Foreclosure

RECENT NEWS
Reuters  10 hrs ago  Comment 
More than one-quarter of homeowners receiving help under a U.S. government foreclosure prevention plan are behind on their new mortgage payments, a Treasury Department survey has found.
New York Times  Dec 4  Comment 
Houses in foreclosure often sell for 15 to 20 percent less than comparable in the same neighborhood.
Bloomberg  Dec 3  Comment 
(Update1) Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Chairman Sheila Bair may ask lenders to cut the principal on as much as $45 billion in mortgages acquired from seized banks, expanding her bid to aid homeowners as unemployment rises.
MarketWatch  Dec 2  Comment 
Marc Green, president of Mountain Valley Community Bank in Cleveland, Ga., is part of an endangered species: Georgia bankers. The state with just 4% of the nation's banks has experienced almost 20% of the country's bank failures.
TheStreet.com  Dec 1  Comment 
First-time buyers and investors pushed Las Vegas-area home sales higher in October as the overall median sale price held at $130,000 for the fourth consecutive month.
Wall Street Journal  Dec 1  Comment 
The Obama administration laid out final guidelines that should make it easier for some financially troubled borrowers to sell their homes.
Reuters  Nov 30  Comment 
The U.S. Treasury on Monday set long-awaited guidance on a plan for mortgage companies to speed "short sales" of homes and other loan modification alternatives to stem a rising tide of foreclosures.
BBC News  Nov 30  Comment 
The US Treasury Department cracks down on mortgage companies failing to help borrowers at risk of foreclosure.
Clusterstock  Nov 30  Comment 
Say hello to the latest billion-dollar bailout, courtesy of Barack Obama and Timothy Geithner: ---------- WASHINGTON (AP) -- With the foreclosure crisis showing no signs of relenting, the Obama administration plans to expand a program aimed at...
TheStreet.com  Nov 30  Comment 
The Obama administration plans to turn up the heat on banks that aren't doing enough to stem foreclosures, though its goals are sure to meet resistance from mortgage servicers.
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Foreclosure is the process by which a lender legally disallows a borrower the right to continue paying equity into an investment, thus terminating the borrower's ownership of the property.

The process occurs in situations where a lender agrees to finance a certain percentage of the purchased asset's value. If the loan recipient is unable to make the scheduled repayments or otherwise violates one of the loan's terms, the mortgagee will eventually attempt to repossess the recipient's property.

Alternatives to Foreclosure

Foreclosure is typically the last resort a money-lender will turn to in attempting to settle a defaulted mortgage, as lenders usually lose money during foreclosure proceedings due to legal fees and other associated expenses. Some of the alternatives to property foreclosure include:

  • Forbearance: The instance in which a lender puts a hold on payment obligations (sometimes for up to a year) to give a lender time to make overdue payments. Student-loan debtors often receive forbearance.
  • Mortgage Forbearance Agreement: A lender's agreement with an already-delinquent borrower wherein the mortgagee agrees to not foreclose on the mortgagor's property, but instead restructure the currently in-place loan terms to quickly bring the the borrower's equity to the minimum acceptable level.
  • Short Refinance: Occurrence in which the lender allows the defaulted borrower to restructure the terms of their debt, often with a portion of the balance being forgiven by the mortgagee. This balance reduction is a calculated measure to avoid foreclosure proceedings that will end up costing more than the forgiven debt.
  • Workout Assumption The assumption of the needed portion of a defaulted borrower's loan by an outside buyer in exchange for a percentage share of ownership in the investment.
  • Deed in Lieu of Foreclosure: The mortgagor's relinquishment of the land and its improvements to the mortagee in situations where the debtor takes the initiative in acknowledging that he/she is simply unable to bring the equity in the loan to its required equity margin.

Types of Foreclosure

  • Strict Foreclosure: The process of strict foreclosure begins when a defaulted borrower is taken to court by a lender. If the court rules in favor of the lender, the borrower is given a fixed amount of time to bring the loan up to its minimum-allowable equity margin. If this does not happen in the allotted time period, the lender receives ownership of the borrower's property without legal obligation to sell it.
  • Sale Foreclosure:
  • Judicial Foreclosure: The most common method, judicial foreclosure

The Current Foreclosure Crisis

In The United States of America

Due primarily to severely relaxed government-encouraged subprime lending practices in the U.S. for the preceding 15 years, current U.S. foreclosure rates are reaching levels higher than they have in decades. RealtyTrac reported 279,561 foreclosures in the U.S. in October 2008 alone, a figure representing a 5% increase from September 2008, and a 25% increase from October 2007.[1] Roughly 1 out of every 452 housing units in the U.S. received a foreclosure notice in October 2008.[1]

