|
|
 | | | |
- close
- close
- close
- close
Talisman Energy (TLM) |
Suggest other news sources for this topic
WIKI ANALYSIS
Talisman Energy (NYSE:TLM) is primarily an Oil and gas exploration and production company with some natural gas midstream operations in Canada. Their operations can be segmented into 3 sections: North America (primarily Canadian natural gas), North Sea (mostly oil) and Southeast Asia (mostly oil with some nat. gas). They also have non-operating interests in African energy plays.
This is a relatively more exciting company in the oil space. Almost all of the growth visibility is mired in nasty oil sands, politically hostile territories, deep beneath the ocean or in the hands of national oil companies who put politics ahead of profits. Throw in an escalating cost environment and the outlook for oil companies is highly uncertain, even as the outlook for the commodity couldn't be stronger.
Company Overview
Like many growing resource companies, TLM's capital expenditure is uneven, swinging from heavy outlays one year to big free cash flow (FCF) another year. At some point, the company has to be able to convert its assets into cash for the owners.
Business Segments
In 2009, TLM earned a total of $6.2 billion in total revenues. This was a decline from its 2008 total revenues of $8.1 billion. As a result, this had an adverse effect on TLM's net income. Between 2008 and 2009, TLM's net income declined from a net profit of $2.75 billion in 2008 to a net loss of $675 million in 2009.
Trends and Forces
Divesting Non core assets
Looking at their capital structure, the company is in the process of divesting non-core assets. They're in the midst of a share buyback program and plan on using sales proceeds to pay down some of the debt and for buybacks. The company pays a small dividend (1% yield on 8% payout ratio) but has increased it near 20% annually over the last few years. The trend of divesting non core assets should help the company improve their overall profitability as it allows TLM to focus on areas where they have the most expertise.
Diverse Portfolio
TLM has a widely diverse portfolio. For instance, they have a big natural gas component in Canada, which is expected perform well as oil sands production ramps up. They also have light oil crude assets in the North Sea and Southeast Asia are in high-demand with good price realizations. Furthermore, Talisman has divested their oil sands assets and now has no bitumen reserves in its portfolio. The diversity of TLM's products as well as its geographic diversity makes TLM's risk lower than it otherwise would be.
Competitors
EnCana – refocused on Canadian oil sands projects and North American natural gas
- Huge gas wells drilled in the Deep Bossier region of TX
- Partnering with ConocoPhillips in the oil sands play
- Oil sands subject to significant cost overruns
- Rockies exposure not ideal
Devon Energy - attractively valued but paying more for revenues; more balanced gas/oil portfolio Barnett Shale- holdings should provide stable reserves replacement for years
- good net margins
- More exposure to oil in Gulf of Mexico
- Growth primarily through acquisitions ($5.5 billion in goodwill)
- Riskier exploration plays (10,000 feet deepwater Jack project, Brazilian offshore, etc).
- Jackfish oil sands project in Alberta subject to oil sands difficulties (higher costs, nat. gas and water shortages, etc)
References
| |||||||
