QUOTE AND NEWS
Forbes  May 4  Comment 
Looking at the universe of stocks we cover at Dividend Channel, on 5/6/16, Sanderson Farms Inc (NASD: SAFM), Constellation Brands Inc (NYSE: STZ), and Extended Stay America Inc (NYSE: STAY) will all trade ex-dividend for their respective upcoming...
Motley Fool  Mar 15  Comment 
A somewhat sluggish day for the market left these stocks among the big decliners. Find out why.
Benzinga  Mar 15  Comment 
Goldman Sachs’ Adam Samuelson downgraded the rating on Sanderson Farms, Inc. (NASDAQ: SAFM) from Neutral to Sell, while maintaining the price target at $75. Downside Risk Samuelson believes that there could be 17 percent downside to the...




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image:Sanderson.jpg Sanderson Farms is the fourth largest producer of chicken in the United States. In fiscal 2007, the company dressed over two billion pounds of chicken, posting net sales of $1.5 billion and net income of $80 million.[1]

Approximately 88% of Sanderson Farms's income come from value-added packaged chicken.[2] The company, whose slogan is "100% Chicken. Naturally.", focuses on sales of raw chicken free of additives, such as salt or water, that other competitors inject into fresh chicken.[3] Although the company sells predominantly raw meat, it adds value by removing the giblets, weighing, packaging and labeling products to specific customer requirements. These products are sold at higher margins, even in times of rising commodity prices - whereas fresh meat is sold to butchers, who then mark up the product to earn a profit. Processing the meat itself allows the company to earn maximum profit from each sale and to pass a higher percentage of input costs onto consumers.

Sanderson Farm's profitability is highly dependent on feed costs, as they make up approximately 36.8% of the total cost of sales.[4] Significant increases in the costs of soybeans and corn, the main components of chicken feed, have had an adverse effect on profit margins.[5] Demand for corn, spurred by ethanol production, increased corn prices nearly 60% in 2007 and early 2008.[6] Increased commodities prices depress margins as Sanderson Farms is unable to pass the entire increase in feed prices through to consumers without losing business.

Company Overview

Sanderson Farms operates in three primary segments: production, processing, and foods.

Production

Sanderson Farms's is a vertically integrated poultry manufacturer. Its production segment encompasses all steps in chicken production, containing operations in hatching egg production, hatching, and feed manufacturing. After hatching, chicks are transported to one of more than 500 family farms with which Sanderson Farms has contracted to raise them to marketable age.[7] The production segment posts no revenue from sales, but is rather only an intermediate step in Sanderson Farms's total meat production process.

Processing

Sanderson Farms processes chicken into three main product lines. The first line, frozen whole chickens, comprises 10.3% of total sales.[8] The second line, chill packs, comprises approximately 34.4% of total sales. This line is intended for retail sale and consists of fresh chicken parts that have been deep chilled and packaged in individual trays under the Sanderson Farms label.[9] The third line, fresh bulk packs, comprises 42.5% of total sales. This line is intended for food service consumers and consists of chicken pieces processed to customers' specifications. A fourth product line, non-value added unprocessed chicken, comprises less than 1% of total sales. Approximately $165 million of 2007 sales of these four lines is to countries outside of the US.[10]

Foods

Sanderson Farms's foods segment comprises 12.4% of total sales. [11] The food segment produces over 100 different prepared food items to regional and national food service customers. Products include further processed chicken products and frozen entrees, such as chicken and dumplings, lasagna, seafood gumbo, shrimp creole and other specialty products.[12] As items produced in the foods segment are the most processed, they offer the highest profit margins of all of Sanderson's Farms products.

Financials

As of fiscal 2007, Sanderson Farms had $2.5 million cash on hand on a $600 million balance sheet. Additionally, the company has approximately $100 million in long term debt.[13] Nearly $60 million of this debt matures in 2012.[14] Although net income was positive 2007, cash flows remained negative.[15] The chart to the left illustrates revenue and operating income from 2003 to 2007. Although commodities prices increased dramatically between 2006 and 2007, both revenue and operating income rose in response to Sanderson Farms's increased volume of chicken production and sales. image: SAFM Revenue and Operating Income.jpg The majority of Sanderson Farms's revenue is from the sale of chill packs and raw bulk packs. Prepared foods, however, offer the largest profit margin so the company hopes to shift a greater portion of revenues to the segment. image: SAFM Segments.jpg

