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The AES Corporation 8-K 2006 Documents found in this filing:
[GRAPHIC]
March 22, 2006
Safe Harbor Disclosure
Certain statements in the following
presentation regarding AESs business operations may constitute forward
looking statements.
www.aes.com
Todays Agenda
Appendix - Assumptions
Forecasted financial information is based on certain material assumptions. Such assumptions include, but are not limited to: 1) no unforeseen external events such as wars, depressions, or economic or political disruptions occur; 2 ) businesses continue to operate in a manner consistent with or better than prior operating performance, including achievement of planned productivity improvements including benefits of global sourcing, and in accordance with the provisions of their relevant contracts or concessions; 3) new business opportunities are available to AES in sufficient quantity so that AES can capture its historical market share; 4) no major disruptions or discontinuities occur in GDP, foreign exchange rates, inflation or interest rates during the forecast period; 5) negative factors do not combine to create highly negative low-probability business situations; 6) business-specific risks as described in the Companys SEC filings do not occur.
In addition, benefits from global sourcing include avoided costs, reduction in capital project costs versus budgetary estimates, and projected savings based on assumed spend volume which may or may not actually be achieved. These benefits will not be fully reflected in the Companys consolidated financial results.
Appendix - Definitions
Free Cash Flow - Net cash from operating activities less maintenance capital expenditures. Maintenance capital expenditures reflect property additions less growth capital expenditures.
Lost Time Accident (LTA) - An incident in which the injured person is kept away from work beyond the day of the incident.
Near Miss - An incident that occurred but did not result in any injury. In AES, we have expanded this to include unsafe conditions that have been observed.
O&M - Operation and maintenance.
Reliability Centered Maintenance (RCM) - An integrated maintenance methodology that optimizes among reactive, interval-based, condition-based, and proactive maintenance practices to take advantage of their respective strengths in order to maximize facility and equipment reliability while minimizing life-cycle costs.
Return on invested capital (ROIC) - Defined as net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) divided by average capital. NOPAT is defined as income before tax and minority expense plus interest expense less income taxes less tax benefit on interest expense at effective tax rate. Average capital is defined as the average of beginning and ending total debt plus minority interest plus stockholders equity less debt service reserves and other restricted deposits.
System Average Interruption Duration Index (SAIDI) - A measure of the cumulative duration of electric service forced and sustained interruptions experienced by customers each year, excluding force majeure events. SAIDI is calculated as the total number of customer minutes of sustained interruption divided by the number of customers served.
System Average Interruption Frequency Index (SAIFI) - A measure of the number of outages per customer per year. SAIFI is calculated by dividing the total number of customer-sustained interruptions by the number of customers served.
Appendix Reconciliation of Subsidiary Distributions
Note: On the regional financial slides included subsequently in this presentation series, subsidiary distributions to parent, which exclude returns of capital and project financing proceeds, have been referred to as Distributions to AES Corporation.
[GRAPHIC] March 22, 2006 AES Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA)
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Source: The World Factbook; AES estimates.
EMEA at a Glance
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5,700MW Total Installed Capacity
1,870MW Under Construction/Planned
3 Utilities in 2 Countries Serve 1.7MM Customers
My Priorities
AES EMEA Generation Strategic Overview
Contains Forward Looking Statements
* Non-GAAP financial measure. See Appendix.
Europe Generation Market Characteristics
Contains Forward Looking Statements
Data from AES EMEA Generation.
Reserve MarginEU Weighted Average
Contains Forward Looking Statements
[CHART]
Source: Cambridge Energy Research Associates, UCTE. Note: non-coincidental peak. Reserve Margin is (Dependable Capacity minus Peak Demand) divided by Peak Demand. Chart includes plants under construction from 2005 on but for wind and planned retirements.
Middle East and Africa Generation Market Characteristics
Data from AES EMEA Generation.
AES EMEA Generation Financial Overview
(US$ Million)
Note: Information is presented on an AES basis and is unaudited. Certain intercompany transactions may not be eliminated. (1) Excludes any impact of the partial sale of Barka and Pakistan.
AES Europe Generation
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UC under construction
AES Africa and Middle East Generation
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AES EMEA Generation Portfolio Diverse Geography and Impacts of New Capacity
AES EMEA Generation Portfolio Largely Contracted with Fuel Pass Through
EMEA Generation KPIs
Key Performance Indicator (KPI)
Implementing KPIs in EMEA Generation
Safety, protecting the environment and operational excellence are the prime focus of the KPIs within the EMEA group.
EMEA Generation Safety Performance
EMEA Generations top priority is safety in the workplace as demonstrated by the significant safety performance improvements over the last three years.
EMEA Generation Environmental Performance
SOx Emissions
[CHART]
Dust Emissions
[CHART]
Favorable trends through a strategy of pursuing alternate fuels and plant improvements.
EMEA Generation Operational Excellence
EAF
[CHART]
EFOR
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The drive to operational excellence is key to the success of the plants.
