REV 2007 10-K pg.31
  12. REV 2007 10-K, Item 2, pg. 19
  13. Colour cosmetics firms seek out latest trends
  14. Credit Suisse Estimate, July 18, 2006, pg. 15
  15. Credit Suisse Initiating Coverage, Perelman Put pg.7
  16. REV 2007 10-K, Item 15, pg. F-4
  17. REV 2007 10-K, Item 15, pg. F-5
  18. REV 2007 10-K, Item 15, pg. F-5
  19. PG 2007 10-K, pg. 49
  20. LRLCY 2007 10-K, pg. 23
  21. Credit Suisee Estimate, July 18, 2006, pg. 67
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