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SolarWorld AG produces and markets solar panels and silicon wafers for solar applications. The German based company obtained 51% of its 2007 revenue from sales within Germany, with 78.8% of its revenue originating from sales within Europe.[1] At the end of 2007, the company had annual production capacities up to 185 MW for modules, 205 MW for solar cells and 385 MW for silicon wafers.[2] In November of 2008, SolarWorld offered a billion Euros for the purchase of GM subsidiary, Opel, in an effort to enter into the automotive market supplying "green" vehicles.[3]

High oil and gas prices, a fear of climate change, and political support for alternative energy sources have fueled the emerging solar market. Tax credits and subsidies like Germany's Feed-In-Law help to make solar technology more cost competitive, but prices remain high as there is a shortage of refined silicon; the principal input for silicon-based solar panels..[4] The average long-term contract price of polysilicon increased approximately 20% from $50-$55 per kilogram in 2006 to $60-$65 per kilogram delivered in 2007, with market prices sometimes spiking as high as $400 per kilogram.[5]

SolarWorld’s main competitors are other silicon-based solar panel manufacturer’s, including SunPower, Kyocera and Suntech Power Holdings as well as solar wafer manufacturers PV Crystalox and LDK Solar (LDK) .

Contents

[edit] Business Financials

German based SolarWorld operates in all aspects of the solar production market including the procurement of raw silicon, its processing into silicon wafers and the final production into solar cells and panels. The company's headquarters and largest production site is located in Freiberg Germany. The company also has several other production sites in Germany, along with ones in the US, Spain, South Africa and is beginning operations of a plant in South Korea as part of a joint venture, SolarWorld Korea Ltd.[6] A majority of the company's German operations are under the names of fully owned subsidiaries, Deutsche Solar AG and Deutsche Cell, as well as the company's raw silicon processing group, Sunicon, while the international facilities operate under the SolarWorld name.[7]

SolarWorld earned 698.8 million Euros in revenue in 2007, up 35.6% from 515.2 million in 2006. [8] This includes 9.2 million Euros that were from discontinued operations with the company’s sale of Swedish subsidiary Gallivare PhotoVoltaic AB in early 2008. [9] The company had an operating income of 168 million Euros, or 24% of the companies revenue in 2007, up from 10.9% in 2006.[9]

[9]

SolarWorld earned 51% of its revenue from sales within Germany in 2007, with an additional 27.7% coming from sales within Europe.[1] In 2008, the company expects to more than double its module sales in the expanding US and Asian markets, hoping to earn over 60% of its 2008 revenue from sales outside of Germany. [10]

[1]

SolarWorld placed a billion Euro bid for GM's Opel in November of 2008, showing the company's desire for expansion into other industries.[3] The company made the bid in an effort to enter into the automotive industry by supplying "green" vehicles to European consumers. The company hoped to use the Opel plants and automotive knowledge of Opel's employees, along with the company's own expertise in solar electric systems, to produce high efficiency engines, hybrids and electric vehicles for the future.[3] It is a bold move by a growing company and reflects the determination of the company to not only expand into growing markets, such as the US and Asia, but to also expand beyond the traditional solar panel industry.

[edit] Business Segments

[11]

[edit] Modules and Trading (75.5% of 2007 Revenue)[11]

The sale of solar panels and modules through SolarWorld's trading segment make up a majority of the company's revenue, accounting for 75.5% of the revenue in 2007. The silicon wafer and solar cell segments of the company operate primarily to supply the required cells for panel and module production. This allows SolarWorld to avoid the supply issues faced by other solar panel manufacturers, and eliminates the need for long-term supply deals. At the end of 2007, the company had an annual production capacity of 140 to 185 MW for modules.[2]

[edit] Silicon Wafers (20.6% of 2007 Revenue)[11]

Germany is SolarWorld's primary market for solar panels, but plays only a small role in the company's sale of silicon wafers. Although a majority of the company’s total revenue came from sales within Germany,[1] only 10% of the silicon wafer’s sold were to companies within Germany.[10] The faster growing markets represented the vast majority of wafer sales for SolarWorld, with 43% being sold to companies in Asia, 39% to other countries in Europe and 8% going to the Americas.[10] All of the recycled and processed silicon that the company produces is used to produce its silicon wafers, of which 50 percent were kept by the company for cell and panel production in both 2006 and 2007.[12] The remaining 50% were sold to external sources. As of the end of 2007, the company had an annual production capacity of 245 to 385 MW for silicon wafers.[2] SolarWorld looks to increase the volume of its silicon wafer sales to over 750 MW in 2010. [13]

[edit] Solar Cells (3.9% of 2007 Revenue)[11]

