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Arbitrage On Merger With Sirius


If the merger of Sirius and XM passes, each share of XM will receive 4.6 shares of Sirius. Currently XM is trading at a discount to the merger share ratio. Stifel analyst Kit Spring issued a note Tuesday in which he highlighted the arbitrage spread between Sirius (SIRI) and XM (XMSR) as being “abnormally high”. The arbitrage spread is represented by the delta between the price of Sirius and XM in relation to the 4.6 shares of Sirius that will be received for each share of XM upon a merger approval. With Sirius closing at $2.00 Tuesday, the implied price for XM is $9.20. XM closed at $7.57. Thus, if the merger were approved Tuesday, a share of XM would bring a premium of $1.63 over current prices.

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