Markperry

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Professor Mark J. Perry's Blog for Economics and Finance


Intrade odds for Health Care passing by December dropped overnight from 14% yesterday to only 6% today (graph shows 7%, but the current buy price is 6). Could it have anything to do with the election results?

Posted on 19:09, November 4, 2009

The spread between nominal 10-year treasuries (data) and 10-year TIPS (data) has increased to about 2% this week, up from almost 0% at the beginning of the year. The 200 basis point spread is still below the 250 basis point average during 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007 and the first half of 2008.

According to Scott Grannis:

Inflation expectations have been slowly working... read more

Posted on 18:34, November 4, 2009

More competition among health insurers is a consummation to be devoutly wished. But there are better ways to get there than a public option. Here are three:

?Tear down the barriers to buying insurance across state lines. ? Repeal mandatory benefits that make health insurance needlessly expensive.? De-link health insurance from employment. Read more here of Jeff Jacoby's column in the Boston Globe.

Posted on 12:05, November 4, 2009
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