The purpose of the solar cell segment is primarily to supply SolarWorld with the cells that are needed for its solar panels, and not to earn profit on its own. In 2007, the segment's internal sales reached 264 million Euros, dwarfing the external sales revenue of 27 million Euros. As of the end of 2007, the solar cell segment had an annual production capacity of 185 to 205 MW.[2] The company produces cells that are on par with the rest of the silicon solar industry, having cell conversion efficiencies that average 15% and go as high as 17%.[14]

[edit] Trends and Forces

[edit] The 2008 Financial Crisis Will Slow Solar's Expansion

Companies of every industry are feeling the effects of the financial crisis of 2008 as budgets shrink and it becomes more difficult to obtain loans and investments. These conditions are especially dangerous to industries, like solar, that are expanding so rapidly (41% per year from 2001-2008[15]) and require large sums of money to do so. The tighter lending practices will not only make it harder for solar companies to expand at such high rates but also threaten to decrease demand as their customers struggle to obtain funding for the expensive projects. Despite the financial crisis, SolarWorld continues to pursue aggressive plans for expansion, as is evident with the company's billion Euro bid for the purchase of GM's Opel in November of 2008.[3]

[edit] Continued Worldwide Silicon Shortages Will Hurt SolarWorld

Silicon, a necessary input to most solar panels, is one of the most abundant elements on Earth, but refined silicon has been in short supply. As solar power has increased in popularity, raw silicon producers, who previously catered only to the semiconductor market, were unable to meet the surge in demand. Although demand remains high, the shortage will not last much longer as producers expand their mining capacity. Hemlock Semiconductors began operation of its new facility in June of 2008, a facility that is expected to produce as much as 36,000 metric tons per year by 2011. This alone dwarfs worldwide silicon production in 2005, which totaled only 26,000 metric tons.[16]

For silicon solar panel vendors like SolarWorld, higher silicon prices mean higher production costs and lower margins as the costs are passed onto consumers. In the silicon PV industry, the cost of the silicon accounts for approximately 45% of each module’s manufacturing cost.[17] The price of silicon has increased with the average long-term contract price of polysilicon increasing from $50-$55 per kilogram in 2006 to $60-$65 per kilogram delivered in 2007, with market prices sometimes spiking to as much as $400 per kilogram.[18] In order to dampen the effect of fluctuations in the raw silicon market, SolarWorld has entered into joint ventures with silicon supply companies and has focused its attention on improving processes for silicon recycling.[19]

[edit] SolarWorld Stands to Benefit from Chinese Growth

SolarWorld already sells 43% of its silicon wafers to customers in Asia and is expanding its production capabilities in South Korea to better position itself in the growing market.[10] According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), China's energy demand will surpass that of the United States soon after 2010, based on what it considers a conservative growth rate of 6.0% per year. [20] Chinese energy demand is expected to grow by 3.2% every year and double between 2005 and 2030, with potentially higher growth rates resulting in even greater energy demand.[20] To meet the growing needs, China will need to add 1,300 gigawatts to its electric generating capacity by 2030, more than the total installed capacity in the United States in 2008.[20] To meet this demand, China will need to invest 3.7 trillion dollars in energy infrastructure to meet the energy needs in 2030.[20] By 2010, on route to these goals, China hopes to build solar installations that will generate around 300 megawatts of solar power for the country.[21]

[edit] Environmental Concerns, High Oil, and High Gas Prices Make Solar Panels More Appealing

With the drastic oil price fluctuations seen in 2008 and the increased public attention to the environment, there has been a strong push for the development of reliable economic alternatives, especially in the renewable energy sector. The push for clean energy has benefitted the solar industry, which has averaged 41% growth per year from 2001 through 2008, and is projected to continue in the future.[15] 90% of solar panels, like the ones produced by SolarWorld, are silicon based, [22] and although thin-film technology is growing in popularity, the needs of the rapidly expanding solar industry provide ample opportunity for silicon-based manufacturers to continue their growth. In 2007 alone, there was 2,826 MW of PV solar installations, over a GW more than the 1,744 MW installed in 2006.[23] With the expansion of the industry and increased investment, PV solar energy has made great strides in the last five years as the panels have become more efficient and costs of production have decreased. According to the Department of Energy’s Solar America Initiative, with continued investment PV solar power will likely become a competitive source of commercial electricity by 2015.[24]

[edit] Government Incentives Spur the PV Market and Help SolarWorld

Solar is not an economic choice in today’s energy market due to the large initial investments that are required and the efficiency of available panels. The large initial installation costs and uncertainty about the panels’ longevity deter most electric generators from investing in solar power plants. Other, more conventional electric sources have proven to be more predictable and cost effective. As a result, commercial and private PV systems have become reliant on subsidies and other government incentives to make them economical. These incentives have been spurred by rising energy prices, fears of climate change, and desires for energy independence.