Florida, Nevada and Arizona Report Suffer Nation's Highest Foreclosure Rates

Nevada reported a total of 14,483 foreclosure filings in October 2008, This is a 11% increase from September 2008, an almost-119% increase from the year-ago period in October 2007. Nevada's foreclosure rate is over 7 times higher than any other state's, with 1 out of every 74 homes receiving a foreclosure notice in October 2008, marking it as the 22nd consecutive month in which Nevada had the nation's highest foreclosure rate.[1] Arizona posted the nation's second-highest foreclosure rate, with a total 17,507 foreclosures posted in October 2008. This represents 1 out of every 149 housing units in the state, a 35% increase from September 2008, and a 176% increase from October 2007.[1] Florida came in third, with a total of 54,324 foreclosures reported in October 2008, representing 1 in every 157 housing units in the state. This is a 13% increase from September 2008, and close to a 80% increase from October 2007.[1]

California Posts Highest Foreclosure Total Despite Drop in Foreclosure Rate

In October 2008 California posted a total of 56,954 foreclosure filings, representing a substantial decrease from its August 2008 number of over 100,000. Still, the October 2008 figure is a 13% increase from October 2007, and the legislation recently signed into effect by the California State government calling for legally-enforced delays on foreclosure proceedings will merely delay future spikes in California's foreclosure numbers.[1]

Investing in Foreclosed Property

Appearance vs. Practical Reality

The underlying logic of foreclosure investment is simple: get a good deal on a property the current owner must sell immediately to stem additional financial losses, and then sell or "flip" said property for a higher price to make a profit. Because of this simplicity, foreclosure investment attracts more than enough of a supply of potential buyers to make finding a profitable deal a fiercely competitive affair. It is also the subject of widespread late-night infomercials and many get-rich-quick schemes. In stable economies, however, average discounts on foreclosed properties usually range between 3% - 10%.[2] The most successful foreclosure investors tend to have either large sums of their own money or investors who finance their purchases. Large amounts of accessible cash are necessary for property upgrades, legal fees and loss absorption, meaning that the buy/revamp/flip process becomes more profitable when a buyer does not have to make monthly interest payments on borrowed cash.

Strategy

Evaluate Geographies

The first step in foreclosure investment is to select target areas for potential investment. Key factors to analyze include:

  1. Area Demographics: How profitable (or unprofitable) a housing unit will be is directly correlated to the area in which the unit is located. Determining a locale's population growth, job availability and average level of disposable income as well as the trending of each of these factors is key in determining potential profitability of a given investment. The higher each of these respective numbers is, the more profitable the foreclosed property can be. Other key factors which contribute to a locale's average property valuation include road-building, air quality, crime levels and taxes.
  2. The Market Values of Surrounding Properties: Since the price at which a foreclosed home can be sold ultimately drives all other decisions regarding the property, using sales "comparables" to find the values of surrounding properties in the area is an essential part of the research process: it ensures that you get the highest price possible for your home. Also, since they are somewhat historical in nature (with the pricing information being taken from the last transaction of the property), studying comps can often give you insight into how property values in those areas are trending, and thus if you're finding the foreclosure because its truly a good buy or because it's one of many homes about to go on the market in the area.
  3. Applicable County/State Housing Law: Foreclosure and home purchase laws vary state-by-state, so it's important to know what is and is not legal in the area in which you will be attempting to do business. Legal technicalities can and often do nullify what would have been a lucrative purchase.

Local newspapers list the properties to be sold at police auction, as does the county recorder's office. There are also a number of paid services which track and then send relevant property information to a potential investor. Experienced foreclosure investors also frequently look at pre-foreclosures (properties with a Notice of Default or Lis Pendens, depending on the state) in their target price range and areas, and will attempt to deal with the defaulting owner directly in efforts to find a better arbitrage opportunity than might be available at well-attended police auctions.

Evaluate the Property

The most common method of acquiring foreclosed properties is through police auction. Most of the time properties at foreclosure auctions are sold sight-unseen, with no warranties or sell-back options if further inspection reveals "hidden" property de-valuers (wood rot, leaking pipes, etc.).

If no other options are available to you, a decent way to give yourself the initial information advantage needed to hedge against these unpleasant surprises is to carefully study whatever sources (newspapers, county recorder's documents, etc.) you use to find what's going up for auction in your target area. Pre-select the foreclosures in which you are interested, and then make contact with the current owner(s) ahead of time to ask questions and find out more out about why the property is being foreclosed on. Essential questions that should be asked include:

  1. Does the property have tax liens? How many and for how much?
  2. Is the foreclosed home on leased land (this makes a foreclosure purchase infinitely more time-consuming, and consequently money-draining)?
  3. Are there unpaid property taxes?
  4. Is all the information you saw listed when first scouting the property accurate?
  5. Partial Interests - is there more than just the 1 defaulting property owner?
  6. What are the issues on the property that need fixing? [Ask this one delicately: an owner knows he/she is going to have to list a couple of the property's flaws, so they will usually disclose the more minor repair work needed while often euphemistically skirting over some of the more serious (and usually less-obvious) problems. The better the rapport you build with the current owner, the more likely you are to find out the most complete version of the truth.

