QUOTE AND NEWS
Forbes  34 min ago  Comment 
Urban Outfitters is expected to report lower fourth-quarter earnings on Monday, March 9, 2015. Analysts are expecting a 3% drop in earnings from a year ago. The consensus estimate is 57 cents per share, down from earnings of 59 cents per share a...
Benzinga  9 hrs ago  Comment 
In a report published Friday, Wunderlich Securities analyst Eric Beder reiterated a Buy rating and $42.00 price target on Urban Outfitters, Inc. (NASDAQ: URBN). In the report, Wunderlich Securities noted, "We are reiterating our Buy rating,...
Clusterstock  Mar 5  Comment 
Over at Racked, Elizabeth Segran had a really good post this week on the death of the hipster brand. Specifically, she writes an obituary for the heyday of American Apparel and Urban Outfitters, both of which are struggling for relevance in...
MarketWatch  Feb 26  Comment 
Urban Outfitters Inc. on Thursday said its board of directors approved a $20 million share buyback. Urban Outfitters operates its own brand in addition to brands such as Anthropologie, Free People, and Terrain. Shares of the retailer were flat in...
Forbes  Feb 20  Comment 
In the current retail environment, retailers are invariably adopting omni-channel retailing, and are simultaneously consolidating their respective store networks. While a number of them are closing their under-performing outlets to reach a...
TheStreet.com  Feb 12  Comment 
NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Urban Outfitters  stock is gaining 0.85% to $37.98 in early morning trading Thursday after Goldman Sachs upgraded the apparel company to "buy" from "neutral" and raised its price target to $43 from $36.  Urban...
Benzinga  Feb 12  Comment 
TheStreet.com  Feb 12  Comment 
NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- RATINGS CHANGES Cheesecake Factory was downgraded at Sterne Agee to neutral from buy. Estimates were also cut, given higher expected wage costs, Sterne Agee said. Cornerstone OnDemand was downgraded to sector...
Benzinga  Feb 10  Comment 
On Tuesday, Stifel raised the target price of Urban Outfitters Inc. (NASDAQ: URBN) from $38.00 to $42.00 after the company released fourth quarter sales that exceeded expectations. Stifel also reiterated Urban Outfitters as a Buy. Analysts...
Benzinga  Feb 10  Comment 
In a report published Tuesday, Brean Capital analyst Liz Pierce reiterated a Buy rating and $42.00 price target on Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ: URBN). In the report, Brean Capital noted, "In our opinion, Q4 comp sales results, which accelerated...
Benzinga  Feb 10  Comment 
In a report published Tuesday, Wunderlich Securities analyst Eric Beder reiterated a Buy rating and $42.00 price target on Urban Outfitters, Inc. (NASDAQ: URBN). "We are reiterating our Buy rating, $42 price target, and above-consensus EPS...




 

Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ:URBN) is a clothing and accessories retailer that focuses on women between the ages of 18 and 45. URBN runs 4 different store brands: Urban Outfitters (39% of sales), Anthropologie (36% of sales), Free People and Terrain (8% of sales). In 2010, the remaining 17% of sales came from direct to consumer business.[1]

URBN has accomplished an increase in sales without excessive discounting through two key strategies: keeping its inventories lean and high product turnover (Urban Outfitters stores receive new inventory every two weeks). However, In a time when many retail companies are attempting to capitalize on new wealth growing in Asia, URBN's lack of an Asian presence can become a disadvantage. In addition, it's new retail concept, "Terrain" is a garden and home product line. As the amount of home construction has decreased due to the financial crisis it remains to be seen whether or not Terrain can stand on its own as a retail concept in this difficult environment.

Company Overview

Urban Outfitters is divided into separate business segments: retail stores, catalog, e-commerce and wholesale.

Retail Stores (89.3% of Fiscal 2010 Revenue)

The parent company operates four different store chains (revenue contribution in fiscal 2010 in parentheses)

  • Urban Outfitters (39.2%) is its eponymous store that targets 18-30 year olds. Stores average 9,500 square feet and carry between 35,000 to 40,000 different items.[2]
  • Anthropologie (26.4%) caters to 30 to 45 year old women with clothing, accessories and home furnishings. Stores average about 7,400 square feet and carry 40,000 to 45,000 different products.[3]
  • Free People (2.0%) targets women between 25 and 30 years old. URBN operates 34 of these stores, which carry 5,000 products on 1,400 square feet of space [4]
  • Terrain (<1%) sells garden equipment as well as live plants.[5]

Catalog and E-Commerce (16.7% of Fiscal 2010 Revenue)

Urban Outfitters sells directly to consumers via catalogs and online sites for each of its store brands.[6]

Wholesale (4.9% of Fiscal 2010 Revenue)

URBN sells its Free People products through wholesale channels to department stores such as Bloomingdales and Nordstrom (JWN). [7]

Business Growth

FY 2010 Results (ended January 31, 2011)

  • Compared to fiscal 2009, net sales increased 17.4% to $2.27 billion.[8]
  • URBN reported net income of $273 million which is an increase of 24.1% from last year.