In Germany, SolarWorld’s largest market, the Feed-In-Law provides subsidies for solar generated electricity that began in 2004 at 45.7 euro cents/kWh for ground and 57.4 euro cents/kWh for building installations, set to decrease at a rate of 6.5% and 5% per year, respectively.[25] In early June of 2008, the German government changed the 2004 law to have a 10% decrease in 2009, and a 7 and 8 percent decrease the following years. This sets the subsidy levels for 2009 installations at about 34.2 and 48.8 euro cents/kWh.[26] Spain, another significant player in Europe’s solar market, has seen similar cuts in its Feed-In-Law, suggesting other countries may follow suit.[27] Although the lower subsidies will do less to incourage growth, the decreases have been less than anticipated, and the subsidies will continue to make solar more competitive in the energy market.[26]

[edit] Competition and Market Share

[edit] Solar Modules

The following companies compete with SolarWorld in the sale of solar panels, along with their relative market share as of the end of 2005. As of the end of 2007, SolarWorld had an annual production capacity of up to 185 MW of solar modules.[2]

  • Suntech had a market share of 4% in 2005[28] and has rapidly expanded since, hoping to sell 550 MW of solar panels in 2008.[29]
  • SunPower (SPWR) (insignificant in 2005) - One of the fastest growing solar companies, with one of the most efficient solar cells available at 23.4%.[30]
  • Sharp Electronics (24%) - It was the largest photovoltaic cell manufacturer in the world in 2005, and remains strong in the world's solar market despite its primary focus on consumer electronics.
  • JA Solar Holdings, (insignificant in 2005) - A Chinese PV company that only sells monocrystalline solar cells; it lets its customers take care of building the modules and systems.
  • Solarfun Power Holdings (insignificant in 2005) - Another Chinese PV company that operates primarily in Europe and makes most of its money by selling modules, rather than individual cells.
  • Evergreen Solar (insignificant in 2005) - A solar company that produces string ribbon PV cells and operates at all production levels from silicon wafer to power system.
  • Kyocera (8%) - A Japanese electronics company that is also a major manufacturer of solar cells despite its primary focus in consumer electronics.
  • Q-Cells (9%) - A privately owned, German solar manufacturer
  • First Solar (insignificant in 2005) - A thin-film solar panel manufacturer that uses cadmium telluride instead of silicon for its cells.
  • BP (5%), Mitsubishi (6%), and Sanyo (7%) - Not primarily photovoltaic cell manufacturers, but heavy market competitors nonetheless.
  • EMCORE (insignificant in 2005) - A Concentrated Photovoltaic System manufacturer that uses Gallium arsenide PV cells and got its start in the solar business making power cells for satellites.
  • Energy Conversion Devices - This company uses amorphous thin-film silicon in its ultra-thin, albeit low-efficiency solar cells.
Industry Conversion Efficiencies
Manufacturer Conversion Efficiency
SolarWorld (Poly and Monosilicon) 17%[14]
SunPower(Polysilicon) 23.4%[30]
Suntech Power Holdings(Polysilicon) 18%[31]
Sharp (Polysilicon) 13%[32]
Kyocera (Polysilicon) 18.5%[33]
Solarfun (Polysilicon) 17.2%[34]
JA Solar Holdings (Monosilicon) 17.7%[35]
Trina Solar(Mono & Polysilicon) 16.6%[36]
Evergreen Solar (String Ribbon) 15%[37]
EMCORE (GaAs Concentrated Solar System) 37%[38]
Energy Conversion Devices (Amorphous Silicon Thin Film) 8.5%[39]
First Solar (CdTe Thin Film) 10.5%[30]
DayStar Technologies(CIGS Thin Film) 14% [40]
Ascent Solar (CIGS Flexible Thin Film) 9.5% [41]


[edit] Solar Wafers

SolarWorld AG - The company had a multicrystalline wafer market share of 19% in 2006.[42] Deutsche Solar AG, a division of Solar World AG, had an annual production capacity of 350MW of silicon wafers at the end of 2007, and is expanding rapidly. By 2009, Deutsche Solar expects to have over 750 MW of annual capacity, with other divisions of Solar World adding an additional 320 MW annually.[43]

