Credit Default Swap (CDS)

RECENT NEWS
Business Standard  Nov 25  Comment 
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has set up a group to look into the norms for credit-default swap (CDS), which will revisit guidelines already issued, RBI Deputy Governor Shyamala Gopinath said in Mumbai on Wednesday.
Reuters  Nov 25  Comment 
U.S. regulators are increasingly looking beyond stocks in their insider trading investigations to examine derivatives and credit default swaps, a top Securities and Exchange Commission official said.
Clusterstock  Nov 25  Comment 
Despite regulatory threats on the horizon, the outlook for the credit default swaps (CDS) market remains bright. While the CDS market's notional value of outstanding contracts fell 14% in 2009, it's still at massive $36 trillion of notional...
Clusterstock  Nov 23  Comment 
It's been apparent for some time now that the Securities and Exchange Commission was preparing to crack down on the use of inside information by traders in credit default swaps. Today the head of enforcement more or less made it official. "The...
Bloomberg  Nov 23  Comment 
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission will focus on financial instruments such as derivatives as it broadens a crackdown on insider trading by hedge funds, enforcement director Robert Khuzami said.
Clusterstock  Nov 22  Comment 
Check out this heatmap of the infamous credit default swap (CDS) market, courtesy of Zero Hedge. Obviously November 19th (the date of this heatmap) was a pretty bad day given all the red, which indicates weakness. Yet also notice the massive...
Wall Street Journal  Nov 19  Comment 
The sovereign credit default swap market, once a curious backwater, is gaining in stature – and therefore investors should pay heed to the signals coming from it.
New York Times  Nov 17  Comment 
From Notions on High and Low Finance: Who were the ultimate beneficiaries of the Treasury's decision to make good on the credit default swaps written by the American International Group? We still don't know.
Clusterstock  Nov 16  Comment 
Credit default swaps are signaling a potential drop in the Japanese yen as investors become increasingly concerned about Japan's ability to fund its liabilities. This is of particular concern since the rest of the world, including the U.S., has...
Clusterstock  Nov 10  Comment 
(This guest post originally appeared on the author's blog) David Einhorn is without question an exceptionally bright man and a very astute investor. However, the latest message being delivered from his bully pulpit, proposing a ban on credit...
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Credit default swaps, or CDS, are insurance against the risk of default on a debt (such as loan, bond etc.). The writer (seller) of these swaps receive regular payments from the buyer (in most cases, in addition to an upfront payment), and in turn assumes the risk that the underlying debt will not be repaid. In the event of default, the seller of the contract has to reimburse the buyer for the unpaid interest and the principal of the debt.[1]

Credit default swaps are non-standardized private contracts between the buyer and the seller. They are not traded on any exchange, and have remained unregulated by any government body. The International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISAD) publishes guidelines and general rules that can be used to write CDS contracts.

The International Swaps and Derivatives Association estimates the total notional amount of outstanding credit default swaps to be around $ 62.2 trillion, making these contracts the most widely traded credit derivative product, as of December 2007.[2]. However as it is the case with other derivative instruments, notional amounts don't represent the actual amount that is exchanged through CDS.

Due to the lack of regulation in the market for CDS, these instruments had been underwritten by almost any financial institution. Large insurers such as American International Group (AIG) and Ambac Financial Group (ABK) have been major players in the market in the past. However, such contacts are also written by hedge funds, mutual funds and banks such as Merrill Lynch (MER), Citigroup (C) and Morgan Stanley (MS).

Underlying assets can theorically be any type of assets. Sovereign debt and financial companies' debt are the most commonly used assets with Italy, Spain and General Electric Company (GE) being the top-three entities in term of net notional amount.

How Credit Default Swaps Work

Credit default swaps have a buyer who pays a seller in exchange for protection against default on a loan.

Size of the CDS market
Size of the CDS market [3]

Typically, payments (i.e. the seller would have to pay the buyer) under a CDS would only be triggered by the company’s failure to pay interest or principal on its debts due to bankruptcy or some other severe liquidity issue. But there are a host of intermediate or special cases that will doubtless provoke lawsuits when something goes wrong.

For example, suppose an investor owns a corporate bond from Apple that yields 8%. The investor is exposed to a number of risks that could lead to default (e.g. the bond issuer goes bankrupt). In order to protect himself, investor purchases CDS on Apple bonds from AIG on this bond. In exchange, he agrees to pay out a portion of the bond's yield to AIG. Now, for some reason, if Apple is unable to pay its interest on the bond, AIG has to pay the CDS holder the entire par value of the bond.

Credit default swaps were sold to the world as hedging transactions. Investors were told that they were simply transfers of risk, so that banks that made loans could transfer credit risks to insurance companies, which did not make loans directly, or to foreign banks that could not easily make loans in the U.S. market.

If an investor buys a CDS from a financial firm with good credit, the CDS does indeed act as a hedge against default risk.

What is the purpose of a CDS?

In exchange for the protection against default, the insurer receives a regular payment from the buyer. This is typically a percentage of the coupon payments on the bond. Effectively, while the buyer receives protection, he gives up a portion of his interest receipts to the insurer.

CDS does not have to be bought in conjunction with the underlying bond. Since, in the event of a default, the writer of the CDS reimburses the buyer the entire principal amount, these contracts can be used for speculative purposes. For example: if an investor believes that Lehman Brothers (LEH) would be unable to pay its creditor, he could just buy a CDS to bet on this position. This has led to use of these swaps for speculative activities.

Risks of CDS

A credit default swap comes with the risk that that the writer of these contracts will actually be able to settle the debt on behalf of the defaulting company. Prior to September 22, 2008 CDS were largely unregulated -- this meant that anyone could write such a contract given that the buyer thought they were credit-worthy. However, due to the 2007-2008 credit crisis, the New York Fed has announced that it would start regulating CDS contracts in New York. While the details of this regulation are being drafted, experts suggest that this would require CDS writers to prove to the New York fed that they would be able to settle the contracts in the event of a default. [4]

There are two sources of likely loss on CDS:

  • Default by the underlying borrowers, the companies that originally took out the loans.
  • And default by the banks or other financial firms that bought the credit default swap - counterparties in the endless chain of banks, insurance companies, hedge funds and general riff-raff that have done these deals.


Additionally, any event related to the underlying debt can affect the value of the CDS. For instance, leveraged buyouts can lead to a decreased value for these contracts since the acquirer takes on more debt to finance the buyout -- leading to an increased risk of default.

Further Reading

For detailed explanation of credit default swaps and how they are used please see What Are Credit Default Swaps and How Do They Work? courtesy of bond giant PIMCO.

Here is nice video from CBS explaining more about the Credit Default Swaps [1]

References

  1. Wikipedia.com, Retrieved Sept. 22, 2008
  2. ISDA Market Survey Historical Data, Retrieved 9/22/08
  3. ISDA Market Data Historical Survey ISDA Market Data History
  4. Bloomberg.com Sept. 22, 2008
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