Auction Alternatives

While this approach is better than just showing up at an auction, the most effective way of maximizing your chances of finding a profitable property and ensuring its closing is either by using your own business connections or by acquiring the foreclosure through less well-known methods.

If starting out with no connections, the simplest way to make them is through experience. Make an effort to meet, make good impressions on and build rapport with as many people in the business as possible as you're going through your initial phone calls and auctions. Provided they know their stuff, these people often can give you kernels of wisdom specific to your target area that you may not be able to find anywhere else (or maybe they'll end up becoming aware of a property they don't want, but you will). Personal contacts are the starting point for how many successful foreclosure investors beat their competition to the punch.

Once you have some knowledge of residential mortgage lending and connections in the field, you can use both to help lenders and borrowers with loan workouts. A potential workout will require you to do much of the normal research about a property you would do if attempting to purchase it yourself. This is a win-win social business opportunity: if you are able to help bring the loan back to acceptable equity levels, you have effectively gained the lender and home-owner as respecting business contacts (and usually access to their business contacts as well). If the loan cannot be worked out, it's highly likely that the investor who attempted to facilitate the workout will be given the first opportunity to buy the distressed property (and will have enough first-hand knowledge to know whether or not the property is a good investment).

Another way to give yourself access to foreclosure opportunities most investors will never see is by purchasing a distressed loan. Investors looking at pre-foreclosures will likely (at some point) come across a property they know they would like buy. Banks dislike having to deal with foreclosed homes, as the properties they end up holding on to almost always have less value than the debt their debtor owes on the defaulted loan (which is why the home didn't get purchased at auction). To avoid having to hold these properties, banks will sell the defaulted loan with many of their assigned liens and various other default penalties removed, deeply discounting the loan and sometimes even bringing it to its par value.

The key here is making sure you're giving yourself access to opportunities your competition does not have.

To Flip or To Hold

Flipping Strategy

Property "flipping" occurs when an investor purchases a devalued property at a discount rate with the intention of re-selling it for profit in a relatively short time frame (ideally immediately, although realistically-speaking it usually takes a few months). The key with flipping strategies is to know which remodeling projects to execute to get the greatest return. When trying to decide which remodels are key, focus on the following:

  1. Evaluate the Essentials - A non-leaking roof, solid floors, working gutters, decent furnace and all other things are basic in convincing someone to buy a recently foreclosed house. People don't want a house that can't provide basic human shelter, and all the value-increasing repairs on Earth won't help your bottom line if you can't sell the property fast.
  2. Appearance - Although a green lawn, nice coat of pain, ornately decorated yard and new carpets don't have a significant affect on property value, they will all help put a prospective buyer in an emotional and psychological state conducive to buying. If the buyer can see (and more to the point feel) the property as a real home, half of your selling work is done.
  3. Focused Remodelling - The key in foreclosure flipping is to take as-minimal an amount of time as possible to make a few key high-value-returning remodels. Focal remodels for experienced foreclosure flippers usually include updates to frequently used living spaces (bedrooms, bathrooms, etc.), siding, kitchen work, bathroom work, windows, decks.

The longer it takes to move your property, the more your resale profit is eroded by maintenance, interest (if using lender-borrowed money) and marketing expenses.

Holding Strategy

If your initial research and preparation allowed you to find a residential area with uncommonly high or increasing property value builders (i.e. a rapidly growing population, growing disposable income, substantial road building, gentrification, etc.), you'll probably want to take your time refurbishing your recently-purchased foreclosed property before you sell it. Areas in which foreclosed homes are a good idea to hold on to:

  1. Things to do nearby - Very few people are willing to live in a neighborhood where there is little or nothing within a 5-10 minute driving distance.
  2. Good neighbors - Conscientious neighbors take care of a neighborhood. Big / full trees, home add-ons like decks/pools/patios, well-maintained landscapes, fresh coats of paint and general cleanliness are all almost always reliable indicators that the property values in the area either are or will shortly be increasing.

In holding situations, the most common practice is to rent out the recently-purchased property until one or more value-spiking shifts occur in the neighborhood that make selling the property a profitable prospect. The key here is making sure your property can command enough rent to cover all insurance/maintenance/interest expenses with enough left over to generate a cash flow for you.

Exit Strategy

Even with careful preparation, sometimes an owner will simply select the wrong property, the wrong area, or both. Carrying costs on property (insurance, interest payments, marketing expenses) can create a "black hole" style investment that eats away at profit until the house is sold. Know the sales trends in the areas in which you're looking to invest, and set a time limit as to how long you will give yourself to move the property. If you're not seeing any real interest in the property, reduce the price. While homeowners initially balk at this, remember that it's better to walk away from the house with no profit as opposed to sunk losses.

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