SYT » Topics » Market Risk Due to Fluctuating Interest Rates

This excerpt taken from the SYT 20-F filed Mar 1, 2006.

Market Risk Due to Fluctuating Interest Rates

Syngenta is exposed to fluctuations in interest rates on its borrowings. The effective currency of the majority of Syngenta’s borrowings is US dollars after the impact of derivatives. The majority of Syngenta’s net borrowings are subject to short-term interest rates, though some longer-term swaps have been entered into to reduce interest rate volatility. Syngenta analyzes risk to interest rate movements by forecasting future debt levels and taking into account hedges in place.

An interest charge-at-risk is calculated based on a variance-covariance approach, using historical volatility and correlation as applied by the RiskMetrics Group. Syngenta does not hold any interest rate instruments with optionality, so this is not addressed in the model. Syngenta uses a 12-month time horizon given the seasonality of cash flow and duration of cash forecasts. The interest charge-at-risk calculation is based on forecast future debt levels and examines the impact of changes in market interest rates. Other factors such as changes in debt, mix of debt or group credit status could impact the overall interest expense.

The value-at-risk calculation is performed for the expected interest charge in 2006 taking into account related interest rate swaps. As of December 31, 2005, the total 12-month interest charge at risk after hedges, at the 95% confidence level, was US$6 million. The movement on interest expense due to interest rate movements in 2005 was well within the level of US$6 million, which existed at December 31, 2004.

This excerpt taken from the SYT 20-F filed Mar 16, 2005.

Market Risk Due to Fluctuating Interest Rates

Syngenta is exposed to fluctuations in interest rates on its borrowings. The effective currency of the majority of Syngenta’s borrowings is US dollars after the impact of derivatives. The majority of Syngenta’s net borrowings are subject to short-term interest rates, though some longer-term swaps have been entered into to reduce interest rate volatility. Syngenta analyzes risk to interest rate movements by forecasting future debt levels and taking into account hedges in place.

An interest charge-at-risk is calculated based on a variance-covariance approach, using historical volatility and correlation as applied by the RiskMetrics Group. Syngenta does not hold any interest rate instruments with optionality, so this is not addressed in the model. Syngenta uses a 12-month time horizon given the seasonality of cash flow and duration of cash forecasts. The interest charge-at-risk calculation is based on forecast future debt levels and examines the impact of changes in market interest rates; other factors such as changes in debt, mix of debt or group credit status could impact the overall interest expense.

The value-at-risk calculation is performed for the expected interest charge in 2005 taking into account related interest rate swaps. As of December 31, 2004, the total 12-month interest charge at risk after hedges, at the 95% confidence level, was US$6 million. The movement on interest expense due to interest rate movements in 2004 was well within the level of US$9 million, which existed at December 31, 2003.

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Value-at-risk Calculation Summary Table      

(US$ million)   Time Horizon
(Months)
  VaR as at
31 December 2004
  VaR as at
31 December 2003

Anticipated Foreign Exchange Transactions   12   56   41
Committed Foreign Exchange Transactions   1   5   8
Interest Rates   12   6   9


EXCERPTS ON THIS PAGE:

20-F
Mar 1, 2006
20-F
Mar 16, 2005
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