Historical Volatility

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Daily FX  58 min ago 
US Dollar Still Range Bound, But Risk Aversion Creates Bullish Potential Euro Volatility Likely as Central Bank Delivers Interest Rate Decision Japanese...
Wall Street Journal  Jul 3 
Bouyed by domestic economic fundamentals, Brazilian stocks are poised for gains in the third quarter, although investors will have to live with periods of volatility.
TheStreet.com  Jul 2 
David Morgan, founder of Silver-Investor.com, says gold prices will stay volatile during the summer with trader indecision, market uncertainty and low volume slamming the futures market.
Daily FX  Jul 2 
Asia FX Summary (July 2nd) The dollar gained ground in Asian trading, aided by comments from China's Vice Foreign Minister stating that the USD is the...
Financial Times  Jul 2 
Thousands of US Marines have descended on the volatile Helmand River valley in helicopters and armoured convoys, mounting an operation that represents the first large-scale test of the US military's new counter-insurgency strategy
Daily FX  Jul 2 
Euro volatility looks likely in the coming session as the European Central Bank issues a highly contested interest rate decision, with expectations calling...
Wall Street Journal  Jul 1 
Options that expire in the next few months have become considerably cheaper than options that expire later this year, presenting an opportunity to investors who want to use them to prepare for the next batch of corporate earnings.
TheStreet.com  Jul 1 
The markets are clearly not back to the levels of last summer, but the SPY at-the-money straddle is a clear sign of just how much risk premiums have declined since December.
Bloomberg  Jul 1 
Asia-Pacific companies are agreeing to an increasing number of so-called forward start loans as they seek to ensure they can refinance debt amid volatile credit markets, according to Westpac Banking Corp.
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Volatility refers to the tendency of prices to change unexpectedly, usually as a response to new information or changes in demand for the investment. Volatility can be defined an investment's tendency to move up and down in price over the latest n periods.

A security with high volatility has a bigger fluctuations in price compared to a security with low volatility. The more quickly a price changes up and down, the more volatile it is. As such, volatility is often used as a measure of risk.

For example: A stock whose price went up 10% yesterday and went down 25% today is more volatile than a stock which increased 2% in both days.

Historical volatility is calculated by looking at past changes in stock price. The standard deviation of percentage changes in price is used to calculate observed volatility within the considered timeframe.

Historical Volatility, which looks at the past, is distinct from Implied volatility, which represents expectations about future fluctuations in price and is calculated by looking at the prices of options on the underlying investment.

Volatility is also different from Beta, which is a measure of how the stock price reacts to changes in a broad market index, such as the S&P 500.


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