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New York Times  8 hrs ago  Comment 
In a letter to Electra Private Equity shareholders, the activist investor Edward J. Bramson said a change in approach in Electra’s strategy could increase the value of its shares by about $1.6 billion.
newratings.com  11 hrs ago  Comment 
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The Economic Times  Sep 16  Comment 
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newratings.com  Sep 16  Comment 
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Private equity refers to a type of investment aimed at gaining significant, or even complete, control of a company in the hopes of earning a high return. As the name implies, private equity funds invest in assets that either are not owned publicly or that are publicly owned but the private equity buyer plans to take private. Though the money used to fund these investments comes from private markets, private equity firms invest in both privately and publicly held companies. The private equity industry has evolved substantially over the past decade or so. The basic principle has remained constant: a group of investors buy out a company and use that company's earnings to pay themselves back. What has changed are the sheer numbers of recent private equity deals. In the past ten years, the record for the most expensive buyout has been broken and re-broken several times. Private equity firms have been acquiring companies left and right, paying sometimes shockingly high premiums over these companies' market values. As a result, takeover targets are demanding exorbitant prices for their outstanding shares; with the massive buyouts that have made headlines around the world, companies now expect a certain premium over their current value. One example is Free-scale Semiconductor, who turned down a deal that paid a nearly 30% premium over its market value, holding out for a sweeter package, which it received. The sheer number of these high-priced deals that have occurred in recent years have led some to question whether this pace is sustainable in the long run. This could turn out to be a self-fulfilling prophecy; as concerns grow and people become less eager to invest in private equity deals, firms won't be able to raise the money to fund their acquisitions, essentially crippling the industry.

Who Is Impacted by Private Equity?

Commercial banks

  • Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), and J P Morgan Chase (JPM) are among the largest lenders to private equity firms. These are the main firms who have been stuck with the high-yield bonds that investors are increasingly reluctant to buy. A decline in private equity would lead to big losses for these lenders, since they're already sitting on over $40 billion in unsellable debt.[1]

Investment banks

  • Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Merrill Lynch (MER), Morgan Stanley (MS), Lehman Brothers Fin SA (LEH), and other investment banks have been offering billions of dollars in bridge loans, which can be used to cover the costs of a private equity acquisition until permanent funding is found. These loans haven't been used that often in the past, but as private equity firms find it harder to raise capital by other methods, they could start drawing upon these loans, leaving investment banks with billions of dollars of loans. With the current state of the debt market, these banks could have trouble finding secondary buyers, meaning that they'd be stuck with heaps of unwanted loans. Also, investment banks are heavily involved with the underwriting of debt and securities for acquisitions and IPOs. These services bring in hefty fees for I-banks, and any decrease in demand for private equity-related services would negatively impact revenues.

Last men standing

As the number of private equity deals has increased, the targets of acquisitions have primarily been small- to mid-size companies. While larger companies are technically fair game, some are just much too large to be seriously considered as possible acquisitions. Due to their size, large corporations such as these have benefited from the privatization in their respective industries. As smaller companies are taken private, investors wanting exposure to the industry are left with fewer options in terms of stocks; the remaining companies are seeing higher demand (and higher prices) for their stocks.

Private Equity Goes Public

  • Blackstone Group (BX) is one of the first private equity firms that has gone public with a recent initial public offering in June 2007. China took a $3 billion stake before the IPO, which amounts to approximately 10% of the company's value. Blackstone manages about $800 billion in capital, ranking it as one of the top private equity firms by assets. Most market observers remain optimistic that Blackstone will deliver strong value to shareholders over time, given their excellent investment record since the company's inception.
  • KKR--a leading private equity firm originally known as Kohlberg, Kravis, Roberts--announced in early July, 2007, that it was planning to go public. KKR is famous for its involvement in high-profile buyouts, including the $45 billion buyout of TXU in February 2007. According to their filings with the SEC, the company said it would sell up to $1.3 billion in common equity units and use proceeds to expand the business. It was reported later that same month that poor conditions in the debt market could delay KKR's IPO, as the firm is finding it more difficult to arrange financing for its deals.

What is private equity?

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Private equity is essentially a way to invest in some asset that isn't publicly traded, or to invest in a publicly traded asset with the intention of taking it private. Unlike stocks, mutual funds, and bonds, private equity funds usually invest in more illiquid assets, i.e. companies. By purchasing companies, the firms gain access to those companies' assets and revenue sources, which can lead to very high returns on investments. Another feature of these private equity transactions is their extensive use of debt in the form of high-yield bonds. By using debt to finance acquisitions, private equity firms can substantially increase their financial returns. The debt used in buyouts has a relatively fixed cost, so if a private equity fund's return on assets (ROA) is greater than this cost, the fund's return on equity (ROE) is higher than if it hadn't borrowed money. The same principle applies in reverse, however, making these leveraged buyouts potentially very risky; if the acquired company's ROA is lower than the cost of the debt used to buy it, then the private equity fund's ROE is less than if hadn't used debt. The firm would lose money on the investment and still have to pay back the loans, a situation similar to having negative equity in the housing market.