  • In 2006, PV Crystalox held 17% of the multicrystalline market.[42] The company had an annual production capacity of 290 MW as of April 2008[44]
  • Kyocera (KYO) - A large electronics and semiconductor corporation, whose silicon wafer division held 13% of the multicrystalline market share in 2006.[42] The company also produces solar panels, consumer electronics products, and telecommunications equipment.
  • LDK Solar had a production capacity of 420 MW of polycrystalline silicon wafers at the end of 2007 and sold $501 million worth of solar wafers.[45] LDK held 8% of the multicrystalline wafer market in 2006.[42]
  • M. SETEK is one of the world's largest suppliers of monocrystalline silicon wafers and entered into the polycrystalline market in 2007. It predicts production of 2800 tons of polysilicon in 2008[46] and is involved in significant longterm contracts with JA Solar Holdings, (JASO), Suntech Power Holdings (STP) and SunPower (SPWR), among other leading solar panel manufacturers.[47]
  • ReneSola entered the monocrystalline solar wafer market in 2005, and the polycrystalline market in 2007.[48] The company did not hold a significant portion of the market in 2006, but expanded its production capacity in 2007 and has established itself as a global supplier of silicon wafers.
  • Renewable Energy Corporation - The largest multicrystalline wafer producer, this vertically organized solar company had a 2006 market share of 24%.[42] In 2007 the company had an annual monocrystalline wafer production capacity of 38 MW and a polycrystalline production capacity of 468 MW.[49]
  • Sumco Corporation - A Japanese silicon company that produces wafers for semiconductors and solar panels, and held 6% of the multicrystalline solar market in 2006.[42] As of December 2007, the company was able to produce 900,000 wafers per month and plans to reach a monthly production capacity of 1,660,000 wafers by March of 2010.[50]

[edit] References

  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 SolarWorld 2007 Annual Report Pg 132
  2. 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 SolarWorld 2007 Annual Report Pg 43
  3. 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 Germany's SolarWorld springs surprise bid for GM's Opel, Yahoo News Nov 19, 2008
  4. Fast Solar Energy Facts German PV Market
  5. TSL 20-F 2007 Pg. 7
  6. SolarWorld Financial Report 3Q 2008 Pg 10
  7. SolarWorld 2007 Annual Report Pg 115
  8. SolarWorld 2007 Annual Report Pg 60
  9. 9.0 9.1 9.2 SolarWorld 2007 Annual Report Pg 58
  10. 10.0 10.1 10.2 10.3 SolarWorld 2007 Annual Report Pg 59
  11. 11.0 11.1 11.2 11.3 SolarWorld 2007 Annual Report Pg 130
  12. SolarWorld 2007 Annual Report Pg 23
  13. SolarWorld 2007 Annual Report Pg 118
  14. 14.0 14.1 SolarWorld Solar Cell Product Data
  15. 15.0 15.1 Industry Growth and Policy Progress on the Agenda at Solar 2008
  16. Clean Tech ‘What silicon shortage, asks Hemlock’ June 3, 2008
  17. Solar Buzz: Fast Solar Energy Facts
  18. TSL 20-F 2007 Pg. 7
  19. SolarWorld 2007 Annual Report Pg 24
  20. 20.0 20.1 20.2 20.3 AFX News Limited IEA forecasts for Indian, Chinese energy demand 11.07.07
  21. China Aims to Clean up in Solar Power. Business Week
  22. Solar Buzz: Fast Solar Energy Facts
  23. Solar Buzz: Fast Solar Energy Facts
  24. DOE’s Solar America Initiative Draft Pg 5
  25. Fast Solar Energy Facts German PV Market
  26. 26.0 26.1 German Solar Subsidies to Fall Less Than Forecast, GreenTechMedia
  27. Spain Could Reduce Solar Subsidies by 35%: GreenTechMedia
  28. CIBC Initiating Coverage, SOLF, January 29th, 2007
  29. SeekingAlpha: "Suntech Power Holdings Co., Ltd. Q2 2008 Earnings Call Transcript"
  30. 30.0 30.1 30.2 [http://www.renewableenergyaccess.com/rea/news/story?id=46286
  31. Forbes - Sun King; SunPower's New Solar Panel Is 22% Efficient
  32. SharpUSA Product Brochure
  33. Kyocera - Solar Timeline
  34. Solarfun Website
  35. http://jasolar.com/Web/products-en.asp
  36. TSL 20-F 2007 Pg. 7
  37. ESLR 2007 Earnings Call Transcript, Page 1
  38. EMCORE.com: Terrestrial Solar Cells and Receivers"
  39. ENER F1Q08 Earnings Call Transcript, Page 5
  40. DSTI 10-k 2007 Pg 1
  41. Ascent First Quarter 2008 10-Q Pg 23
  42. 42.0 42.1 42.2 42.3 42.4 42.5 CIBC Initiating Coverage on LDK, July 18th, 2007
  43. Solar World Annual Report 2007
  44. PV Crystalox Company Presentation
  45. LDK Solar 20-F 2007
  46. Investing in Silicon Suppliers
  47. M Setek Company Profile
  48. SOL 20-F 2007 Pg. 1
  49. REC Website Monocrystalline and Polycrystalline
  50. SUMCO to Strengthen 300mm Wafer Production Capacity Jan 30, 2008
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