QUOTE AND NEWS
Old School Value  Jul 3 
It's been a while since I last had a weekly recommended reading. Whenever things get busy, the recommended lists are usually the first to get chopped off the list. Anyhow, enjoy the 4th of July and please don't go around blowing yourself...
TheStreet.com  Jul 2 
Senior tech reporter Scott Moritz and Alix Steel dissect Juniper, Intel and Cisco and reveal which stock could win in the back half of 2009.
TheStreet.com  Jul 1 
Kraft rises 5.5% as General Mills sees earnings increase. Intel's outlook is raised by JPMorgan.
TheStreet.com  Jul 1 
Kraft and Intel lead the Dow higher.
MarketWatch  Jul 1 
LogMeIn Inc. kicked of the second half of the year with an initial public stock offering that raised $107 million for the remote-services technology provider.
MarketWatch  Jul 1 
Technology stocks edged up Wednesday morning with gains from major sector players. Intel Corp. , Microsoft Corp. and Oracle Corp. each advanced by more than 1%. The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 0.6% to 1,846. The Morgan Stanley High Tech 35...
TheStreet.com  Jul 1 
Dan Fitzpatrick examines three stocks viewed on Fast Money. Today's stocks include Intel, Dynegy and Ford Motor Co.
TechCrunch  Jun 30 
Intel Capital has led a Series B funding round in Sense Networks, a NY-based developer of nifty machine-learning technology that allows for digital indexing and ranking of real world locations based on movement data. According to Venturebeat,...
MarketWatch  Jun 29 
After riding out a chilly period, the market for initial public stock offerings looks poised to get a day in the sun this week with the expected debut of software maker LogMeIn Inc.
MarketWatch  Jun 29 
Technology stocks edged up Monday morning powered by gains from Advanced Micro Devices Inc. and Intel Corp. . AMD was up more than 3% in the opening minutes, while Intel was ahead more than 1%. The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.2% to 1,843,...
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BULLS: REASONS TO BUY

 
94% agree
 
Intel still leads the industry

 
100% agree
 
Intel's reputation is trusted in the IT industry

 
100% agree
 
INTC levels not seen since 1990's

BEARS: REASONS TO SELL

 
37% agree
 
High fixed costs and volatile demand is a bad combo

 
40% agree
 
Intel Q4 revenue falls 23%, misses already lowered outlook

 
0% agree
 
Pressure from AMD

 
INTC AT A GLANCE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Intel, Inc. (NYSE:INTC) is the world's leading semiconductor producer and has been the industry leader since the inception of the personal computer. Intel produces products for many facets of advanced technology including flash memory products, motherboards, wired and wireless connectivity products and networked storage products.

Since the 1980s Intel has seen growing competition from a number of companies but none more significant than Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). Intel has been in the industry longer than AMD and, with 76.7% market share and 79.7% of the revenue share for micoprocessors, maintains a significant lead over its smaller rival.[1] Intel's net income of $5.2 billion for FY08 when compared to AMD's reported loss of $3.09 billion gives a good picture of the advantage Intel enjoys when allocating money towards R&D($5.722B by Intel compared to AMD's $1.84B). Such high R&D funding has allowed Intel to maintain its leadership position in the semiconductor industry.[2][3]

Intel has strengthened its lead with the release of a new line of processing technology (45nm), known as the Core i7. Chips using this technology are faster and consume less power.[4] AMD rolled out its own 45nm release during the 4Q of 2008.[5]

[edit] Company Overview

Robert Noyce and Gordon Moore founded Intel, Inc. in Santa Clara, California in 1968. Intel began as an engineering and technology company and developed the first microprocessor chip in 1971. Upon the invention of the personal computer (PC) microprocessors became Intel's main business. Intel has always enjoyed the largest market share in the industry and only began facing competition in the 1980s. Since it was founded Intel has always been on the cutting edge of microprocessing technology.