Key Trends and Forces

Retail industry's focus on Asia can leave URBN in the dust

Growth at Urban Outfitters depends on the company's ability to expand and open new retail centers (it has opened more than 25 stores annually for the past three years). In recent years, URBN has opened retail locations in Europe. Many retailers have started to establish a presence in Asia in order to profit from new wealth developing in that region. H&M, one of URBN's competitors, has 13 stores in China and 2 in Japan.[9] Urban Outfitters, however, has no plans to establish a presence in Asia meaning it is missing out on a chance to capitalize on a developing market. Although URBN is already well-established in America, its lack of an Asian presence can be a disadvantage, especially since its competitors already have a head start.

Increases in Commodity Prices Will Raise Clothing Retailer Prices

Cotton consumption exceeded cotton production for the fifth year in the row, making cotton prices increase by 80.5% from last year.[10] [11] Natural disasters also severely damaged crops in many large cotton producer countries, such as China, India, and Pakistan. This led to decreases in cotton exports from these countries and increases in cotton imports as these countries sought to supplement their supply of cotton. [12][13] With limited cotton supplies and rising prices, retailers will either have to absorb these higher material costs, restructure the composition of their clothing to have less cotton, or pass these higher costs to its consumers. Higher clothing prices or lower quality clothing could discourage consumer spending, resulting in decreased net sales. However, adult or teen clothing retailers may not be too adversely affected as their clothing (which is usually 30-40% cotton based) has more flexibility in their composition and thus, costs. In addition, raising commodity prices in other areas will also raise costs for retailers. While premium price and established brands may be able to pass their higher costs to their consumers, value based companies may not fare as well and may suffer from lower profit margins.[10]

Competition

Urban Outfitters sets itself apart from most other clothing and accessory retailers with its boutique-like atmosphere and its focus on fashion (none of its store brands sell basic items).

  • Guess? (GES) primarily targets men and women between the ages of 18 and 32.[14] Outside that key demographic, URBN also has Guess? Kids, targeted to boys and girls ages 6 to 12; and Guess by Marciano. Guess's pricing is similar to that of Urban Outfitter's clothing brands and is also focused on trends. Urban Outfitters also has a wholesale segment under the Free People brand, selling Free People products to department stores such as Nordstrom (JWN). Guess? also has a wholesale segment where its products are sold to Macy's Inc. (M) and Dillard's (DDS). Guess? is an international brand like URBN, but unlike URBN it has established a presence in Asia.
  • Abercrombie & Fitch Company (ANF): Abercrombie & Fitch is the leader of the youth apparel retail market by nearly all measures. Abercrombie & Fitch also operates four brands: Abercrombie & Fitch, Hollister, abercrombie; all of which target different subsets of the 8-30 age range.
  • Gap (GPS): GPS targets customers (15-25 year-old males and females). Gap has clothing lines for the 25-40 year-old age group and a strong Baby Gap clothing line for toddlers. It has a much more extensive store network throughout the U.S. and has been an established player in the market for many years.

[15] [16] [17] [18]


References

  1. URBN Financials Hoovers
  2. Urban Outfitters 2010 Annual Report - 10k
  3. Urban Outfitters 2010 Annual Report - 10k
  4. Urban Outfitters 2010 Annual Report - 10k
  5. Urban Outfitters 2010 Annual Report - 10k
  6. Urban Outfitters 2010 Annual Report - 10k
  7. Urban Outfitters 2010 Annual Report - 10k
  8. http://investor.urbn.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=115825&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=1536569&highlight=
  9. HMB 2008 Annual Report pg. 21  
  10. 10.0 10.1 http://seekingalpha.com/article/238731-more-evidence-of-inflation-retailers-report-escalating-commodity-prices
  11. Gap, Wal-Mart Clothing Costs Rise on ‘Terrifying’ Cotton Prices
  12. http://www.thegovmonitor.com/world_news/asia/recession-drought-hail-reduce-cotton-acreage-in-china-12256.html
  13. CNN Money - Cotton Shortage Could Inflate Clothing Prices
  14. GES 2008 Annual Report pg. 1  
  15. Abercrombie and Fitch Annual Report 2009 10k
  16. Urban Outfitter Annual Report 2009 10k
  17. Guess Annual Report 2009 10k
  18. Gap Annual Report 2009 10k
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