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Price to Earnings |
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WIKI ANALYSIS| This article is part of WikiProject Definitions. Consider editing to improve it. View articles referencing this definition. |
P/E equals current share price divided by earnings per share
The P/E (or "Price to Earnings ratio") is the most common measure of the cost of a stock. The P/E ratio can be calculated one of two ways, either as a stock's market capitalization (total shares times cost per share) divided by its after-tax earnings, or as the current share price divided by earnings per share.
For example, the P/E ratio of company A with a share price of $50 and earnings per share of $5 is 10.
The higher the P/E ratio, the more the market is willing to pay for each dollar of annual earnings. In general, a low P/E is considered a sign that a stock may be undervalued, or that investors expect poor future earnings. By contrast, a high P/E is thought to indicate an over-valued stock, or one that is expected to post significant earnings increases.
It should be noted that there is no mathematical basis for what a company's P/E should be. Rather, a high or low P/E is defined only in relative terms. Historically, P/E ratios for US listed companies have averaged between 14 and 16, though functionally, stocks with P/E below about 12 are considered "low" while P/Es above 40 or 50 are considered "high", in absolute terms. A P/E's significance (i.e. "high" or "low") on more general terms is dictated by a company's P/E in relation to its industry and competitors. In other words, the industry a company is in often has as much to do with its P/E ratio as the company's performance, and therefore the metric may be useless unless taken in context. Thus, because of the major discrepancies in earnings results across sectors, P/E ratios are most useful when comparing companies in the same industry.
Forward P/Es
Typically, a P/E ratio is backward-looking - meaning that it uses earnings from the company's most recent trailing 12-month period, though there are variations of P/E that use a different earnings value. A Forward P/E for example, uses as its denominator analyst estimates for the company's earnings in the upcoming 12 months.
Forward P/Es can be helpful in that expected changes to the company's earnings are already "baked in". However, they rely on estimates of earnings that are frequently inaccurate. While the earnings figures of backward-looking P/Es are sometimes out of date, they are at least accurate.
Capital Structure Bias
One weakness of P/E ratios is that they are impacted by a company's choice of capital structure. Companies that have chosen to raise money via debt will often have lower P/Es (and therefore look cheaper) than companies that raise money by issuing shares, even though the two companies might have equivalent enterprise values. For example, if a company with debt were to raise money by issuing shares of stock, and then used the money to pay off the debt, this company's P/E ratio would shoot up because of the increased number of shares - although nothing about the fundamental value of the business has changed.
This makes it difficult to use P/E ratios to compare different companies with different amounts of leverage. As a result, ratios of EV / EBITDA, which are unaffected by capital structure, are a more effective way of comparing the "price" of two different companies.
See Also
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