Key Trends, Risks, and Forces

Rising Feedstuff Prices Cut Sanderson Farms's Margins

Sanderson Farms is heavily dependent on favorable pricing of feedstuff, such as corn prices and soybeans, as feed makes up to 36.8% of the cost of chicken production.[16] Corn prices have risen sharply since the beginning of 2007, as ethanol producers have increased their demand for the commodity (rising oil prices, in turn, have increased demand for ethanol). Corn,also the main input for many other products such as high fructose corn syrup, has been facing increasing worldwide demand - but nonetheless the USDA expects U.S. farmers to plant 8% less corn in 2008, lowering supply and increasing prices. [17] Sanderson Farms engages in various hedging activities to "lock in" to current prices and protect itself from price increases. It does this by buying forward grain contracts at current prices. This means the company is protected in the case of raising prices, but is also liable in the case of falling prices because it will continue to pay the contracted rate. Any long-term, significant increase in feedstuff prices has the potential to seriously depress margins and reduce profitability.

Sanderson Farms's Transition towards Prepared Meats Will Increase Margins

Sanderson Farms is looking to increase revenue from prepared foods (currently just over 12% of revenues).[18] These products carry a higher margin than fresh chicken, because they reduce customer handling, cutting labor, and capital costs. Rising commodity prices factor into the price that customers must pay for their chicken, but these input costs cannot be passed on in their entirety. By eliminating an extra step in the preparation process, Smithfield can pass a higher percentage of production costs onto the food service customer as well.

Poultry Prices Fluctuate Often

Though chicken prices are mostly responsive to input feed prices, they are also affected by international competition, high domestic production, seasonal fluctuations, and fear of avian bird flu. Though Sanderson Farms posts international sales of only $165 million, international competition can drive chicken prices up or down.[19] Strong export markets have been the main drivers of the poultry industry's growth, so a global surplus has an adverse effect on domestic producers.[20] Global surpluses can be exacerbated by domestic surpluses, the shortest of which can cause long lasting price swings.[21] Next, seasonal hatchings create a variable supply of chickens which in turn cause prices to fluctuate. Finally, fears of avian flu decrease chicken demand, and therefore chicken prices, as consumers react to outbreaks of the disease and substitute other protein sources, such as pork or beef, for chicken.[22]

Competition

Sanderson Farms is currently the fourth largest chicken processer in the United States, with approximately 5% of US market share, according to company estimates.[23] In 2006, the last year for which data was available, approximately 35 billion pounds of chicken was produced in the US.[24] Of this, 2 billion pounds were produced by Sanderson Farms.[25] Sanderson Farms faces competitive pressure from a number of different sources:

Pilgrim's Pride (PPC) Pilgrim's Pride has the largest share in the US chicken market. Pilgrim's pride produced 7.7 billion pounds of dressed chicken in 2007. Pilgrim's Pride, which posted $7.6 billion in sales in 2007, is more heavily weighted to prepared foods and export sales.[26]

Tyson Foods Tyson Foods has the second largest share in the US chicken market. Unlike Sanderson Farms, Tyson Foods produces beef and pork in addition to chicken. Tyson Foods's chicken segment, which posted $8.1 billion in sales in 2007, is more heavily weighted towards value added branded products.[27]

Perdue Farms Perdue Farms is a privately held poultry company with an 8% share in the US poultry market. Perdue Farms sells branded retail poultry primarily to customers in the eastern and southeastern United States.[28] Perdue Farms largest customers are national restaurant chains, the U.S. military, and the national and regional distributors.

Below is a graph detailing total US market share among chicken producers. Pilgrim's Pride and Tyson Foods (TSN) dominate the market, with over 45% combined market share. Image: PPC Market Share.jpg[29]

The following graph details relevant operating metrics for the major US protein companies: The following graph

Company Revenue 2006 ($M) Operating Income 2006 ($M) Revenue 2005 ($M) Operating Income 2005 ($M) Revenue 2004 ($M) Operating Income 2004 ($M) Operating Margin 5-year Average (%) Global Presence (# Countries Exported to) International Sales as % of Revenue 2006 (%)
Sanderson Farms (SAFM) 1,048 (-27) 1,053 113 1,095 150 7.84% 10+ 6.6%
Pilgrim's Pride (PPC) 5,200 3 5,700 436 5,400 265 3.72% 10+ 8.3%
Smithfield Foods (SFD) 11,400 279 11,200 454 9,200 254 2.47% 36+ 6-9%
Tyson Foods (TSN) 25,600 (-77) 26,000 745 26,400 925 2.63% 80+ 8.2%
Hormel Foods (HRL) 5,700 451 5,400 426 4,800 380 7.84% 40+ <4%



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