Ebute Performance Improvement
EFOR
[CHART]
Performance Initiatives
Hot Gas Path management Staff training and performance LTSA management
Plant Challenges
Nine barge mounted Frame 6 CTs Unknown maintenance history Poor availability of technical support Poor local infrastructure
Ebute has significantly improved its availability while working in a difficult environment but real benefits are still to be gained.
Platform Expansion Opportunities
Contains Forward Looking Statements
Platform Extension - Kilroot Biomass Trials
Contains Forward Looking Statements
Biomass is now being co-fired at the Kilroot power station in Northern Ireland In burning biomass the business is able to generate a revenue stream through its generation of renewables credits In addition, the energy produced does not require the allocation of CO2 allowances With a minimal capital investment from AES, the station can now burn up to 6% biomass by volume This initiative is expected to contribute positively from 2006 The business is exploring the possibility of increasing its biomass % consumption by burning palm oil
Fast Growing Coppice For Biomass Production
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Greenfield Example: Bulgaria
Contains Forward Looking Statements
670MW lignite-fired power plant
$1.4 billion project cost 15 year contract with NEK (national utility) 15 year lignite supply agreement minimizes energy supply risks Letter of government support 790 million non-recourse financing closed in December with commercial and multilateral banks Completing site acquisition and permitting Target early 2006 start of construction $300 million+ new revenues expected by 2010
Proposed AES Maritza Plant, Bulgaria (artist rendition)
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Greenfield Example: Cartagena
Contains Forward Looking Statements
1,200MW gas-fired CCGT power plant
$860 million project cost 21 year contract with Gaz de France International (GDFi) for fuel and the purchase of power Fuel and electricity off-take contracts insulate AES from market risks GDFi to provide fuel through LNG terminal 1.5 km away Non-recourse commercial financing closed and construction began in November 2003 Construction contractor delays have pushed back start-up date Commissioning planned for Q3 2006 $130 million+ revenues expected annually beginning late 2006
AES Cartagena Power Plant Cartagena, Spain [GRAPHIC]
Sonel Strategic Overview
Contains Forward Looking Statements
* Non-GAAP financial measure. See Appendix.
Cameroon Highlights
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Cameroon Electricity Market Characteristics
Generation
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AES Sonel is the sole generation company
Private sector/government partnership
100% self generated
933MW installed capacity
77% hydro
23% thermal Transportation
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AES Sonel has the sole transmission system
Private sector/government partnership
Over 1,800 km of high voltage and 12,000 km medium voltage lines
Distribution
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AES Sonel is the sole distribution system
528,000 customers
Three distinct systems:
Southern Interconnected Grid (SIG) includes Douala and Yaoundé
Northern Interconnected Grid (NIG) three northern provinces served by Lagdo hydroelectric plant and 14MW thermal generation
Remote network 86 small thermal units (24MW) support 31 small distribution systems
Commercial Base
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1,200 medium voltage customers
Five large users
Cameroon Electricity Demand Growth
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Industrial demand variability has influenced the relationship between electricity demand and GDP growth.
Cameroon Electricity Demand Growth
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Historically, there has been a high correlation between public sector electricity demand and GDP growth.
Cameroon Regulatory Framework
AES Sonel History
AES Sonel is an Integrated Utility
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AES Sonel Generation System
721MW hydroelectric
212MW thermal (diesel/fuel oil)
Note: Smaller thermal units not shown.
AES Sonel Customer Base
Billed Consumption (GWh) 2005
[CHART]
Revenues 2005 (1)
[CHART]
Electricity Sales Trend (GWh)
[CHART]
(1) Revenue data as of September 30, 2005
AES Sonel KPIs
Contains Forward Looking Statements
Key Performance Indicator (KPI)
Safety Excellence
Lost time accidents (LTA) Near misses Incident rate Days without LTA
Operational Excellence
Distribution losses Transmission efficiency Cash collection efficiency Unserved energy rate
Customer Service Excellence
Developing formal measurement tools
Losses and Transmission Efficiency Trends
Distribution Losses
[CHART]
Targeting technical and commercial losses Better IT systems track consumption patterns
Transmission Efficiency
[CHART]
Rehabilitating the network infrastructure improves system reliability
Improved Operating Performance
Cash Collection Efficiency
[CHART]
Private sector collection gains Favorable working capital trends
Unserved Energy
[CHART]
Higher production capacity and network efficiency support distribution performance
AES Sonel Financial Overview
Note: Information is presented on an AES basis and is unaudited. Certain intercompany transactions may not be eliminated.
