Moving average

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UnBiasedTrading (TM)  Nov 6  Comment 
The McClellan Oscillator which was actually developed (and still maintained at a technical analysis site devoted to it) by the McClellans, is often used classically as an indicator when it crosses the zero line. But we've had good results looking...
Fund my Mutual Fund  Nov 4  Comment 
ISM Services came out this morning; unlike ISM Manufacturing on Monday which is just a fraction of our "new paradigm" economy (12%ish) - investors still seem to pay far less attention to services... as if we're in America 1964.   Meanwhile,...
Fund my Mutual Fund  Nov 2  Comment 
Definitely a different market character the past 2 weeks versus what we saw the previous months.  These type of "better than expected" economic reports used to crush shorts... while they were forced to cover this morning, we've since sold off and...
Fund my Mutual Fund  Oct 30  Comment 
Trick or Treat Bulls?! I think this must be the 3rd intraday reversal to the downside in I believe 6 sessions; it started a week ago Thursday.  We've now returned to the 1047 level, and the 50 day.  Remember we said, anything between 1047 and...
Wall Street Journal  Oct 28  Comment 
The S&P is balancing precariously on its 50-day moving average. Is a change in trend in the offing?
FX Street  Oct 22  Comment 
The US Dollar Index failed once again at the key 10-day MA. This allowed the EUR/USD to advance above the 1.50 threshold and now possibly sets the stage for further weakness towards the Greenback. The absence of weekly divergence and lack of...
Scott's Investments  Oct 10  Comment 
Regular readers of the blog know I focus my investment curiosity on a few key areas, primarily momentum, long term portfolio systems for individual investors, moving averages, dividends/value, and educational materials that discuss these...
Fund my Mutual Fund  Oct 5  Comment 
As with all breaks of the 20 day moving average, however brief, the S&P 500 has quickly rebounded now and sits right below it. Every other episode the past half year this level was quickly reclaimed and back to the ever present rally we returned...
FX Street  Oct 2  Comment 
The US Dollar Index benefitted on Thursday from renewed risk aversion. The commodity currencies suffered the most as the DXY managed to rebound off the 10-day MA. The EUR/USD rejected at its 10-day MA as well, hinting at a possible shift in trend....
FX Street  Sep 28  Comment 
Chicago Fed Index Slips in August – Employment Indicators Held Back Index The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) was -0.90 in August, down from the revised -0.56 reading in July. The 3-month moving average improved to -1.09 during...
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A moving average is a smoothed-out trend line built from an underlying set of data - stock prices in the context of investing. The moving average is calculated by taking, for each point in time, the average values of the underlying data from the previous N timepoints. So, for example, the 10-day moving average for a stock price is the average price of the previous 10 days' closing prices for every given day. The average is said to be "moving" because the time period over which the average is calculated is always the previous ten days of data for each day, and therefore is different for each day.

Moving averages smooth out data over time, and technical traders believe they reveal an underlying trend in a security's price. By increasing "N" - IE, by looking at, for example, a 200 day moving average instead of a 10 day one, a trader would see a trend on a larger scale than with the 10-day moving average, but with decreased responsiveness - IE, only long after large changes in the stock price would the 200-day moving average start to tend in a new direction, given the weight of all the historical prices in the 200-day moving average.

Exponential moving averages give more weight to the latest data points in the moving average calculation, making them more responsive to recent changes in stock price.

Technical traders will look to the convergence or divergence of moving averages, known as MACD, with different periods (or values of "N") to indicate patterns of resistance or support which technical traders believe indicate where a stock price is likely to move in the future.

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