Emerging Markets

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See all Bulls Reasons Bulls Perspectives Global 100% agree Global On several valuation measures, emerging markets have moved to premium valuations relative to large-cap developed markets (including U.S) stocks. Despite huge price gains in emerging markets over the past five years (35% annualized!), investors should maintain long-term... read more View or Edit Reason 3 votes 100% agree Excellent opportunity for diversification 100% agree Excellent opportunity for diversification Emerging markets which have sufficient domestic demand will provide excellent diversification to investors since these markets will be less tied to the markets within the developed world. One measure used to analyze the linkage is the Trade-to-GDP ratio. For example, in... read more View or Edit Reason 1 votes 100% agree Low correlation with developed markets will provide more diversification 100% agree Low correlation with developed markets will provide more diversification Emerging markets with a low correlation to those of the developed world will provide better diversification to investors, e.g., India, Brazil and South Africa. View or Edit Reason 1 votes 100% agree See all Bears Reasons Bears Perspectives Overvalued stocks 100% agree Overvalued stocks Emerging markets which have too much money chasing too few investment opportunities for their own citizens will be prone to speculative bubbles; e.g. China. Prior to the bull run of the past five years, the price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of emerging markets stocks... read more View or Edit Reason 1 votes 100% agree Some countries are too tied with the US 100% agree Some countries are too tied with the US Emerging markets which are tied too tightly to developed world markets (e.g., USA, Western Europe) will not provide the diversification perhaps expected by investors within those developed world markets. View or Edit Reason 1 votes 100% agree Moral hazards in emerging markets 100% agree Moral hazards in emerging markets Emerging markets also have issues with moral hazard. Local politics often win out over foreign invesment. E.g., Malaysia. View or Edit Reason 1 votes 100% agree Send the authors a comment or suggestion Be the first to make a suggestion See All Suggestions

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Emerging markets generally refer to the economic activity in industrializing regions of the world. The term is often used interchangeably with developing markets, though this is somewhat inaccurate. Developing countries are just beginning to modernize, whereas emerging markets are in the transitional phase between developing and being fully developed. Examples of emerging markets include the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, and China), several Southeast Asian countries, Eastern Europe, and parts of Africa and Latin America.

Emerging markets are characterized by strong economic growth, resulting in an often marked rise in GDP and disposable income. As a result, people in emerging countries are able to afford goods and services that they previously would not have been able to buy. This provides international companies with the opportunity to tap large, new customer bases, potentially driving significant growth for a number of companies and industries. Though disposable incomes in emerging markets are rising, many of their citizens are still relatively poor. Luxury goods such as high-end automobiles and designer clothes are sure to benefit from the increased purchasing power of emerging economies, but everyday luxuries such as cell phones and brand name food products are becoming popular much more quickly. For example, the number of wireless subscribers in India grew at a compound annual growth rate of 91% from 2000 to 2005, and Coca-Cola Company (KO) predicts that the BRIC countries will account for 41% of the company's growth by 2008.

[edit] Companies that benefit from growth in emerging markets

Auto companies

• Ford Motor Company (F), General Motors (GM), Toyota Motor (TM), Honda Motor Company (HMC), and other car companies would benefit from increased demand for automobiles. As emerging countries improve their infrastructure and their GDPs continue to rise, the demand for cars is likely to increase as well.

Food and beverage manufacturers

• Coca-Cola Company (KO), Pepsico (PEP), Kraft Foods (KFT), and other food and beverage manufacturers have seen strong growth in emerging markets in recent years. As incomes rise, packaged food becomes more accessible for a larger percentage of the population, stimulating demand for these companies' products.

Cell phones

• Vodafone AirTouch Public Limited Company (VOD) recently bought a controlling stake in the fourth-largest mobile service provider in India, Hutchison Essar. This was seen as a strategic move on Vodafone's part, as the Indian cell phone market is among the fastest-growing in the world.
• China Mobile (Hong Kong) (CHL) is the largest wireless provider in China, a rapidly growing market for cell phones and wireless service.
• Research in Motion (RIMM) recently announced that it had been granted permission to sell its popular Blackberry smart phone in China. Though it took eight years to gain approval, this partnership with China Mobile could significantly boost RIMM's subscriber growth rate.

For more information, see Mobile Phone Adoption in Developing Countries and Mobile Phone Usage in China

Raw material suppliers

• BHP Billiton (BHP), Rio Tinto (RTP) and other integrated mining companies have already benefitted from the explosive demand growth of emerging markets, especially China.

Industrial gas companies

• Praxair (PX), Air Products and Chemicals (APD), and other industrial gas companies stand to benefit as demand for their product grows; current per capita gas consumption in emerging markets is very low compared to developed countries. As consumption rises, demand for industrial gases will be stimulated.

Advertising Firms

• As growth in advertising spending slows in mature markets such as the United States and Western Europe, advertising conglomerates like Omnicom Group (OMC) and Interpublic Group of Companies (IPG) are shifting their focus to Russia, China, India and other emerging markets, where advertising spending is growing at much higher rates.