[edit] Business and Financial Metrics

The slowing of the global economy in the past year led to a decrease of 2.1% in the net revenue for FY08 ($37.5B) from $38.3B in FY07.[3] The company reported a lower forth quarter revenue compared to its 3rd quarter revenue for only the second time in 20 years for FY08. The following table highlights the financial metrics for the firm over the last three years.[6]

Years 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
Net revenue[3] $37,586 $38,334 $35,382 $38,826 $34,209
Gross margin[3] $20,844 $19,904 $18,218 $23,049 $19,746
Research and Development Costs[3] $5,722 $5,755 $5,873 $5,145 $4,778
Operating Income[3] $8,954 $8,216 $5,652 $12,090 $10,130
Net Income[3] $5,292 $6,976 $5,044 $8,664 $7,516

[edit] Business Segments

Intel sells its products to a number of different types of customers:

  • Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and Original Design Manufacturers (ODMs) are customers who produce computers, handheld devices, and telecommunications and network communications products. The products that these manufacturers produce rely on the processors and other products that Intel makes.
  • PC and network communications product users are customers (individuals, small and large businesses, etc.) that buy Intel's products through distributors, resellers and retailers across the world.
  • Other manufacturers including producers of a broad spectrum of industrial and communications equipment also have significant for Intel's products.
Revenue Breakdown for FY08 by %s
Revenue Breakdown for FY08 by %s[7]

[edit] Digital Enterprise Group (DEG)

This group manufactures products that are incorporated into desktop and nettop computers, enterprise computing servers and workstations, a broad range of embedded applications, and other products. DEG’s products include microprocessors and related chipsets and motherboards designed for the various computers mentioned. The growth in the mobile industry has affected this group's revenue generation, reducing the percentage contribution to the company as a whole.[8]

[edit] Mobility Group

This group manufactures and produces processors for notebook computers and all other mobile devices. Recently the mobility group has been increasing its percentage of total revenue.[9]

[edit] Others

[edit] Digital Health Group

Focused on providing technology for all aspects of the health care field. While no specific products have come out of this division to date, their goal is integrate technology into health care research, diagnostics and productivity, and personal health care.

[edit] Digital Home Group

Makes Intel products available around the world to third party distributors, dealers, system integrators and solution providers. Furthermore, this group designs products to meet local needs around the world.

[edit] NAND Solutions Group

Produces all of Intel's flash memory products for both embedded and wireless markets. This group includes the NAND flash memory products that are produced in Intel's joint venture with Micron. This joint venture has launched a high speed NAND flash memory technology that supposedly is five times faster than conventional NAND.

Years 2008 2007 2006
DEG[7]55%56%58%
MG[7]42%38%35%
Others[7]3%6%7%
Total Revenue[7] $37,586 $38,334 $35,382

[edit] R&D Model

Intel's current development model, known as the "tic toc model", calls for the introduction of a new process technology every odd year, then a move towards a new architecture during each even year. This model can be seen with Intel's introduction of their core architecture in 2006 on 65nm process technology, which has now transitioned into 45nm process technology (introduced in 2008). The company is currently developing 32nm process technology, which they expect to use for manufacture of products in second half of 2009.[10]

[edit] Trends and Forces

[edit] Semiconductor Cyclicality

The semiconductor industry is deeply cyclical. Demand in up cycles is so high that chip manufacturers have trouble keeping up. Similarly, if electronic sales, particularly PC sales, are slow, demand for chips can plummet. The fact that the semiconductor industry is more subject to the whim of consumer demand more than corporate demand, also adds to the overall volatility. The backdrop of this high market volatility, however, has been continual growth. Over the last 20 years the semiconductor industry has seen about a 13% average annual growth rate.

Semiconductor sales have shown about an 80% correlation with GDP growth trends, meaning a downturn in GDP growth could very likely be accompanied by a downturn in semiconductor sales.

[edit] Cost-Minimizatin Efforts

In September 2006 Intel released restructuring plans that, have proved effective and significantly cut costs of production. These plans included reducing headcount by about 20,000 people since 2006, along with divestitures of non-strategic businesses like the NOR flash memory business.[11]

[edit] Innovation Focus

Intel spends significantly more on research and design than AMD in an effort to remain on the cutting edge of the technology field. Intel has introduced the world's first 45nm microprocessor which boasts smaller size and greater power than the previous 65nm microprocessors. Making the transition to 45nm has been extremely successful for Intel and they are now poised to transition to 32nm technology microprocessors.