While private equity firms sometimes pay themselves back using the acquired company's profits, this isn't their principal moneymaking area. Actually, clauses in private equity deals known as covenants, which assure such repayment, have become increasingly rare in recent years. Rather than making money from guaranteed minimum dividends, etc., private equity firms have been generating most of their profit from the "exit event", or the time when they either sell the company to another private entity or return it to the public markets, presumably for a higher price than they paid originally. Especially with their heavy use of leverage to acquire companies, private equity firms can make a substantial profit in this way. One example is the acquisition of Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ), the car rental company. When Ford Motor Company (F) decided to sell the company in 2005, private equity firms Clayton, Dubilier, and Rice, Inc., Carlyle Group, and Merrill Lynch Global Private Equity stepped in to buy the company. When the deal was completed in December of 2005, the firms had put up $2.3 billion in equity, and the acquired Hertz had taken on $12.5 billion in debt. Just eleven months later, Hertz was returned to the public markets with an IPO; even before the exit, Hertz paid $991 million to the firms in special dividends, $25 million to each for "acquisition services", and $2.25 million in other various fees. After the IPO, the three firms received another round of special dividends valued at around $427 million and $15 million to terminate standing agreements. Now, the three firms hold a combined 91.9 million shares of Hertz, valued at almost $2.1 billion (up 43% since the IPO in November of 2006). Merrill Lynch made out particularly well; in addition to its private equity firm doubling its investment in a year, the firm itself collected advisory fees for both the acquisition and the IPO and now holds 75 million shares of Hertz in addition to its private equity division's 32 million.

What drives private equity?

Raising Capital

Why would a company agree to sell a part of its interests to a private equity firm? There may be several reasons. First, the company may need a large inflow of capital for long-term productivity investments such as research and development. Rather than waiting several quarters (or years) to gather sufficient capital, the company may choose to sell part of its interests in exchange for the ability to pursue development projects sooner. This may be especially true of highly time-sensitive industries such as technology (e.g. software, telecommunications, and Internet services), where a few quarters may make a critical difference in a company’s ability to gain (or maintain) a market advantage.

Increasing Regulation of Public Markets

Second, given the increasing regulation and scrutiny in the public markets over the last several years, some companies may wish to avoid having their destinies controlled—or at least heavily influenced—by public shareholders. In a public company, shareholders have the right to cast votes with regard to any number of issues critical to the company. In a private equity transaction, such rights typically do not exist. Accordingly, a company can raise capital without relinquishing operating control to external shareholders. Nevertheless, a private equity firm does retain some control, such as the ability to influence the composition of management teams. Often, a private equity firm mayn interest in a company on the condition that the company install new management—which ideally will improve operating results and drive profits.

Effect on Public Markets

For stock market investors, the real question is how the private equity market has affected public markets and what its likely effects will be in the future. Many analysts argue that the increase in private equity deals has actually benefited some aspects of the stock market; the reason is that, with so many companies going private, it’s become harder for public investors to gain exposure to industries where private equity has been especially influential. Small- to mid-size firms in the energy and finance industries are prime examples. With the increase in private equity deals, the availability of publicly traded shares of such companies has decreased. This decrease in supply has caused the remaining shares to increase in price; as there are fewer available, each becomes more valuable.

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Also, private equity can boost a company's stock price if people think a buyout is likely. Companies that are perceived as likely targets of private equity buyouts have seen their stock prices rise in anticipation of the transaction. Given recent trends in the private equity industry, investors often feel safe in assuming that private equity firms will pay a hefty premium over a company's market value. This drove up the stock prices for companies such as Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia (MSO) and Radioshack (RSH), which were commonly mentioned as buyout targets.

Financing the Private Equity Boom

One beneficiary of private equity's strength is certain: the financial firms who structure the deals. Whether they're lenders or underwriters (such as investment banks), a number of financial firms have used their market savvy and extensive industry contacts to ensure that they're in the middle of what has been one of the most profitable trends over the past market cycle. That said, if long-term interest rates continue to rise over the next one to two years, it could become more difficult for financial firms to find the capital and participants necessary to keep private equity deals moving at the same rapid pace.

Has private equity reached its peak?

The subprime-inspired housing slump and its subsequent impact on Wall Street investment banks have somewhat diminished investors' appetite for risk. While the potential returns from a private equity firm's leveraged buyout of a company can be great, investors have begun to realize just how risky the highly leveraged transactions can be. This has been making it increasingly difficult for private equity firms and the investment banks that structure their deals to find people willing to invest in their risky, high-yield bonds.

A number of recent debt offerings, including the debt used in Cerberus Capital Management's buyout of the Chrysler Group, have been postponed or abandoned due to deteriorating conditions in the U.S. debt market. On July 25, 2007, it was announced that Deutsche Bank AG (DB), J P Morgan Chase (JPM), and six other banks were stuck with around $10 billion of loans that they couldn't sell; the debt was used for private equity firm KKR's acquisition of Alliance Boots Plc.[2] This increasingly common occurrence is hitting banks hard; they can either cut their losses and sell the loans on the cheap or wait until conditions improve, neither of which is particularly appealing.

As the debt market contracts, companies that were previously touted as LBO targets, including Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia (MSO) and Radioshack (RSH), are seeing their stock prices plummet. The same logic that drove their stocks higher and higher also led to their fall; when investors heard the speculation about a slowdown in private equity, they realized that they might not be able to sell their shares at the premium price they'd been hoping for. Shareholders scrambled to sell their stock while the price was still relatively overinflated. Martha Stewart and Radioshack stocks plunged 25% and 30%, respectively, in just three weeks.[3]

References

  1. http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2007/07/27/6174/ft-analysis-banks-carry-40bn-of-high-yield-debt/
  2. http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601102&sid=abPIOg0EYQy0&refer=uk
  3. http://money.cnn.com/2007/08/06/markets/privateequitybubble.fortune/index.htm?cnn=yes
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