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Southwestern Energy Company is a fully integrated energy company focused on exploring, producing, and distributing natural gas in the southwestern region of the United States. Although the company does not have a vast geographical presence, the exploration division has had a historically large risk spectrum. Recently, however, management has been moving towards a more return oriented and cost effective strategy. This has enabled Southwestern to build up attractive acreage positions in the low-risk, mid-continent United States and grow production by more than 10% per year over the most recent four years.

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[edit] Business Segments

The primary focus of the company is the exploration and production (E&P) of natural gas and oil through three wholly owned subsidiaries; SEECO, SEPCO, and Diamond "M" production company.[1] Over the past three years, the E&P division's management has proved adept at replacing depleted reserves with a reserve replacement ratio in excess of 300%. [2] In order to more effectively market and distribute the products, the other business segments of Southwestern, Midstream Services and Natural Gas Distribution, engage in the marketing efforts and retail distribution to over 151,000 Arkansas customers.

[edit] Financial and Operating Metrics

As mentioned above, the company has been shifting their emphasis towards lower risk drilling projects. Inherently, this implies a deemphasis on the more risky deepwater and "new venture" plays. Below is a break down, by gross acreage, of where the company held leases at the end of 2006. [3] Notice that under 10% of the properties are categorized as high risk.

Below are some relevant operating metrics for Southwestern Energy Company over the past three years.

As a company engaged in vertical integration, Southwestern Energy reports revenues for each of their segments. Below is the divisional breakdown for revenue and operating income. [4] Please note, not included are negative intersegment revenues (such as marketing expenses), which are ultimately discounted to avoid double counting. Also, note the relatively large difference in margins between divisions.

image: SWN_Rev.PNG image: Swn_operating.PNG

[edit] Trends & Drivers

[edit] Rising Oil and Gas prices

The company is highly dependent on favorable market prices for gas, which tend to fluctuate significantly over time.[5] Recently, rapidly increasing demand for energy coupled with constrained supply has led to high oil and gas prices, lifting the stock prices of oil & gas companies across the board. Countries like China, for instance, have (no pun intended) fueled much of this energy demand. The company's bottom line and margins generally benefit from increases in the prices of these commodities as operating expenses remain more or less fixed. Increases in the prices of oil and gas are not, however, without negative side effects. Because drilling for oil and gas becomes much more profitable when prices are on the rise, the company faces stiffer competition for the acquisition of land or mineral rights to oil- and gas-rich properties. These properties' market values rise in virtually direct proportion to the rise in the value of the commodities under them, which cuts into the company's possible return on investment. A similar phenomenon can occur in buying or leasing drilling equipment, as prices are driven by eager competitors bidding them up in order to drill for the commodities. Furthermore, the company usually hedges the prices at which it can sell oil & gas. By use of derivatives, the company attempts to lock in a price or a range of prices, which limits downside but also presents an opportunity cost if oil prices rise significantly over the lives of contracts.[6]

    • Focus on gas. Around 95% of the company's yearly production and proved reserves are natural gas (rather than oil), the price of which has not experienced the same recent rapid increases as oil. Thus, the company hasn't experienced the same acceleration of revenue and operating profit as more oil-focused peers.[7]

[edit] Hybrid and Alternative Energy Technology

Rising oil prices have led both consumers and companies to seek out alternative sources of energy and to invest in renewable energy such as nuclear, solar, wind, biofuels, and ethanol technologies. As global consumer demand shifts toward renewable energy sources and incentives to develop long-term solutions to the world's dependence on oil and gas become stronger due to recent environmental concerns over climate change, consumer consciousness and the entrepreneurial profit motive may adversely affect the oil and gas industry. With the advent of hybrid and fuel cell vehicles and the cost of gasoline becoming quite high, consumers have become less inclined to purchase gas guzzling SUVs as opposed to more fuel-efficient cars. As a result, the company stands to face long-term materially adverse effects if the oil and gas industry encounters a decrease in demand.