Intel's innovative approach has also led to investments outside of the United States. On Tuesday, October 28 2008, Intel announced its first "clean-tech" initiative in China, a $20 million equity investment in Trony Solar Holdings Co., one of China's biggest makers of solar energy and wind power equipment.[12]

[edit] Trying to Enter the Mobile Phone Market

Intel unvelied its Atom microprocessor in April, 2008 as the company anticipated the launch of mobile internet devices from some PC makers. However, Intel now plans to use the second generation of the chip, expected to release in 2009, for smart phones. There is a growing trend of mobile phones with internet access such as the iPhone and the BlackBerry. An analyst from FTN Midwest, also noted that the Atom processor is believed to be the chip that will be used in the next iPhone (the one after the new 3G iPhone).[13] Intel plans to use its atom microprocessors as well as the 4G service WiMax, to enter into this expanding business. Intel will use the WiMax network that is being built through a seven company joint venture headed by Sprint and Clearwire. In the 4th quarter of 2008, Intel made a $1.0 B investment in Clearwire (CLWR). [11] Intel has tried to make a move into the mobile phone market before with its XScale division, but ended up selling it off in 2006.[14]

[edit] Antitrust Investigations

Intel has been involved in a variety of anti-trust litigations. The European Commision was the latest goverment body that found Intel to be violating anti-trust laws and fined the company nearly $1.45 B on May 15th 2009. The Korean Fair Trade Commission has already fined Intel $25M after finding that Intel gave out $37 M in rebates to Samsung Electronics and Trigem Company in return for promising not to buy microprocessors from AMD. Intel contested that they do not give out rebates, but rather offer volume based discounts.[15]

[edit] Competition

Intel is a large corporation with multiple divisions that compete with a variety of companies for customers. The table below highlights the major competitors identified for each division.

Microprocessors[16]
DesktopAMD
VIA
MobileAMD
VIA
EnterpriseAMD
IBM
Sun Microsystems (Now Oracle)
EmbeddedAMD
VIA
Freescale Semiconductor,Inc.
Chipsets[17]
AMD
NVIDIA
VIA
Flash Memory[17]
Hynix Semiconductor Inc.
Micron
Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd.
SanDisk Corp.
Spansion Inc.,
Toshiba
Connectivity[17]
Atheros Communications, Inc.
Broadcom
QUALCOMM

The microprocessor industry is essentially evolving into an unbalanced duopoly. Intel competes directly with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). While Intel still enjoys a significant advantage in market share, AMD has been gaining ground in the industry.

[edit] References

  1. AMD narrows market share gap with Intel, revenue gap grows (07-02-2008). Retrieved on 2009-06-03.
  2. AMD 2008 10-K pg. 45  
  3. 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 INTC 2008 10-K pg. 26  
  4. Giz Explains: Why Intel's Core i7 Processor Is a Beautiful Monster (11-26-2008). Retrieved on 2009-06-03.
  5. AMD completes 45-nm processor, but quad-core Opterons still delayed (03-04-2008). Retrieved on 2009-06-03.
  6. INTC 2008 10-K pg. 27  
  7. 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 INTC 2008 10-K pg. 3  
  8. INTC 2008 10-K pg. 4  
  9. INTC 2008 10-K pg. 6  
  10. INTC 2008 10-K pg. 8  
  11. 11.0 11.1 INTC 2008 10-K pg. 28  
  12. http://www.usatoday.com/tech/science/environment/2008-10-28-intel-solar_N.htm?csp=34
  13. Intel's Atom Chip to Power Future iPhone.
  14. Intel to Re-enter the Mobile Phone Market.
  15. Intel Said to Face Antitrust Legislation. NY Times (2008-06-07). Retrieved on 06-28-2009.
  16. INTC 2008 10-K pg. 11  
  17. 17.0 17.1 17.2 INTC 2008 10-K pg. 12  
 
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