Social Commitment and Economic Development
Health
AES Sonel leadership in fight against HIV/AIDS is applauded by various organizations
12,000 people benefit from the company health coverage
12 medical centers across the country treat patients for malaria, diabetes, cardio-vascular disease and cancer
People Development
AES has organized two career fairs in Europe to recruit highly qualified Africans
Several expatriates are currently ensuring the transfer of skills to the local workforce
AES provides management training opportunities at Darden School of Business for company managers
Economic Development
4th largest company in Cameroon in terms of revenues
One of the biggest investors, importers and employers
AES activities contributes to the growth of the local banking system
AES Sonel Scenario Planning
Contains Forward Looking Statements
Strategic Issues
Revised and improved concession agreement Finalization of amendments to the concession contract
Hydrology risk and fuel Reducing hydrology risk as thermal costs adjust tariffs during bad hydrology years
Development of infrastructure 133MW in thermal capacity since privatization $500MM investment planned over next five years
Political instability Improved public private sector partnership Improving standard of service to meet the customer and country needs
Strategic Opportunities
Value Enhancement Program Asset management Maintenance work management Reconstruction project management Revenue management
Demand Growth Projects Proposed Alucam expansion will require new plant and infrastructure investment Expansion could result in 69% demand increase by 2010
AES Ukraine Strategic Overview
Contains Forward Looking Statements
* Non-GAAP financial measure. See Appendix.
Ukraine at a Glance
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Ukraine Electricity Market Characteristics
Generation
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Seven large companies 12% private sector (installed capacity) 22 large CHPs 54,000MW installed capacity 25% nuclear 65% thermal Generators with capacity >20MW sell to Wholesale Electricity Supplier under single buyer market model either through price bids (thermal) or at fixed tariffs (other)
Transportation
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One State owned transmission company: Owner of 22,513 km of 220 - 750KV lines System operator & dispatcher Manages system ancillary services Parallel operation with Russian/CIS system Burshtin Island (West Ukraine) operates in parallel with UCTE (European system) Regulated transmission tariff Import & export managed by State owned company Ukrinterenergo
Distribution
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27 major distribution & regulated supply companies, 12 private, 15 state owned Tariff review annually For six companies: cost plus methodology; 17% rate of return on investments For 21 companies: total cost recovery in the tariff Non-regulated supply companies, 10% of the market, free pricing All purchase power from the Wholesale Electricity Supplier, at the same hourly price
Commercial Base
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No direct contracts with generators or wholesale market All non-residential customers can choose to be supplied by regulated distribution company or non-regulated supply company All residential customers must purchase from regulated distribution company Bilateral contracts market is planned
Ukrainian Generation Market Profile
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2005 Output by Generation Type
[CHART]
Total 2005 output 185,180 GWh
Ukraine Electricity Demand Growth
[CHART]
Correlation between electricity demand and GDP growth has increased in recent years Electricity demand is expected to continue growing by more than 4% per year
Ukraine Electricity Market History
Contains Forward Looking Statements
Ukraine Electricity Market Operation Model
Ukraine Regulatory Framework
Other Players
AES Ukraine: Distribution
KYIVOBLENERGO
Service area 28,000 km2 818,000 customers 3,000 employees 2005 revenues $100 MM (9 months) 90% AES-owned
RIVNEENERGO
Service area 20,000 km2 404,000 customers 1,500 employees 2005 revenues $52MM (9 months) 80% AES-owned
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AES Ukraine Customer Base
2005 Consumption (6 GWh)
[CHART]
Electricity Sales Trend (GWh)
[CHART]
YTD 2005 Revenues ($152 MM)*
[CHART]
* Data as of September 30, 2005
AES Ukraine Safety Performance
LTA
[CHART]
2005 Safety Activity
Conducted 2,500 safety walks/inspections
Introduced unsafe conditions reporting and analysis
Identified 750 unsafe conditions
Live line working training of personnel and equipment procurement and certification is in progress
Started public safety educational campaign
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Safety poster be careful, father
Safety is defined as the top priority in AES Ukraine.
AES Ukraine Operational Performance
Collections
[CHART]
Losses
[CHART]
AES Ukraine demonstrated considerable operational improvements.
AES Ukraine Financial Overview
(US$ Million)
Note: Information is presented on an AES basis and is unaudited. Certain intercompany transactions may not be eliminated.
AES Ukraine Market Issues and Opportunities
Contains Forward Looking Statements
AES Ukraine Scenario Planning
Contains Forward Looking Statements
Ukraine Moves East Increased regulation of the economy Reduction in foreign investments GDP growth rate decreases Currency depreciates
Ukraine Moves West Liberalization of the economy Increase foreign investments Electricity demand increase Currency stable Interest rate spreads tighten
Sustained High Energy Price Economy growth slows down; GDP growth rate decrease Currency depreciates Tariff pressure
Ukraine Platform Expansion Opportunities
Contains Forward Looking Statements
AES Southern Cone Latin America Business Review AES CORPORATION Andres Gluski President, Latin America [GRAPHIC]
Southern Cone of Latin America
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Source: The World Factbook; AES estimates.
Southern Cone at a Glance
6,265MW Total Installed Capacity
120MW Under Construction
3 Utilities Serve 750K Customers
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My Priorities
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