  • Arkansas as Main Growth Driver In 2006, the company more than doubled capital spending. Again, in 2007, the company is raising their budget nearly 45%. Obviously, the company has invested substantial amounts of capital in the their Fayetteville Shale natural gas play. Management has acknowledged that this area is their focus as they own 892,000 net acres with significant potential for reserve growth.[8] Furthermore, management is aiming to further maximize returns by hiring DDI, an independent drilling company, to perform specialized drilling techniques.[9]

[edit] Competition

As sellers of commodity products, oil and gas companies operate in a highly competitive environment in which all firms are price-takers because they must sell their products at given market prices. Therefore, firms generally find competetive advantages through efficient, intelligent, and sometimes, innovative use of the drillbit. Furthermore, in order to remain competitive, it is also important for firms to earn high returns on investment through intelligent property acquisition and operational prowess. Southwestern Energy Company's business model differs from many of its competitors because they engage in both the upstream and downstream value chain. A quick look at the table below will show that SWN also has the lowest operating margin amongst some of its more upstream and oil focused competitors.

Below is a table comparing several metrics from some of the main players in the independent oil & gas industry.[10]

Proved Reserves Square Footage
Revenue TTM ($M)Operating MarginProduction (MMcfe/Day)[11]Oil (MMBbls)Natural Gas (Bcf)LNG (MMBbls)Gross developed acreage (in thou)Gross undeveloped acreageGross Total
FST$93433.2%31080.377811276684169182
DNR$811.0439.9%220126288224471695
EOG$376048.5%156160953777827912056
KWK$514.2142.8%1676.312414893616102546
NBL$289040.2%4082963231193410,29512229
NFX$181027.3%6641141586159360067599
PXD$171018.9%1617292741618741659218466
PXP$102026.9%1009333111149587.5736.5
RRC$868.3538.0%27653.7143653.7145817563214
SM$86238.4%25474.2482.599212912283
STR$270030.1%35528.4146128.4240118254226
SWN$107029.1%1987.997952016082128
XEC$129033.1%44959.8109059.8194544456390
XTO$512059.4%1527214.469405331828083990



 Southwestern Energy Company
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      [edit] Footnotes

      1. SWN 2006 10-K "Business" pg. 3
      2. SWN 2006 10-K "Business" pg 5
      3. SWN 2006 10-K "Properties" pg. 31
      4. Chart derived from SWN 2006 10-K "Selected Financial Data" pg 36
      5. SWN 2006 10-K "Risk Factors" pg 23
      6. SWN 2006 10-K "Business" pg 13
      7. SWN 2006 10-K pg 5
      8. SWN 2006 10-K "Business" pg 3
      9. SWN 2006 10-K "Business" pg 4
      10. All data compiled from company annual reports and 10-K's
      11. MMcfe/day, or millions of natural gas cubic feet equivalent, is a measure of the level of production per day that converts oil into the energy-yielding natural gas equivalent using a ratio of 6 to 1 (natural gas to oil)
      12. NFX, 10k for 2007, Item 8 pg 53
      13. 13.0 13.1 NFX, 10k for 2007, Item 7 pg 22
      14. NFX, 10k for 2007, Item 2 pg 11
      15. NFX, 10k for 2007, Item 2 pg 13
      16. 16.0 16.1 NBL, 10k for 2007, Item 8 pg 64
      17. NBL, 10k for 2007, Item 2 pg 12
      18. NBL, 10k for 2007, pg 110
      19. NBL, 10k for 2007, Item 2 pg 13
      20. STR, 10k for 2007, Item 8 pg 43
      21. 21.0 21.1 STR, 10k for 2007, Item 2 pg 18
      22. STR, 10k for 2007, Item 2 pg 17
      23. STR, 10k for 2007, Item 2 pg 18
      24. RRC, 10K for 2006, Item 15, Page F-6
      25. 25.0 25.1 RRC, 10K for 2006, Item 7, Page 24
      26. RRC, 10K for 2006, Item 2, Page 15
      27. RRC, 10K for 2006, Item 2, Page 17
      28. SWN, 10K for 2006, Item 6, Page 36
      29. 29.0 29.1 29.2 SWN, 10K for 2006, Item 6, Page 37
      30. SWN, 10K for 2006, Item 2, Page 31

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